Matthew's right. 60% of the time is a good rule of thumb. Generally as the difference between your prediction and the line gets larger, the agreement percentage will increase too
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Matthew's right. 60% of the time is a good rule of thumb. Generally as the difference between your prediction and the line gets larger, the agreement percentage will increase too
you should check to see if the line movement agrees with your predictions. If so, then you can feel better about your results being real. Also, if you include too much old data, you introduce noise...