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I think you might all be making similar points.

Going big on multi-unit plays is madness early on IMO, but betting your edges to hit your 53++% isn't.

I definitely don't agree with laying...

Its not just one post.

Just have a look at how you ran your own thread last year and the junk you pulled. I just think its incredibly rich for you to be calling someone else out.

And yes, we...

Yup, but I don't see anyone has made a mistake today other than you. Have you owned up to it yet? "Just questioning" - that isn't how your post below read.

Guy posted a line he got WHEN HE GOT IT...

Agreed.

:lmao: at XYZ calling people out. Guy chases his tilt bets when they are down at half time; doubles his units when in the negative, sets stupid goals for how much he's going to win (which...

Just use moneybookers to move money around. Sometimes the forex rate is a bit dodgy (not significant, but you get the worst price), but better than international transfer fees.

Paddypower actually...

What do I know?

Bang. Nice hit already.

Lakers started well too.... but who knows with the NBA.

Bounce back day.

Mate, love the play on Gasol, but I'm staying away from Lakers props. Been burnt a few times this year.

They are really letting the bench play - Kaman and Hill are getting far too many minutes....

Looking good Sando!

Tough break on Mundine fight... Boxing clearly dead in Australia.

Edit: nice hit sando. didn't even check the score - didn't bet it!

Hawley, good analysis as always. I'm still on the Cats going to struggle boat, but as I said before, I haven't really evaluated where all the other teams are at yet. BUT, if the Cats are actually...

Not the Wildcats.

Perth lad and Wildcats member, but they have looked pretty poor this year. Disclaimer: It is hard with NBL to actually know where the rest of the league is at. It is so hard to...

Brilliant. I didn't even realize cricket was on tonight.

Scorchers on one TV (I'm from Perth). Brownlow on the other.

I don't know a whole heap of the Lions squad, but Scorchers are fielding...

Over 98.5 or stay away pal. Diamonds/Silver Ferns have only gone under that number once in 5 games going back to the start of 2012.

Edit: also, I saw nothing in the first game to suggest this is...

Yeah, don't get it. CBF bonus whoring for $100. This is the home page i get

59956

I can only see a $100 deposit bonus on bookmaker. How do you get $400

Looks like a particularly vanilla book with ordinary lines, but I will bonus whore them for $400 if that is on offer. These...

Roosy still needs the family to sign off on it.

Final decision on Tuesday apparently... still half a chance. If i were his family, i'd be telling him to get f'd. I wouldn't want the job.

Plus...

What an awesome game of footy (Port/Blues). Sharp line. I saw +1.5 and -1.5 on each side at close, so it depended where you got on.

Amazing weekend so far. Last night was very good. Lions/Cats...

Nice call.


Yup, a lot of variables. I made the mistake of thinking I could cap them. Sh!t happens.

Not touching Port/Carlton.

I can't believe this and I said no play in another thread, but Dockers 1-39 is a play. Saints can't get past the defensive structure IMO. Saints struggle to score against bad teams.

:cheers: Yes, I am enjoying posting regularly again. Also, the GF has been away for a while, so I have a lot more time to kill!!

The problem is that no-one knows if these things will work, but...

I really hope you win your Port play, although it is a game I'll be watching only.

How awesome would Pies/North on Sunday be if Port wins??; effectively an elimination final and of all the teams...

lol.

I said the same thing when Demetriou said on Tuesday night that Melbourne Demons were the next target for AFL investigators. Most people forget that in April this year, Demons stood their...

Yeah, that is the one thing that I've always found strange about Court. I think that is why I've never rated him. I figured those ex-junkie guys usually end up more like Mikey Burnett and slow down...

Very nicely done.

Big hit on McGee too you traitor! Left that one alone, but I liked our boy Whittaker.

Wow. unlucky pal.

Looked a winner for all money with 5 mins left.

I didn't tail, but wow. unreal.

I'm on -40.5. Up to -42.5 at sportingbet now.

where are you getting 37.5? take it.

