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Shazz I'll try to PM the fades to you

Nope, but I'll take the hint, and not go on and on posting data that is just not as odd as it was when I first started posting it...

lac/chi O 2 units --> -2
chi beats lac 1 unit --> -2
cha/orl O 1 unit --> -1
orl beats cha 4 units --> -4
okc/lal U 2 units --> -2
lal beats okc 4 units --> -4
no/den O 2 units --> -2...

lac/chi O 2 units
chi beats lac 1 unit
cha/orl O 1 unit
orl beats cha 4 units
okc/lal U 2 units
lal beats okc 4 units
no/den O 2 units
cle/hou O 1 unit
hou beats cle 2 units
bos beats gs 3...

mn beats mem 5 units --> +5
mia beats atl 2 units --> +2
mil/ut O 2 units --> -2
ut beats mil 1 unit --> +1
tor/ny O 5 units --> +5
ny beats tor 8 units --> +8
bkn/dal O 1 unit -->...

mn beats mem 5 units
mia beats atl 2 units
mil/ut O 2 units
ut beats mil 1 unit
tor/ny O 5 units
ny beats tor 8 units
bkn/dal O 1 unit
bkn beats dal 1 unit
phx beats sa 1 unit

mn beats chi 3 units --> -3
mn/chi O 1 unit --> -1
cle/ind U 1 unit --> +1
ind beats cle 2 units --> +2
cha/bos U 1 unit --> -1
bos beats cha 1 unit --> +1
mem beats lac 1 unit ...

Heh! I'm not sure if you are referring to the tracking of the results or the shoddy method of recording wins vs losses! But if you see what I am doing then you are definitely a few steps ahead of...

mn beats chi 3 units
mn/chi O 1 unit
cle/ind U 1 unit
ind beats cle 2 units
cha/bos U 1 unit
bos beats cha 1 unit
mem beats lac 1 unit
lac/mem U 1 unit
mia beats no 1 unit
ny/det O 1 unit

cle beats gs 3 units --> +3
gs/cle O 1 unit --> -1
okc/phx U 2 units --> -2
phx beats okc 3 units --> +3

total +3
running total +12
(107-95)

cle beats gs 3 units
gs/cle O 1 unit
okc/phx U 2 units
phx beats okc 3 units

phi/mil O 3 units --> +3
phi beats mil 2 units --> -2
cha/chi U 1 unit --> +1
chi beats cha 2 units --> -2
mem/sac O 1 unit --> -1
sac beats mem 1 unit --> +1
bos beats ny 2 units -->...

phi/mil O 3 units
phi beats mil 2 units
cha/chi U 1 unit
chi beats cha 2 units
mem/sac O 1 unit
sac beats mem 1 unit
bos beats ny 2 units
lal beats ut 1 unit
orl beats mia 1 unit
dal beats...

cle/det U 1 unit --> +1
det beats cle 2 units --> -2
tor beats dal 1 unit --> -1
wsh beats gs 10 units --> -10
gs/wsh O 3 units --> +3
okc beats ind 4 units --> +4

Total -5
Running total +9...

cle/det U 1 unit
det beats cle 2 units
tor beats dal 1 unit
wsh beats gs 10 units
gs/wsh O 3 units
okc beats ind 4 units

mem/lac O 1 unit --> -1
den beats bkn 4 units --> -4
tor/no U 2 units --> -2
no beats tor 5 units --> +5
phi/mia O 2 units --> +2
sa/ut O 2 units --> -2
ut beats sa 5 units --> +5
mn...

Sorry, I just got back from work and it looks like that game already sailed. But I sure as heck didn't see anything wrong with the query. I kind of stopped with those 1st quarter games because I got...

mem/lac O 1 unit
den beats bkn 4 units
tor/no U 2 units
no beats tor 5 units
phi/mia O 2 units
sa/ut O 2 units
ut beats sa 5 units
mn beats hou 1 unit
bos/phx U 1 unit

mil beats atl 5 units --> -5
cle beats ny 1 unit --> +1
cle/ny O 1 unit --> -1
bos/lal U 1 unit --> -1
lal beats bos 2 units --> +2
cha/dal U 1 unit --> +1
ind beats gs 5 units --> +5...

48 active queries found today, here are the fades:

mil beats atl 5 units
cle beats ny 1 unit
cle/ny O 1 unit
bos/lal U 1 unit
lal beats bos 2 units
cha/dal U 1 unit
ind beats gs 5 units...

mia beats no 2 units --> -2
okc/cha O 1 unit --> +1
tor/hou U 1 unit --> +1

total 0
running total +8
(52-44)

I want to make sure it is clear that what I am fading is my own library of queries. It's really tentative fading, with very small bets being placed. If the fading wins, then perhaps that would be...

mia beats no 2 units
okc/cha O 1 unit
tor/hou U 1 unit

det beats chi 1 unit --> +1
det/chi O 1 unit --> -1
mn beats phx 1 unit --> +1
mn/phx O 1 unit --> +1
tor/atl U 1 unit --> +1
tor beats atl 1 unit --> +1
ny beats mia 3 units --> -3...

