I can guarantee it...both days a complete "round robin" of 10 two-leg parlays could have been created from the five plays.
On Friday 4 of the 5 plays hit...ringing the bell on 6 of the 10...
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Type: Posts; User: fitguy67 Search by Threads Advanced Search View New Posts
I can guarantee it...both days a complete "round robin" of 10 two-leg parlays could have been created from the five plays.
On Friday 4 of the 5 plays hit...ringing the bell on 6 of the 10...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FscIgtDJFXg
keel, i couldn't resist keeping the protocol going by combining (#1 with #3 ) and (#2 with #4)...
just curious if you operate basically like this...coming up with the best set of plays for the day...
always cool when u get into the "free spins" round on the spin you've declared is the last you're willing to pay for...
i like the bonus round here...dead simple "16x or nothing" proposition (hit...
i'm looking forward to these, keel...be sure to notify/link us to the spinoff threads when they start
i like the way you play your "B" and "C" cards judiciously...noticed how you won two Bs on sunday and spread them out over the next two days (the first one dying Monday and the second one turning...
one door closes:thumbsdow...two open :grrr::grrr:...
:popcorn:
bang! and bang!:highfive: and :cheers:
fortune favors the faithful (...but only the persistently faithfully):grrr:...well played, sir!
:cheers:
deal me in...no other way in hell i'd play either of those two overly-interrupted/overly-bureaucratic (and in the case of "foot"ball, overly-manned/overly-padded...cf rugby where same handful of guys...
which creates another "B"...so we now have 2 unplayed B-tickets available for tomorrow, just like we did at the start of today...:cheers::grrr: (one door closes, another opens...)
(altho having a...
i was about to celebrate "2.5 winnah's...everything hit except ARZ ppd"...then notice that after anguishing over TEX to score in the 13th and 14th with RISP and less than 2 outs...successfully...
WTF, texas had a guy on 3rd with just 1 out in bottom of the 13th for god sakes...
game over at any level of baseball from little-league on up where fundamentals are emphasized...
nobody bunts...
you only add in the losses on "A" plays right?...i know if an A play -0.3/+0.90 wins...the "B" play that flows from it will hold back the 0.3 originally staked on the A...and risk just the 0.9won...
keel, interesting read on a straight-up version of the same drought that has hit your picks almost exactly one calendar year apart...
whatever you do, do NOT change your normal picking m.o one...
nyy game officially aborted
un-freakin' believable "think you had a cold spell?" war-story brewing (hopefully fully-brewed by now!)...3-33...just 9% on parlays with implied 23% hit-rate...
easy to remember ain't...
here's a protocol to generate all the same-game (ML*OU) plays as close to +300 without going under...each iteration will spin out combinations that are of increasing-payout (hence less likely as...
and that's the 2nd time in a few days the mets just pissed a parlay away for us...u just had'em +1.5 and they gave up a walk-off 2-run homer in the bottom half of extra -innings ("urge to...
since re-setting with a 50u bank on July 31: 3-31, but down only 7.59u (an obviously large%, 67.9%, of the tiny 11.17u played at average odds +323.81)
hitting under 10% like this on plays with an...
the mets have to be the most predictably un-clutch team in MLB...5-run lead after 5...eroded to 1-run after 8, of course...do you think for just once they could actually...uh, you know, what's that...
all depends on your "stomach" for a bumpy ride...
for me, a higher-variance (bumpier) ride is both more profitable and character-building
how well the method has withstood an...
got it...it's funny how if you use the word "due" people will jump all over you...so i turn it around and say the universe OWES us some joy to counteract this ridiculous 3-29 spell...
would you...
now 3-25 since last C-hit (an 11% rate on plays with a book rate we're paying for of 23%) ...the universe officially "owes" us some joy...and we "deserve" it cuz we've been SO reasonable in our...
yeah...i think aiming for 20% per "project" as you've setteled into now is just about perfect...
50 unit Bank...target 10 units which is 20% of bank...starting play 1/50th of that target = 1/5th...
amazing stats for this bet-sizing protocol so far
10-43, +20.48u = 75% of the 27.31u risked (note an average risk of only 0.52u)
almost all of the profit (+18.55u) coming from one "C" hit on...
faak...looks like just 2 out of the last 20 it is...two good things about that...
1. it's character-building (helps to cultivate patience=the longer-term perspective regarding things statistical...
congrats on getting us our first free entry (in a while) into the "pick 2 consecutive +300-or-higher MLB parlays for all the marbles" round...
and we have a chance for two more before the night is...
faak...three night's in a row we were really close (on the very last game of the evening) to graduating to the BC bonus-round...
good luck (aka. sampling variance) tomorrow!!
it turn out i've also set my bank for this project at 50 bullets...meaning each is 2% of the store and the target 10 bullets means a 20% increase
i'm following along because i like the...
frakkin' braves
with you every pull of the way
gl2us
keel, just to clarify...when u changed gears you had 35.21u of your original 50u bank...and were targeting the 14.79u you needed to get back to that
the parlay project has since netted 10.38u,...
nice bit of positive variiance for the good guys...hit the two big'uns & lost the two littl'uns (...hmmm, one of them might even work out)
gl2us2nite...we deserve it...last night's loss on the pit/sfo over was especially annoying (5-0 after 2 innings...zilcho after that)...so easily we could have three, instead of two, B-legs in play...
i'm treating this like a hi-variance but +eV slot machine...have to keep pulling the lever till the inevitable "pop" compensates us for the patience exhibited...
hits on parlays are very...
with u every parlay of the way...gl2us
no problem at all...i'm fully onboard with the type of angles ur working now...
patience/persistence=the key ingredient
if keel doesn't mind, i can...can be found easily by adding "jeffthehat" (with the "@" in front, of course) at that site with the blue-bird logo...
keel and confucius both say "ignore first two...
GSE/LAA (C)
i started yesterday playing all (any system) of his posted C/D's as a simple 2-game chase to net-win a unit
yesterday TOR +1.5, -150 won so 1-0, +1u
____________
gud luk on the...
keel...bol, pal
really appreciated ur sobering comments over in the JTHat thread...sold me on stalking the GSE strictly for the Cs&Ds...i'll give u a heads up when the next one lines up