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I know, but I recall us saying that once before and Isner won. I don't think Djoker has solved Isner yet. Their matches have been close. Not saying he will win but if he gets it into a tie break...

HC, in terms of value, do you like the odds we are getting on Isner are good/fair/or poor? He has shown that he can beat Djoker and Djoker has shown that he can be rattled by Isner and pro Isner...

I have heard this before and from my own experience I would say there are times to hedge and times to let it ride. I think a hedge was in order here only because the odds on Murray were so great...

I don't understand. It is free money at that point.

HC, did you hedge in-game in the Murray match? You were getting great odds.

Yeah, that was very entertaining. Except it woke up Dr.Ivo, who has upped his game. Dumb move by Dolgo, why give your opponent any fuel when you are winning. I'm on Dolgo -2 and getting worried.

I tailed on this and Granollers just choked. Didn't he have 5-6 break points? Which reminds me of this:

If you avoid the choke, you shall not go broke.
If you back those who cannot close, it adds...

Don't say I didn't warn you about Bellucci 1st set...

I figured as much, Zec, but with the guy dropping first sets in his previous matches and then coming back to win I'd think the full match is the safer bet. And this is exactly what I was getting to...

Ah, so you do like Bellucci? But why first set and not match?

Thanks, fitguy. All of this is very interesting, although I must admit some of it went over my head as I have little knowledge of economic theory. Tailing HC to win a set amount each time sounds...

HC, still trying to understand, is your system based on picking winners or finding value in the lines (and knowing how much to bet based on that value), which will pay off in the long run regardless...

Great call, HC. Saw it too late to tail.

OK, HC, since I can't get anything out of Matt, how are you playing the Venus match (if at all)?