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Phew - I ended up on the under too and it never felt easy! Great upset by GC, can't believe I yet again didn't pull the trigger on a ML bet on such a big underdog.

Here's to ending the season...

Thanks Gee, I should rephrase that as Sportsbet showing their hand; though from a team total perspective 12.5 is not a hell of a lot different from 14.5 (as 2 of 3 conversion misses with Sezer is...

What's the Titans team total? I'm thinking the under there might be even stronger - thoughts?

Edited: it's only 12.5, no play. Bulldogs total is only 28.5 too (this is @sportsbet) looks like books...

I live near Tiger territory and go to a few games, I'd be very surprised if this was anything other than a hugely supportive crowd.

Benji is one of those guys who stays the extra 30 mins to sign...

Fair point re: forward packs, but this is precisely the dogs problem. Williams, for example, is a cancer to that team IMO, lots of one out running with little steam, and dodgy offloads. He gets a...

Yea, I don't give Bulldogs or Warriors a chance either, just aren't consistent enough mentally this year to make it all the way to a GF and win. It's a 4 horse race and seems destined for a Souths vs...

Tough one, Maloney's goal kicking was the X factor none of us seem to have factored in - Roosters 2nd options are horrendous. Pearce miss was just amateur central, and 2 other tries were 80%+...

Strong late line movement to Roosters at Pinny, over at 33.5 has stayed firmly juiced at $1.77 (a good sign for the over backers, I have Pinny juiced totals hitting at >60% this season)

Yea could be the defense is sliding, but for me there's only two recent anomalies - Manly vs Canterbury and Roosters vs Eels. And I can't see any fundamental reason for a slide, apart from maybe some...

Some relevant stats for tonight:
Manly on average give up 13.2 points, and are the #1 defense
Roosters on average give up 13.7 points, and are the #2 defense
The average score against top 8...

Late but I'm liking NQ tonight, you?

Two sick beats in a row, part of why it can be brutal betting unders.

You'll be back though, you can't leave and you know it ;-)

Sickening, a true MNF special. Try on both half and full time and sideline conversion to lose.

Yea tell me about it brother! I had Dragons +5.5 BIG, most frustrating loss all season for me. When Soward missed that last conversion, I knew how it was going to end up.

Anyway - onto tonight,...

Look drop the attitude. You're a good guy but counting live plays to a record is BS, sorry. That's what touts and people who care more about their records than helping others win do. This sub forum...

If you're counting half time or live chases then your record is bullish.it

I sense we are all going to be on the under ...

Been eyeing that under too, if wasn't MNF it would be an auto play.

I think this is the week Sharks get their reality check, and potential a flogging. The main risk I think is they drop their...

Good work mate! You should have had 20X on each and you'd be up nearly 50 units on the season :D

Onto MNF, Sharks faded bad last week, it's Souths or nothing tomorrow ...

Totals are too unpredictable in the early rounds, I think no one has an edge on them. I've only played one so far (Brisbane/Storm) and even that could have gone either way.

Get on the Eagles for...

One your way guys! Game could have had 50 points - by Titans alone - but given the rotten luck in other games you were due. How bad are the Raiders? In total disarray at the moment.

The game could have gone over don't get me wrong, I was specifically saying how many times did they look like scoring inside the Broncos 20, yes Saints could have had the forward and interference go...

Shocker of a game really ... Under was pretty solid, yea Dragons had their chances in the Broncos 20 but how many times did they actually look like scoring? Not many.

Both teams have no chance of...

I remember that game - brutal beat! I had a $15k parlay that lost with a team (CFB) losing after being ahead 4 touchdowns in the 2nd half. Not a bad beat of major proportions but hurt real bad.
...

Yea agree Gee, eg anyone see that Manhatten vs Iona end game a few days ago - now that there is some crazy shit!

League remains a soft market I think, we know you won't be able to give it up Mr...

This will not be a thrashing I can guarantee it, they went 8-3 in games at Win in 2012 (with close losses to Bulldogs, Souths and NQ) and beat the likes of Melbourne and Manly.

The best chance for...

No danger of jinxing this one, great play, I didn't see this amount of points coming

BOL for the season mate! Agree that books seem to be sharpening up their lines, though I think TG is right that totals still provide a market inefficiency.

Don't like any overs for round 1 but...

Good work mate! Totals have been good to all of us lately.

At first glance I'm liking Tigers and Warriors this weekend, always like to play good sides close to full strength around origin time.

If you watched the 2nd half that over should have easily hit, I guess sometimes the "obvious" plays do win even on MNF.

Nice call in the saints under, never looked in doubt.

As for record keeping, IMO you shouldn't count live bets, the official thread record should represent plays made before the game that others...

Tell me about it mate! Should have been at least 40+ points scored, but Brisbane kept bombing try after try and Newcastle kept dropping the ball when they have possession.

You'd make that play...

I was actually pretty positive after the game - Uate could have got the ball more, but I thought he, Boyd, McManus and Naiqama in particular had good games. Their fitness levels were good - but...

Good work mate, you had a fantastic season - a holiday well earnt. I'll be betting significant $ on only a few games from here on in too, will of course have some action wagers, but small enough to...

Broncos were the most impressive in the games so far, though with some dubious help from the Ref early on - with it being Lockyear's swansong year they are going to be really tough to beat,...

Really wanted to go to the Dragons/Tigers game, but with the RWC, and AFL finals on at the same time, and the potential for rain, it really makes watching it at home with mates and a few beers the...

That was one of the more brutal beats this year for me, wasn't on it for more than 2 units, but still there's a 4 unit swing right there. Anyway I made about 10 units on the weekend tailing the guys...

MrXYZ - I know you like cappers who know their stuff, so you should check out Boom_Boom and rush over at the Covers forum - they were on Miami +4 tonight, so that's what I took - hopefully we both...

Great regular season record Mr XYZ, look forward to your insight for the finals.

Epic month of sport coming up with NRL and AFL finals, RWC, US open - going to have to take some time off work :D

Opposite of your side leans at the moment, Penrith have nothing to play for, and if Saints go up two tries in th 1H this bet is all over. Also the Knights game is the old boys game and the stadium...

Yea, along with the Storm talent, Bellamy is a super finals coach, and Brisbane have the motivation with Lockyear's swansong to take it all the way. Just no value on them in my opinion. I considered...

Cowboys have beaten both Manly and Melbourne this year (obviously with a healthy JT), and on their day they can still beat any team.

The likely first round matchups in the finals are as follows:...

The scoreline actually didn't do the Titans justice, the line of +-20 was pretty much spot on. If the Titans could have converted when they had the field position at 22-10 then the cover would have...

Still not a bad round all things considered.

For tomorrow night I'm thinking Titans +20 have to be the play, I mean, I can't think of one of these 14+ spreads that have hit for the favourite the...

Yes, this is the most open finals season in memory for me, you could make a case for at least 6 of the teams to make the grand final (I'm ruling out Knights/Rabbits and Saints) - though I really...

Not to over-react to one game, but you'd have to place Manly as the team to beat based on what you're seeing tonight. Saints a shell of their former self, and Storm - Slater aside - just don't have...

And there goes the game - Storm really are being shown up here tonight, I guess the bookies were giving us a hint giving them a 4 point head start.

I'm switching over to the AFL, later guys.

Storm ball control and kicking game is just not there tonight, half-time can't come soon enough.

Holy sh.it, it's on like donkey kong here at Brookvale! Bring back the biff!

Still early days, but Manly are having a beast of a game here - extremely aggressive and attacking play -, Storm just need to try to survive to half-time.

Meanwhile looks like Eels and Roosters...