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Tailed both.

Right, strange movements.
Maybe a small shot on Vasteras DNB.

Absolutely no market at BF. Strange.

After 30 minutes at 0:0 under 4.5 was @2.0, so I couldn't resist, took it.

Thanks for reminding me on that game.
The market is still dead, but if they are going to fix the game, it will be rather draw or Celik.
I couldn't resist on DC X2 odds @7.5 and put some money on it.

Anyone watching Brazil - Germany fix?

Fram (W) - IR Reykjavik (W) strange live movement.
Fram opened the game @1.90, after 30 minutes they are @1.50, stand 0:0, no cards or anything.

The odds opened about 10 days ago @1.90+ and after Grenland won the cup match against the same opponent the line went down. Personally I don't see anything strange here, regardelss of 85% procent of...

The match will be probably ruled 3:0 because the Skonto players didn't show off.
FInancial problems caused the first team players to boycot the game and at the last moment the club decided not to...

FK Liepaja - Skonto

Something's going on.
1x or Liepaja DNB seems a bet to go.

Betting all-in was never smart thing to do. Even with sure bets there are risks involved.

Many times explained in these 160+ pages: It is mainly about dropping odds, not necessarily 'fixed' games.

Karabakh Agdam (Aze) - Burghausen (Ger)
Ruch (Pol) - Trencin (Svk) Draw

Slovan Bratislava (Svk) - Slovacko (Cze) Over 2.5
Legia (Pol) - Pogon Szczecin (Pol)
FK Rostov (Rus) - D. Zagreb (Cro) DNB
Mattersburg (Aut) - Kosice (Svk) DNB

Jeunesse Esch (Lux) - Dundalk (Irl)

One more worth considering:

Grorud - Fana
+ Over 3.5

I bought it this morning @2.25, now I'm tempted to close the bet.

I'll still post the other matches I took, however explore it on your own:

Uerdingen - Duisburg (1:1 78')


Aalgaard FK - Lyn FK DNB


Envigado FC - Atletico Nacional Medellin

Right, I took Jelgava @1.96 before the match because of reasonable odd drop. Just sold it @1.08
However it was IMO still too risky to post here.

Why is that? Betfair offered it untill the end.

6-1 in 91' minute ... crazy
Thanks addictedto

Betfair still has it @1.4 by 5:1

O6.5 done.

@1.12 but 1.19 in 54' not much...
I see they just scored so bye bye Eur 12

@1.1 Jurmala?
I just layed it for the fun.

It is more than rough.
E.g. based on above data

Total matched on this event:€2,615,538
Betting summary - Volume:€2,133,828


...which says 81.6% bet on Brazil.
I have no doubt it is the...

You can safely assume roughly the same ratio accross the bookies.
The price change is not determined by money matched for each book individualy but in accordance with all of them, they follow not...

In Betfair you can click on 'stats' graph/icon on the left side close to any bet.
Then you can see something like this:


Betting on: Brazil



Total...

Live at Tipico, Lask @1.7, 30'.

They send all the possible outcomes to different people.
A few if not many of those that get the right results bite and pay for further picks.

Two yellow cards??

Of course it is.
It is so far away from the rest of the world.

Why is that? AFA I can see, if one teams wins by scoring in the second half, he is gonna loose some money.
I don't see a sure bet here.

Exactly. Just did it @1.15.
Thanks.

I missed that "NOT" indeed. My excuses.

As far as I can see it's not only between those two teams, because three teams ended with 38 points.
Among the three, Brasov has the best results.

Read again my post.

I don't think so.
After looking through the matches, it looks like Brasov is the best among the three:

Poli Timisoara - FC Brasov 0 : 1
FC Brasov - Poli Timisoara 2 : 1

Navodari - FC Brasov...

Right, I am still not sure about the mutual relationship among those teams:


15
FC Brasov
34
9
11
14
32

1:1 though. Now both teams need victory (if Sageata wins).
Is there any live bookie for this match offering red cards market?

Hm, that's good info. I was tempted to back draw at this result, thinking Gaz Metan has nothing to loose.

The last three + Vaslui relegate.
Live standings, judge for yourself:



http://cdn3.livescore.com/web/img/flash.gif 64'
ACS Poli Timisoara
1 - 0
Concordia Chiajna

It happens too often that referee breaks the party: Red card for Nitra.

Well, I think addictedto is the sharpest in this thread, however this one was lost. Unless you played safer and went over 2.5.

Probably because of red card for the guests. The odds are normal.

Nothing odd. 1:0 home team, second half in play.

It seems like you tailed only the first part of the advice. Greed kills.

Total matched on this event:€274,759
Jurmala :€263,172

Right, I tailed it according to my rules, but still can't comprehend it.

Well it is 1:0 now, 70th minute, but my advice is to sell Jurmala @1.1 if you got a good price earlier.
It becomes too risky.

Why do you think so?



Of course, every game is a toss-up. However it looks that following the seemingly unreasonable confidence (dropping odds for whatever reason) provides some edge in the...