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  1. Replies
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    86,293

    Dude, your attitude is getting old. I know what...

    Dude, your attitude is getting old. I know what expected value means and I know how parlays work. I was a math minor and my stats classes were a big part of what got me into the gambling scene. ...
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    It's cute that you feel qualified to speak for...

    It's cute that you feel qualified to speak for everyone, but I still maintain that you haven't argued your position well. Given that I took the time to clarify mine, I think the balls in your court....
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    86,293

    Hah, you should do a better job articulating a...

    Hah, you should do a better job articulating a counter-argument before deigning to whip out the ol' condescension card. I know that you're convinced you're right... I'm just not sure what it is you...
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    Hah, what a ludicrous statement. You're assuming...

    Hah, what a ludicrous statement. You're assuming 20:1 plays always hit. If they did, you'd be correct in thinking me foolish for missing out on profit. The problem is that they don't always hit. ...
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    Actually, the more I think about it, the more...

    Actually, the more I think about it, the more sense I think it makes to avoid anything south of -1000 simply on principle... I'll have to give that some more thought.
  6. Replies
    2,412
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    86,293

    Value... is a curiously subjective word. I...

    Value... is a curiously subjective word. I prefer to think in terms of risk vs. reward. It may well be that a play priced at -2000 could arguably have been realistically priced at -2500 (which...
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    86,293

    Hah, if you say so old timer. I'll give you...

    Hah, if you say so old timer. I'll give you credit for hitting Nugaev at -200 or so and Kovalev at -110 is also a worthy hit if it does indeed go down that way, but don't kid yourself. The value of...
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    Other than Kovalev, they're all absurdly huge...

    Other than Kovalev, they're all absurdly huge favorites (as were the other two). I'm not knocking the bet, but it's hardly something to brag about if it hits.
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    2,412
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    Ka-ching #2! +110 Up three units for the...

    Ka-ching #2!

    +110

    Up three units for the night... maybe I should give up this MMA stuff and stick with boxing. Sure seems to treat me better.
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    86,293

    Ka-ching! +190 baby

    Ka-ching!

    +190 baby
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    I'm not a real big boxing guy, but that was a...

    I'm not a real big boxing guy, but that was a good fight.

    For posterity, I took Nugaev/Hernandez ITD and the under on the Wilder fight.
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