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historically, this has ~1/60 chance of happening.

Stupid to compare ricketts and theo to the tribune co. and jim Hendry. They're two completely different entities.

15 baserunners through 5 innings and no runs. Good start for ya, bank

Hope it doesn't come down to this guy trying to win it for you, coin. Jumbo Diaz, Reds bullpen pitcher extraordinaire

71911

Tomorrow's Pit/Atl game under 7 +105 looks good (Aaron Harang v Francisco Liriano)

Isn't it porcello throwing?

under in detroit tomorrow looks good to me. 3u

Only the best and the brightest in this thread

Was this blovada's line? I only got+110 at5d

Cubs team total o3.5 (pinny)

huh?
http://i.kinja-img.com/gawker-media/image/upload/s--8ttYIk-o--/c_fit,fl_progressive,q_80,w_636/19am69wicsas3png.png...

found a free version
http://regressing.deadspin.com/a-decade-after-moneyball-have-the-as-found-a-new-mark-1489963694

Firstly,
1, you're quoting hellickson's 2014 stats, which are from 2 starts. quoting the stats you are is meaningless.
2. re: A's are weak against GB pitchers -- you're a bit off base, actually...

coin, what do you see in hellickson? i lean over because of him, but am considering oak TTo4

Not so much saying he'll be an ace, but he should get squared up a lot less than he is now if he just stop throwing his 80mph belt high. Even if he doesn't K a bunch of people, the late movemnt...

terribly small sample, but IMO if this guy could ever figure out a release point and get consistent locations, he could be serviceable. At least better than Eric Stults

first time i've seen him and his pitches all have a lot of late movement, but EVERYTHING is up. guy hasn't thrown at the knees all game.

oh man. I got on SD at +105 when I woke up for a small play. didn't see the late move to -110ish

not a big play, just doing what my system says. starters could get hit fairly hard. Minny is actually the worse offense int he game, by a long shot with everyone but danny santana and arcia hitting...

under in SD -105 ~ 2u

like both the mets and yanks today. make sure you shop around as there are some rouge prices out there on both

dude, you are the most worthless poster on this board

i'd play the yankees at +116 even wtihout bovada's dumb line. Scherzer vs. 7 lefties should at least keep this close

no idea re: BM. i wouldn't really consider a book who offers >10 cent lines on a -125 MLB game to be 'sharp'. I usually just stick with pinny/5d/bovada and its been pretty successful.
This isn't...

exactly. If you look at either sbr or sportsbook_spy, you see 62/83% of public is on SF. Pinny is -128, and 5d is -126. Bovada is -142 (just moved from -140...:surrender:).

Bovada lean is better than the pinny lean IMO

Had a 12 unit swing bc of the late inning shenanigans in the pitt/zona and colorado games. I feel ya.

I'm showing 36 runs scored in the 36 innings in or after the 8th inning yesterday. Bullpens,...

interesting play. good luck. The FF line is juiced towards Mia

I guess they know zona's pen better than i do.

u8.5 ~~ Pit @ Ari (3.5u @ +101)
Over 5.5K ~~ M Latos (0.5u @ +120)
FF o3.5 ~~ Cin @ Mia (1u @ -115)
o7 ~~ Cin @ Mia (2u @ -105)
Under 4.5K ~~ W Peralta (0.5u @ -115)
SF (1.5u @ +110)

I see both pitchers as below average, but you have two above average catchers, you have an under ump, roof is closed in 'zona, and so far Goldy is out for AZ. Both pens are slightly taxed, but nobody...

Laa @ Bal u9 @-115 ~ 2.5u

to be fair, besides the HR that went into the 3rd row in RF (35th or so pitch of the inning), there wasn't a single hard hit ball in that six run inning. All bloops or seeing eye singles

I agree about feldman. I lean Hou TT under, but pinny is juicing the under 3.5 while 5d and heritage are moving to 3. Just a little hesitant to play it bc of pinny's lean.

coin, it's worth watching houstons team total at pinny.

well go f\*\*k this bet. Lance barrett would make this a 2.5u play. He's historically been an under ump, but has been pretty even/slight over lean this year. Looks like another monday ump day of...

over 7.5 in cincy @ +122 ~ 1u (pinny lean)

Thanks guys. Bullpens fresh (and relatively good), offenses are below average, Kulpa is a top 4 under ump by my metrics. Hopefully it pans out

Rangers u7.5 @ -102 ~ 4u

Miami under 7.5 @ -118 ~ 2.5u

thanks. Need a bit of help to get to your level tho


Good hit dude

quick look at tomorrow, Porcello over Angels at +109 for 2u

Like Seattle FF at -110 as a bud norris fade. wouldn't play the over due to ump/park factors

I don't remember the Yankees lineup, but yankee stadium should favor a lhp over rhp as its a stadium that favors lhh by about 5-10%. That being said, I'm not one to buy into stadium splits unless...

Also doing Toronto +126 for 1.5u. Kuroda has been pretty mediocre vs. lefty hitters in his career and toronto is throwing 8 LHH against him. Might be wiser to take +115 FF instead.

cubs 2u +112

best i can do today
Mia +165 ~1u
first five o3.5 Ari @ Chc ~ 1u

Bartolo under 4.5 k's at -105 looks good to me

Under in milwaukee tomorrow