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NBA SDQL Best Bet

play posted 12:10pm on 1/12
Pelicans -4 (-115)


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tS(site!=p:site,N=6)>=5 and AF and line>=-6 and o:rest!=0 and op:site=away and rest<=2 and month!=2 and month!=4...

Sorry pip was busy today, but my filtered version of the ATS queries had 2 active for Phx and 1 for Det. Hit on both fronts...good day to start laying out 1 unit per trend!

Nash, I'm developing it for NBA right now but I can port it over to cover anything in the future. Mods would need to be made because of the data structures but pretty simple once the base code is...

Nash thanks for the thoughts on ratings. Thats really helpful

I know some have a strategy of flat betting and that has been mine but the analysis is quite clear in my view that playing the pick by...

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NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15


12/31/14 12:15PM EST

Play Mia +4.5 -107

SDQL:
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Yup finally an OT to go my way. Feels like about 1-10 on games that go to OT since I don't play the totals so far. Before tipoff I considered middling the game since I got the early line but...

On this tonight too. Lots of queries pointing to it just like Bulls last night....ah. Bulls last night was just bad luck. I also played CHA because the queries looked strong there but hated the...

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15


12/30/14 11:24A EST Trailblazers -2.5 -107 (Pinny, got this one early today)
SDQL:


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playoffs=0 and p:W and season > 2007 and tS(W)-(tS(W)/1.3) <...

NBA SDQL Best Best

12-29-2014 - 6:55EST

Play CHI -4.5 -108


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Certainly playing in Den on tired legs can be hard. A couple things this year seem different with this team - they don't push the pace as much to take advantage of their edge, which I think is a...

NBA SDQL Best Bet

12-28-14 - 1:05PM EST

Play TOR -2 -107

SDQL:
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A and tA(points) >= 102 and oA(o:points) >= 102 and op:W and p:points >= 100 and pp:points >= 100 and month in...

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15


527PM ET Timberwolves +13½ +100* vs Cavaliers

SDQL:
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AD and (o:rest=0 or rest=1) and ats streak<0 and 0<o:ats streak<3 and line>=12 and season>=2006...

I like the real life aspect of this. It would make sense that this is at least a bit of a factor in the outcomes. As far as ATS trends go this is what I have active tonight...but I don't have all...

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

Play posted 12/22 @ 359PM ET
12/22/14 Bulls -4.5 +100 vs Raptors
SDQL:
A and p:W and pp:W and ppp:W and pppp:W and ppppp:W and rest=0 and line>=-8 and month in...

NBA 'Best Bet' 2014-15

12/20/14 - 12:12PM ET

Play Trailblazers +5.5 -103

SDQL: A and tA(points) >= 102 and oA(o:points) >= 102 and op:W and p:points >= 100 and pp:points >= 100 and month...

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

Posted play on 12/19 at 4:40pm
12/19/14 7:35pm Toronto Raptors -7 -113 vs Detroit Pistons

SDQL:
AF and line >=-9 and p:margin>=10 and p:division=po:division...

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

12/17/14 5:22p CT

Play ORL +4 -112

SDQL: AD and WP<50 and (o:rest=0 or rest=1) and ats streak<0 and 0 < o:ats streak < 3<o:ats streak<3<="" font="">

English:...

Hey guys I've been pretty hit or miss on here between travelling for work, family commitments etc but rather than doing any mining and posting BB I've been working on our automation problem. ...

Forget all that. Celtics suck.

NBA Best Bet

12/10/14 4:45 PM EST

Boston +3 -107 (@Charlotte) (Pinny)
H and Average(margin@team and season) <= -6 and p:W and p:margin < 5

Fade the home team that has been losing by...

The take away I had was more around long term injuries. Twolves and thunder both poor performance and both big long term injuries to major players on their teams with little replacement value. Just...

Like the logic in the back end of this query. Along the lines of the mid-range one I think you posted last week. Might try playing around with this to see if there are ways to push this above the...

Last one for me tonight...the updated data split looking at CUSUM viability...LT, MT, ST etc. ST continues to sputter along at 50-50 and MT and LT continue to push out units.
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BTW has any been playing the totals at all or tracking them? I gave up on them a while ago to focus on ATS. Anyone been successful with additional filtering? There has to be value in there...

Haha yes I noticed that as well. It could all be very well meaningless....I personally did not like the Suns pick either but played it. The trends have been strong, although slipped recently, and...

Here is an interesting table...how the trends have stacked up so far split by team the choice was on. These are ATS picks only, and haven't split out as fav or dog...would make sense that there are...

NBA SDQL 'Best Bet' 2014-15

12-8-14 - 6:37PMET

Play: Nuggets +9.5 -102 (Pinny)
SDQL: A and tA(o:points)>=103 and p:M2<=-10 and pp:M2<=-10
English: Play an away team giving up an average...

Hey guys a friend and I setup a crawler a few years back to scrape the daily results of the sdql. It was pretty easy and I almost guarantee this is the method the developer is offering. I will be...

I mean it will automatically open each trend in the list in a browser tab so no clicking through the trends in the sheet. Maybe saves half the time of updating based on my experience.

Hey guys while I've been away for work I've been working in excel and have coded it so that it will run all the queries automatically but you still have to look through each one to see if there is a...

I'm going to be on the road for work this week so I'm doubtful to be posting any best bets. I also have been putting the nba picks in early afternoon into the spreadsheet but won't be able to do that...

Trends say over for this game but they haven't been hitting much more than 50% so far

Oops multipost

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11/26/14 11:55AM EST Grizzlies -6½ -102 vs Lakers

SDQL:

AF and p:HW and pp:HW and p:margin>8 and pp:margin>8 and division!=o:division and line<-4 and...

Spreadsheet 2-0 with 1 ats win and one under win. Up to 65-41 and 6 winning days in a row. There should be 7 or 8 plays at least today when I get a chance to run all 120 queries.

Ok no worries.

Yeah but there are some that are missed. Once we get everything square the
Updating is easier. If you have them documented and easy to share might as well.

No BB for me today. Like the Sac trend to cover but not good enough to put up as a BB today. There will be a big slate to pick from tomorrow.

Great work pip. I've been trying to cross reference the "Spitball Queries" with the spreadsheet and it seems like there a few queries you are posting that are not on the spreadsheet and vice...

I've added the CUSUM data (LT,MT, ST) and my comments on the trends into the spreadsheet. That should cover that piece off, sharing the charts will be another story. The spreadsheet has 2 active...

Spreadsheet 3-2 ats and 2-2 on totals last night on the unique picks. 5 days in a row putting up positive units. 63-41 last 15 days.

With this many on this one it must be a lock!

It is nice to see my evaluation which is usually the obvious ones but it's also important to look at the chart. I finished the plots today and will figure out how to share them on the spreadsheet.

This looks good on CUSUM but has had as much as a 7 loss in a row. Other than that there have been 2 streaks of 3 losses.

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-24-14 - 3:47pmEST

Play: LAC (-4.5) CHA -110 @ Carib (2nd to the dance again here with Mako already on this, but I like the Clips against middling Eastern foe)
...

Rise the wave. The collection we have has been doing very well AND is high volume.

I can going forward but would prefer to figure out how to share this so I'm not accountable for it. The key is filtering out short term which is really just when someone puts a trend and cuts it off...

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NBA01
4

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09.11.2014
1

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ATS
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