Search:

Love the North/Essendon 1H over.

Sando can't lay more than a try here with the Roosters, they are not a great away side and the list of teams they beat away by more than a try last season reads:...

Thanks guys, and geez I read the press wrong, I knew all those other outs but thought Carney was in.

On a plane at 10K feet right now (loving wifi why the Fk don't all flights have it?), going to...

Long time no talk ladies, and gentlemen. Had to let go of the sports betting time commitment, started some new business ventures, etc etc.

Onto tonight, like Bulldogs in a white wash initially....

I used to play League and I agree with you that 80 minutes can be a bloody long time, particularly if you are getting pounded like our team used to :D

That said that there's a pure stats equation...

Good to see you back posting Gee. You're right I'd forgotten about the Dees being in the mix earlier in the year - if they are caught yes it's hasta la vista. Cheating their way to the being the...

If Canberra Raiders players start getting caught then that pretty much kills the case for them being "performance enhancing" - time for some better drugs boys!

Agreed - ATS covers after a coach sacking are on of the strongest situational angles you can get, combined with home underdogs of more than a try - seems like a good play on Raiders.

Been looking at Matchbook - lines are no better than Pinny's, and even less markets, why do people use them?

But on the flipside - BetVictor looks great, just like Bet365 before they decided to go...

Ditto - why would you play Hayne in this spot? I like Melbourne to rack the points up here, they are 25 points behind Manly in differential, and given Manly plays Melbourne at BO - a winnable game -...

Been meaning to join Matchbook for ages, anyone else here used it much? And been able to deposit and withdraw with no issues?

Roosters and over for 2nd half were the easiest live bets I've made in a while, sorry can't post here as I watch MNF at a local retirement home with an old fella (who nearly cracked first grade for...

You should always be suspicious when a bookie is telling you specific cherry-picked facts, even if - well by definition - they are true.

This could be a slaughter tonight but it could also be like...

Don't fear the big start - unless a bookie is recommending it! :P

Reminds a few weeks ago Tom was spruicking home underdogs - sure enough that weekend every single one lost.

I think tonight is...

Stubhub, unless a game is going to be a sellout you should get a bargain.

Sure will be! I'll be torn, I grew up in Newcastle and Knights are in the blood. Really liking the Knights ML and +6.5 today, what are your thoughts?

I've studied the draw, here's how I have it playing out.

I think Knights finish on 27 or 29 minimum with a good goal difference.

Titans I don't think win another game this season and end on 24....

Angelo - I like Knights too and will auto play them on the ML, ticks the right boxes - home dog, something to play for, etc. HS is one of the strongest home ground advantages too.

Wouldn't touch...

Two points:

1) The dog systems or angles out there usually work on both closing and opening prices, but waiting till late to play your bet does seem slightly more likely to get you better odds,...

It's well known that the ATS market is much bigger than the ML market for most sports. Most of the "sharp" money goes to picking winners ATS, which means the ML can become dominated by people wanting...

Huh? Graham has been consistently starting every game. Hasler just threw a curve ball for this one. Playing long minutes is part of being a professional, and it's usually the other way around, start,...

Yea pretty disappointing effort alright, they just had the wrong attitude tonight, I think they thought they could just turn up and win.

They still looked far more attacking than the Titans, just...

At Sportsbet - yep. Weird because he's started pretty much every other game he's been in, and he came on super early. Even with Kasiano going off he only got 100 metres in nearly a full game of play...

He didn't say he backed them at -700 you mor.on

In other news, I'm piss.ed that Graham didn't start, came on after less than 10 mins and ruined my prop bet.

Yea they have an intimidating pack right now, best in the comp IMO. Williams looks like he might finally be settling in as well his second man play is a big weapon, I finally I think it's clicked in...

S22 - Graham under 140.5 metres is the only prop that I like so far, I think with Kasiano and a full forward pack to share the load, and with Titans having a few decent bigs themselves this has some...

Hey mate, been swamped like a muther fker at work so haven't had much chance to contribute of late.

This time of season I look to back teams with something to play for - particularly underdogs,...

S22 good job scouting the props, I like Jennings under too but my concern is that Roosters turn this into a blowout. I was on Seattle too in MLB, and I was also on the Saudis +22.5. Sometimes I feel...

Sando - love the Roosters future play with Inglis out for Souths on their run home. I'm a recent concert to futures plays and like to pick these type of spots.

Also having a small play on Brisbane...

Wow - that's an amazing set of stats. It says you need simply back every single home dog, year in and year out and you'll end up long term profitable. You are getting about 75 bets per year too, so...

Let's hope not, above 120 metres I think it stops being an auto play. He's a very versatile player and goes looking for the ball, I'm actually surprised St George didn't use him more last night....

Mate - this is A1 analysis - awesome work! I'd been working on my own excel models on this for ages but just never had the time to finish them due to work commitments, I'd always suspected that large...

No - solid thinking. I simply looked at his recent results and it was a no brainer, 164 metres against Roosters (despite them LOSING 36-0), 134 against Penrith, 131 against NQ, 100 against Newcastle...

S22 - awesome call on Nightengale, I smashed that prop too. Always nice to get 100 metres plus from your player in the first half.

I had under 40 so feel moderately screwed at the push but I will...

Mate pump that prop - over 3 goals is $1.38 at Sportsbet (!!)

Great write ups everyone, sorry i don't have time to contribute at the moment. Sando and Oz - right with you tonight, I have money on North at the half time line, full time line, team total and...

Mate I fking love this play, been eyeing it off all week - along with the full game ML too. I've watched all of Carlton's recent games and they are really not in a good place right now, one of the...

Great work mate, keep those props coming, softest markets in NRL, I think I'm like 70% for them for the year, including tailing you and s22.

Yea saw that, 88 metres each, what are the odds! Dugan had a great game, NSW loses nothing with him at fullback. I'm not sure about what to do with Hayne, I'm not a big fan of just "fitting in" a...

Sportsbet are scum, but you just have to know how to make it look like you are a fish. Bet strange amounts (like $203.14) go a crazy parlay (15 teamer or something) bet a small amount on a random...

Duplicate post

Stats services are different, that's just a way of saving yourself time with data. I've had RAS before and they are OK but unless you place your bets within seconds - literally - most of their lines...

Wow - epic post! Thanks for taking the time to write that mate, you should write a book - seriously. Great story.

A lot of what you wrote sounds familiar, I've also bought into a few stupid...

Yea you're probably one of the 5% Sando I'll grant that. But you are the exception in how you manage your bankroll, study the game and know your sports, and I figure this is not your professional...

Bowen in and line has gone up from -8 to -8.5 on Pinny, lol

Yea only ones I've seen who are semi pro do it through poker - a path I considered until I realise how retarded most poker players are and how boring it is to spend hours in front of a screen playing...

You move lines s22!

Depends though Sando, personally for me betting that small is a waste of time. Better off either saving for a bigger bankroll (best option) or if you're a degenerate, going all in on solid short...

Top pick on the over Sando, easy cash

Yea pretty sick beat in the end, any of about 4 or 5 events in the last few minutes would have covered.

Overall though game played as I thought, Adelaide competitive and with a chance to win. Pies...

There is daylight between the Pies and Hawks/Swans/Cats right now. Pies were much more consistent under Malthouse, and the press he formulated while he was there is what won them the premiership and...