33 active queries found today so I will skip straight to the fade translation:

det beats chi 1 unit
det/chi O 1 unit
mn beats phx 1 unit
mn/phx O 1 unit
tor/atl U 1 unit
tor beats atl 1 unit...

dal beats okc 1 units --> -1
lac beats sa 2 units --> +2
sa/lac O 2 units --> +2

total +3
running total +10
(38-28)

fade pip query library day 5

Spurs(X6W)(A7)/Clippers(H7)(-2.5--203.0) -- SU: 82-44 (4.31, 65.1%) -- ATS: 84-37-5 (3.28, 69.4%)6W10LWWWWLLWLLLLLWLLL -- OU: 60-64-2 (0.48, 48.4%) L5
...

The sheet consists of nearly 300 single queries, many of which are of dubious value even in good seasons, and I don't think this is a good season, so there are many more queries from that sheet that...

I really don't think programming experience is necessary. It helped me feel a little more confident about being able to eventually learn the sdql commands, because you kind of feel that if you can...

4 possible reasons the pip query libraries have performed so much worse than throwing a dart:

1. Simple variance that will probably swing back in the other direction with a vengeance.
2. Weird...

How long will this last? Is it like nuclear energy, can it be harnessed for the good of mankind?

chi/cle O 4 units --> +4
chi beats cle 3 units --> +3

total +7

running total +7
(34-27)

chi/cle O 4 units
chi beats cle 3 units

Nash, I haven't gotten to the point of trying to single out queries. I just have a big pile of query results from the past month and a half, and most days the losers outnumber the winners, and while...

cle/mia U 1, --> -1
bos/atl O 2, --> -2
sac L vs mil 1, --> -1
ny L vs orl 2, --> +2
ny/orl U 1, --> +1
dal/ut U 1, --> +1
sa L vs det 7, --> -7
lal/por U 1, --> +1
mn/gs U 1,...

Is anybody in that market interested in buying queries to fade? I've made some pretty good ones of those...

cle/mia U 1,
bos/atl O 2,
sac L vs mil 1,
ny L vs orl 2,
ny/orl U 1,
dal/ut U 1,
sa L vs det 7,
lal/por U 1,
mn/gs U 1,
gs L vs MN 1,

Fading the pip query library:

mem beats bkn 1--> -1
cha/det U 1-->+1
lal/den U 3 --> P
den beats lal 3 --> +3
phx beats hou 1 --> -1

Total +2

Fading the pip query library:

mem beats bkn 1
cha/det U 1
lal/den U 3
den beats lal 3
phx beats hou 1

mil/bkn O 2 units -- +2
atl L 2 units -- -2
mia L 1 unit -1
ut O 1 unit -- +1
ut L 2 units -- -2
ind W 8 units -- +8
phi L 2 units -2
phi U 1 unit -- +1
sa U 1 unit -- +1
okc W 2...

You sound really pissed. But you make top notch queries and probably good money as well, so it's not clear why you would be so pissed off. If people aren't doing it the way you do it, they will...

Another aspect of this is I still remember how well the spitball queries did. Part of that might have been lucky timing, but the spitball queries, up until the Nash sheet got made, were like 85%...

That would be kind of awesome! In that case fading the quries might actually work until the lines makers adjust again!

Nice work Cutler. One thing I have come to believe about the sample size is that it might be good to not consider it by itself, but as a function of time. For example, two queries could have the...

OK, so here are my picks/units for today, fading today's queries:

mil/bkn O 2 units
atl L 2 units
mia L 1 unit
ut O 1 unit
ut L 2 units
ind W 8 units
phi L 2 units
phi U 1 unit

How about if you had 100,000 query results saved and 60,000 of them lost over the past couple of years? Wouldn't you feel confident about fading them? I would. But what I am wondering is where is...

I agree with you but along with being fine if I make money, I am perfectly fine if the queries I currently have can consistently lose at a 60% rate, because for me that isn't materially different...

One impression I get from reading down my saved list of results, is that in one of those days, say, when there are 10 winners and 15 losers, or maybe even 20 losers and 5 winners, there are some...

Every day, for maybe a a month and a half or so, I have been running a program to go through the Nash google sheet as well as my own compilation of queries, looking for the active ones for that day. ...

Thanks hyahya!