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Somebody is going to lose 'some' money on cricket today... lol
...

OFK won 2-1 @3.15
Zweckel lost
and the incredible drop on Brolo was actually caused by mugs following the money as I thought: Castellana won 3-0, great price the 2.10 I was able to get.

Good day...

I want to complete my post adding that when Brolo started to drop yesterday both on Pinny and Bet365 the max bet was at 30€ on Pinny and 45€ on Bet365.
You could have moved the line with a tenner.

Brolo opened at 8.88 on Pinny which was ridicolous considering they won game 2 in a pretty good fashion.
It's also worth of note that Castellana have some issues on the spiker spot with some players...

Play Castellana Grotte @2.10 on Marathon guys, HUGE value.

Ladbrokes but it's too late I think...

lol now it should be ok.

Again, apologies for the nicknames guys: I just messed up OMG with AP and Vaugh with you.
It was a lot of work, believe me!

Anyway thank you for the help!

lol copypasting fooled me, you're right guys, I meant Aussiepunter!

Apologize to onemoregoal!

All Vaughany plays are correct though.

The only two games worth of note for today:

Zeta - OFK Petrovac (MON)
Drop of 18.5%the away side in mid morning on a big asian bookie. Not a biggest league but a drop at 11am CET means that some...

Since I've just noticed that someone is used to edit his posts (already spotted out by edabramov though) and during the last couple of days we've had a ton of non-sense posting with something like...

Corrected.

Part 5

Botev Plovdiv - Levski BUL Botev to win @1.81 [11% drop from 2.04] AussiePunter 2-0 :moneybag:
Tigres v Atlante MEX Tigres to win @1.74 [11% drop] AussiePunter 6-0 :moneybag:
Inter Baku...

Mmm, which ones? I double-checked all the 1X2 and OU plays... Probably I didn't paid too much attention to the HT/FT ones.

Anyway, back to business.
Thread summary part 4

Bastia v Troyes HT/FT [suspicious drop] various posters NO :an_burn_m
Fylkir @1.88 ICE/CUP AussiePunter 1-1 :an_burn_m
Aris @2.71 CYP/1 [drop...

I use the italian version, so far no problem!
Anyway it's easy to use some mug friend account sometimes, at least here: one smart bet in a -10,000€ balance isn't suspicious...
He's happy because I...

Lol, three goals in 7 minutes. Love India.

Tsmoki Minsk vs Gaziantep BB Basketball/Eurochallenge Road win @1.70 [Mover] OGUCCI-SBR 67-68 :moneybag:
Al Arabi -1 @1.71 AussiePunter 3-3 :an_burn_m
Ferencvaros DNB @1.78 HUN/1 [Big Mover]...

Pachuca v Monterrey MEX Pachuca to win @1.85 [from 2.11 to 1.85] AussiePunter :moneybag:
The Strongest v Velez The Strongest to win [team well backed] AussiePunter :moneybag:
Lekwhya v Teractor...

Rechecked all the dropping odds related posts in the thread since the start back in '13 and this is what I've found so far:

(the format is: game - league - pick - odds - drop info - first poster -...

You guys seem to be on each drop of the day... lol :laugh:

Anyway the one that I like the most is the over on East Bengal v Mumbai.

Over 2.5 on my favourite slow bookie Paddy @2.00

Kickoff...

Nope. 0-1
I thought this was really strange, especially because continued to drop down to 1.90/1.85 in places.
Weird Serie B night though, just one over 2.5 out of almost a dozen of matches.
...

Krems - Austria 94 29-26 FT

Once again good run for the money for who took it at 13.00 (great chances to edged out since price was 4.30 at the start).
Anyway the +4.5 handicap @1.95 hold and I'm...

and for Trapani too after a missed penalty.

Completely missed the under in the french game.

Another that I don't get is why Oxford City is dropping so big.
Considering how small the market is could be anything but it seems non-sense looking at the table.

They're still at 3.20 at Coral.

Usually the bad weather influences the under, not the over.
Anyway I live not more than 150km away from La Spezia and if the weather is more or less the same than here it should be very cloudy, cold...

You're wecolme dude. It was an easy one, no need to thanks.



Let's add another one.

Spezia v Trapani O 2.5 dropped from 2.31 to 2.00 on Pinny during the afternoon. A 13% drop in a not so...

Just a quick list on what I've kept on my list since this morning with the reasoning behind (because this is the purpose of the thread):

Johor to win @3.10 [suspicious league, very good drop,...

West Indies 171
Bangladesh 98

27.308.323 euros matched on the Home/Away only and it was all ok.
It's just about knowing what to look for...;)

Not saying it's fixed, probably just a wrong line looking at the teams stats and recent form, but the U 156.5 (opening line) in the Pau-Orthez v Strasbourg was heavily wagered by a lot of decent guys...

Yeah 30' if they won't eliminate two more players.

Anyway it's already a blowout, easyest money of the month for me.

Suspicious or simply not in line with what they were expecting.

Let's say you are a bookie and offer a team to win a match at 2.00.
In the morning you're receveing 10k of bets on that team which...

They usually close markets when they're seeing suspicious betting patterns pre-match or even in-play if they're receving too much money if compared to what it should be based on the situation.

Of...

lol somebody dropped 150k euros on West Indies @1.30 on BF hope it's not u :D

Yeah if you're interested in backing them this is the best moment, market overreacted after the last 4 wickets in a single over.

West Indies closed with 171, 4 late wickets in the last over but game was already gone at that moment.
Bangladesh fielding was the most ridicolous thing I've ever seen from a serious test nation in...

Kelantan - Johor 1-2 after a home advantage.
3.10 on Paddy when we first talked about the match on the thread.

Did you guys got what I mean for suspicious matches? ;)

Goal Johor. ;)

Less than 30' if you means with WI at bat.

The complete match will end in a couple of hours or more, it depends.

Anyway it looks pretty much over after 16 overs at bat for WI: 123 runs with...

Not choking, just not crushing the opponents...

In this last 10th over only they scored 17 points. Don't think this will be a problematic one...

Pretty much, they're up 34-0 after 5 overs out of 20 with no wickets.
This means they'll probably be able to complete the 20 overs with a projected total of 136 which should be enough against a...

LOL West Indies already 11 runs with no elimination.

It's Betfair and it's in-play, more than normal...

I'm talking about the 1X2 option of course.

In this case to me it's definitely more relevant that the only asian bookie which listed the game already removed it from the list.
Opened at 2.65 and closed at 2.25 before blackout.

It's a 15%...

Good look Jacky!

I think this have to be followed closely.

3.10 on Paddy and Malaysian leagues are not so clear afterall...

Forgot to add that I think 1.35 is valuable because to me it's pretty much impossible Bangladesh will beat West Indies.
The only reason why odds are 1.35 and not 1.20 or lower is because WI lost by...

The amount is pretty big because:
1. Cricket is one of the most popular sports in UK, Betfair biggest market
2. Twenty20 is the one of the biggest events in cricket
3. Cricket is a very good...

West Indies is a very popular and strong team and the biggest % of the money is on them to win @1.35
Plus I cannot see where did u found another ICC World Twenty20 match scheduled for today in order...

'Morning everyone.

Why we're having a 41% drop on Handball team Austria U20?
NO FIX HERE.

It's just some good tipster which spotted out a probably weak line (and I totally agree).
No reason...