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I believe that you can find a query that will fit any bet, if you look long enough.
Under, Over, backing the home team, fading it - all in one game.

I also believe that any query can be found...

Why this query doesn't show last night's game between Memphis and Hawks?
Hawks won last game as home dog and faced Memphis as road dog.

WP>60 and p:HWD and AD and season>2012 and playoffs=0

I don't know.
For example, if I assume that good rebounding team does good against bad rebounding team, if it comes off a loss where they lost the rebounds battle (just an example of course) and I...

I can't agree with you here.
If query is good, that means that the logic behind it was correct and it brings profit.
If query is bad, it just means that the logic didn't prove itself and that the...

No, but would it change the queries that fit? I won't check them each now, but maybe we would have seen queries supporting Pelicans or one two queries would have fallen off from those that fit the...

Not exactly. Game was tied 35 - 35 when Davis, best player in the league this season got hurt, left the game and didn't come back. Not saying Pelicans would have won with him, but you can't ignore...

What's trend market?

76 and 183 are the same trend... Deleted 183.

Would like your opinion guys, on situations, where great trend, after filtering becomes a good one.

For example. Trend as is, has 70% hit rate. But after filtering (month or season or line or rest...

AD and p:H and pp:A and ppp:A and pppp:A and ppppp:A and season>2012
O/U:7-17-1 (-7.72, 29.2%) avg total: 202.0

If you go back longer - it still works fine.

Interesting that if you do this:...

I correct myself, obviously if in 2010 and 2004 and 1998 results are also good, I don't mind that. I'm just saying that I really don't care about it...

I firmly against myself for LT trends and much prefer ST trends.
I feel that NBA has evolved and more important, bookies have evolved. If 4 - 5 seasons ago, I could easily find a raw line, now?...

To be honest, I'm not big believer in Nash's tests, unless Nash corrects me. All the queries we added during this season - we added since they work this season.
If I will add now a query that is 24...

I don't think it's a problem. If you have good queries that contradict each other - it's a good thing, since it will allow you to stay away from bad bets. That's why I always work with each query to...

Am I the only one that has Totals plays giving much much better results than ATS plays the last month or so?

I don't think it had rough go the last couple of weeks, not for me anyways.
I'm currently not looking to add queries, but to find best ways to work with existing ones and last week I hit around 40%...

I think you need to be an action junky to play games that showing up on queries and look for meaning, why games didn't show up on queries to bet the opposite.

I do wonder, why queries are so good...

I agree, that's why months matter though. I believe that team in biggest fatigue in January. Start of the season is far behind, the holidays are behind and ASG break no where in sight. Favorites tend...

I don't see any reason why ST trend is weaker than LT trend, for short term...

If there is a trend that works this season, that's all I care about. If trend was great for 10 years, but doesn't...

74 query also supports the Thunder.

Looking at Nash's NBA plays that he made with all the queriesm if we look at double plays and remove all the ones that have contradicting plays, we get no less than 17% yield! Very impressive!

Today's queries that I liked from the file:
247 Over in Detroit
244 21 Toronto
234 Utah
204 Under in NY
146 Under in Minny
129 120 Spurs
107 70 10 13 Pacers
88 Charlotte
63 29 18 Dallas

Double plays hit 57.6% of the times.
Regular plays hit 54.7% of the times.

Nash, thanks! Great Work!!!

Still, playing B2B in Denver...

team=Nuggets and HD and o:rest=0 and season>2012

<tbody>
ATS:
4-1-0 (3.90, 80.0%)
avg line: 2.9

Thanks for the heads up - edited :cheers:

Don't do too good in general.

AD and rest>3 and WP>60 and p:L
AD and rest>3 and WP>60 and p:L and conference=Eastern


<tbody>
SU:
7-13 (-7.50, 35.0%)

I really like the Under as well, but few last games by the Raptors... As you said, you have to be a brave man to play the Under.
Still undecided if I'm brave enough...
BOL!

241 21 11 1 Indiana +2.5
234 151 Toronto +5
151 55 Sixers
199 142 106 56 12 13 Atlanta -4
152 21 Wizards -9.5
151 Under in LA
151 Under in Utah
94 Over in Utah
145 Under in LA
141 Charlotte...