I'm pretty sure 15-2 is very wrong for AFL.

It would be nice for a site or a stat or something to back it up, rather than a bare statement that isn't supported by the facts.
...

I think these unders are pretty hard to bet when one of the teams is playing for nothing. You are much less likely to see a defensive game.

Statistically, I like the play. Eagles are ranked 15th...

I had an account there for years. It was closed. They were new when I joined and the liquidity was poor. You'd assume it is better now, but apart from the commission (which can be a huge deal) I...

I feel sick when I walk into a tab. If you look around, there are very few NON broken person in there. Occasionally, I have to duck in to catch a race if one of horses I have a share in (tiny share)...

The good thing is that if you have family or friends you trust, it is easy to open a new account. Just basically disable the old one and don't log in at all.

Start again and learn from what got...

That's exactly what I'm saying.

The books will see you can beat their soft markets and stop letting you play. The trader has already recognized that you can win at props and limited you. Get used...

Yep, what Gonzo said. Don't withdraw unless you have to and try to bet a variety of markets.

As Gonzo said, did you think you could EXCLUSIVELY bet into soft props and off numbers at a book and...

I'm not Sando, but I can answer this as it has happened to plenty of us.

Its happening because you're either winning too much (unlikely), chasing steam or playing off numbers. It isn't usually...

Those on Kennedy for the Coleman should be happy.

Shuey has come out and said: ''We couldn't give him much of a crack on Saturday night, but hopefully in the next two weeks he can have a couple of...

Yeah, I just don't reckon not being able to play one side means the other side is a play, which is what you were saying.

I ended up having a nibble on Roosters 2H -11.5.

Lets talk second half. I'm thinking it'll be about 12.5 (spread) and 25 (I know it won't be that number, but not sure if it'll be 24.5 or higher) whatever happens in the next 10 minutes.

I don't agree with the logic at all. It'll send you broke. It makes sense if you are talking about a normal sized spread, but at 24.5 it is a whole new ball game. I'm more of an AFL guy, but the...

Tonight looks like a classic case of no play, even if it is the perfect thing to do on a Monday night after work. Maybe a HT play.

Coleman just got really interesting! Cameron, Roughie and Kennedy...

Horrible form. A lot of Sando anger. It'll happen if you selectively blindly tail plays, when you're too stupid to look at the game yourself. For the record, I don't tail anyone, but like to read a...

Nice hit on the under. I played it too, but couldn't watch most of the game. I can never bring myself to watch unders that look horrible.

I think during the 3rd quarter the live line was 160 or...

Unfuknreal. Anyone take this? I'm sure I saw it at 34.5 early in the week, now its 40.5 at some shops! I dunno why I waited. Value buried.

Nice hit.

Taurasi isn't in the top 2 though?

Maybe under was the play after all. Regardless of the weather.

Yup, gone with the same and a bit on -10.5. I've only really watched both teams in Foxtel cup and a bit of East freo locally. Love mid-week footy. Really just a wager for shits and giggles. GL with...

They are deserving favourites I think. I don't know much about them though.

I'm over West here. East Fremantle have been really good in the league recently, but they haven't had too tough a...

Yeah, what is the most goals kicked against Freo this year by a single player? It can't be many. I don't see another Pies performance coming up there! If he plays selfish as always and they look for...

I agree, which is why he is at $1.70. I meant in the previous post that I like the price on Jack with the Tigers run home and the fact that he is known for playing for Colemans (although with finals...

Eagles schedule even worse. I think it is priced about right. Not huge value and an appropriate odds on favourite, so should win.

Kennedy probably lucky to kick 10 more on the year. He won't get...

Walker has been pounded at Sportingbet, which is why you're getting such a good line on Browne. He was $3.50 this morning there.... i think he probably loses though - should be jet lagged as...

I think you missed looking at the odds of the games until the day the round starts :ohmy:

Bookies opened this at 33.5. It actually stayed there for a lot longer than I expected at some shops.
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