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Thanks, Mako. I have used Statfox and sometimes their stuff is good, many times needs a little massaging, and sometimes totally incorrect. But, if you talk to the Statfox people, they usually ...

JMon & Mako,

I love reading idiots' posts that are going nuts over nothing!

Where did this discussion take place?

TIA!

Thanks for the NHL insight. I was going to look at the playoffs, just haven't had the time.

Great job, Green7! I wish I would have dropped in yesterday but finishing my taxes took priority!

I didn't have time today to look at much SDQL. I did play Charlotte under 194, and Houston +1.5, and Cleveland -4.
Good luck to everybody tonight.

James Harden is not going to play, apparently. Howard also out.

The bigger the sample size the less chance of it being just a random result.

I think it was Mako who has a great post on how to determine if a trend is good or not, somewhere in the first few...

Just saw your post. I have bet sports and followed cappers since the late 90's. I can't entirely agree with your statement I quoted. Of the two NBA cappers that I have mentioned in posts over the...

Your final statement is why I would not be wagering on your original statement. I do use 3-point ranges on lines.

I also don't understand why you are using the parameter "opponent's previous...

Just my opinion, but your trend is too specific by just using "line=-5".

I don't see how that can be done to any degree of accuracy. I use winning percentages and you could use the parameters of wins and losses to come somewhat close to teams who are probably in, or out...

Simple situation that has 3 games in it:

rest = o:rest = 0 and A and n:rest = 3 and on:rest = 3 and D

Cool one, green! If you eliminate the non-division parameter, you almost double your sample size.

And, if you add o:rest>0, it improves a little more.

GL2A!

Great work, Nash! If you can find the time, would you mind posting your lower rated NBA and MLB trends since those seasons are going on now?

Later, I'll post the criteria I like to look at. ...

Nice trend, Green! Good job, thanks!

tA(TPA)<=14

team's season average of three-point attempts equals or is below 14. Note, if a team averages 14.1 3-pointers a game, they will not show up.

Hey Tillos,
You made a mistake that I am guilty of at times. In your query, you wanted to show a team that has scored over 100 pts 3 games in a row. However, your second and third games show...

Don't quite understand exactly what you mean about querying the totals and sides? I look at each game, what has happened recently with each team, what is happening in the near future, and different...

I've never messed with that and probably never will. Everybody I know who has used sdql have never tried to uncover opportunities like this. Maybe we are missing out on great opportunities, but I...

You're right, except that you are ignoring the "=" sign. It is a Home Fave with a line equal or greater than -15, etc.

Good job!

BTW, great Avatar!

Just fyi, big man Nikola Pekovic is expected to miss tonight for the TWovles.

Thanks, hyahya, nice trend!

Thank you mucho for the NHL plays, JMon! I did see that the Over was also a play there.

My gawd! AND NHL? Wow, you really are into this, JMon!

Thanks for posting it, Mako!

Mako,
There was one other active Saturday trend that was listed in this thread, I don't recall who posted it.

It does go against the Atlanta trend Mako listed as it favors Denver. But, it was...

Thanks, cofaga. That looks like a good one!

Very good observation, Mako. I hadn't looked at the size of the ATS loss margins. I always look at overtimes in OU trends, but usually not with ATS ones. In looking at the 5+ seasons overall, most...

Example of trend gone bad that is active today:
Sum(ats margin > 0@team and season, N=5) = 1 and 8 > Sum(o:ats margin > 0@o:team and o:season, N=8) >= 6 and H and season > 2007 and D

This has...

Excellent point. I was originally only voicing an issue I have had using trends over the years. You are correct in that some trends work for awhile and then stop. Some only work a few months as...

No, I really didn't. I have known this for over 10 years.

Maybe you learned from it?

To me, this is something I have difficulties with. Yes, this trend has done well since 2009. However, the three seasons before that it lost and going back ten years you have an ATS record of 41-65,...

The percentage obviously remains the same, but when you have the exact same qualifier for each team, IMO, it is best to add a site to the query. Otherwise, you are actually doubling the instances of...

Very nice trend, JMon.

If you consider fundamentals, Nelson and Oladipo are questionable tonight. Could be problems for a weak offensive team.

I am not as adamant about having more than 6 plays a season on a trend if it works for enough years with a large enough total sample.

I don't understand what you mean that this system is...

The manual leaves a lot to be desired. The google group can be a good spot to browse and learn a lot. I believe the baseball and NFL databases are more robust and have more shortcuts than the NBA...

Figue- You are close. There is a manual you can download to help you learn what needs to be capitalized.

A and p:HW and p:margin >= 10 and 75 >= WP >= 60 and 60 >= o:WP >= 51 and season >= 2008

Some good conversation. Some people in this thread have misinterpreted what I have said in earlier posts, so perhaps I could be doing the same thing here.

I do believe that ATS records and even...

H and p:margin<-9.5 and op:margin<-9.5 and opp:margin<-9.5 and oppp:margin<-9.5 and opppp:margin<-9.5

What do I win? :)

Go Kings!
(thanks for sharing that trend and your prior comments...

I agree that the larger the sample the better. Also, I believe that normally, it is better to have a longer period of time than just the last 2+ seasons. However, there are trends that are best to...

So it makes no difference to you if a team is a dog or is favored?
Good luck.

Don't have any other trends, but if you add "and line>=0" to your sdql it improves to 3-18 ATS.

The trend you are talking about is for college ball. While in the NBA giving up 82 points is very good defensively, it is very poor in the college ranks.

This is for a team off a 35+ win:

p:margin>=35

This is something I always have difficulties with. Do you follow a short-term trend that's working well or do you stay away if it hasn't been that good in the past?

If you like playing totals:...

Thanks, Mako, for posting how to show 1000 games.

You have to be the biggest JERK I have seen on this forum in years!

I personally don't use the SDQL to determine moneyline parlays. I realize they have become popular.

I am more like Mako looking for longer term consistent league-wide trends.

Short term...

Hi Dynobites,
Not trying to be a jerk, just giving my opinion from a statistical perspective.

Having a data sample of 4, 6, or even 12 games isn't mathematically very reliable.

Just...

I don't have any data to support it, but having 5 or more days off seems like it would have an influence on a lot of situations.