Not crazy about tonight's queries. Here is what I like more or less:
182 68 Kings +1.5
144 Pacers -1.5? - not too crazy about it
109 80 Over 196 in Orlando? also mediocre
79 13 Cleveland
62 Over...

Good luck mate, but I hope you are not counting on Cleveland team to block. Sixers suck, but they are ranked 5th in the league as far as blocks go. Cleveland ranked 22...
Also, you can't count out...

195 33 Clippers +2183 76 Minny +14
171 Portland +6
171 Under in Oklahoma
156 Suns -1.5
133 Thunder -6
113 Under 191 in Miami
97 Over 191 in Miami
107 Under 193.5 in Indiana
107 Pelicans -2...

date in [20141223,20131223,20121223,20111223,20101223,20091223,20081223,20071223] and p:A and H

<tbody>
ATS:
7-17-0 (-5.31, 29.2%

</tbody>

This one has even better results with much logic...

date in [20141225, 20131225, 20121225, 20111225, 20101225,20091225,20081225,20071225] and H
SU:18-15 (-0.55, 54.5%)ATS:16-16-1 (-3.32, 50.0%) avg line: -2.8O/U:12-21-0 (-6.42, 36.4%) avg total:...

Yes, it's a known fact actually.

line>12 and month=1 and season>2009
SU:4-48 (-17.92, 7.7%)ATS:17-33-2 (-4.31, 34.0%) avg line: 13.6O/U:16-34-2 (-4.81, 32.0%) avg total: 195.5
Big dogs suck big time in January.
Also notice the...

You're right :) - just realized that. Just been messing a bit with fatigue queries...

p:overtime>0 and rest=0 and p:W and H
SU:27-24 (2.20, 52.9%)ATS:17-33-1 (-3.71, 34.0%) avg line: -5.9O/U:20-31-0 (-2.41, 39.2%) avg total: 195.3

Good idea to fade a team that won in overtime...

A lot of very strong trends collide tonight in Minnesota, both on total and on the line.
Checked the queries, but didn't find anything I liked.

Boston had one pretty strong query, but with all...

Today's queries - if someone can add them to the NBA plays sheet:
19.12.14


170 47 14 (weak) 6 Oklahoma -6.5
169 52 Toronto -7.5
167 Charlotte -4.5
163 Under 200 in Detroit
163 Under 191.5...

AF and p:HW and pp:HW and p:margin>8 and pp:margin>8 and division!=o:division and line<-4 and season>=2010 and o:HL and month=12
Query 52 if we add month...

Posted tonight's queries on the file.

I like 15th query and Dallas looks nice as well.

Today's queries - some are really nice I think:

80 Hawks -2.5
158 Under 196 in Toronto

126 Under 199 in Indiana
121 13 3 Boston -5 - very very mediocre (121)
96 Orlando +7
86 Under 209.5 in...

Updated the file with tonight's queries.

streak>9 and site=away and line >0 and playoffs=0
SU:9-28 (-7.05, 24.3%)ATS:13-24-0 (-3.31, 35.1%) avg line: 3.7O/U:20-17-0 (1.04, 54.1%) avg total: 195.6
Very hot teams, playing as dogs on the...

Yeah, "contest" was a poor choice of words. Just didn't know how to name it properly... :)

You know what? Doesn't matter. I don't want to argue and waste my time over things like that. That's why I never do such kind of contest and so on... You end up wasting energy on things that really...

Can you show me a link, where it states that it has to appear in sdql db?
If the play fits both the query and the logic behind it, who cares that it didn't appear on sdql db, because Thunder started...

NBA best bet
Play: Clippers -2.5 -105

SDQL: conference = Western and o:conference = Eastern and WP>60 and o:WP>60 and playoffs=0 and season>2010 and site=away and line<0 and line>-5
Very small...

Have many thoughts on my own about how to rate queries, but I come from a bit different approach, since I add basketball factor in to it and not basing just on the numbers, but will write my thoughts...