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Good luck tonight.

I assume you'll cover those parlays with a play on Sonnen by dec?

Faber has nothing to offer in this fight. I already hit Barao hard at -150. Barao is a mix of Aldo and Cruz, which is a deadly combination for Faber. Faber is an old man in this sport and should...

I've seen you around a few times, but don't think we've really played against each other. Stay away from Illmatick, he's mean on the poker table.

The All-American fears no man. He's such a nice guy that he pulled out of the fight to save Lombard the embarrassment of being KTFO.

Agree very much so. But hold off because the line keeps getting better and better.

Shhhhhhhhhh! I want Philippou as a dog!

This is my favorite capping strategy.

This is what I'm kind of trying to say. But again Nunya, you know more than I do.

But again we're back to mathematics and not an individual breakdown of each fight. There is no set probability in a given fight. A coin flip will average 50/50 over the course of so many flips. But...

If he didn't arb, he would have plays on every fighter with a soft line. How do you know he would profit more than he has? All the fighters with a soft line would have to win.

In math and statistics, yes. But this is fighting with so many other factors. Just because fighter A is given a line that says he wins 60% of the time, doesn't mean it averages out that he wins 60%...

So getting a good line automatically means that side wins?

Why did you have to come in here with intelligent conversation, Nunya? I know what you're saying. I just wanted to get a shot in.

Look at this dumbass throwing money away. Damn, you got him good Gabe.

OMG. That's funny.

Question answered.

Not another one of these. :banghead: So basically play everything but Hunt by DEC. Got it. But what if Hunt taps Kongo out or judo throws him down against the cage and beats him against it?

Yeah I think the only way Herman gets into to trouble is if he follows Struve to the mat after knocking him down.

Any predictions for the Fight Chael? "Victory." :lmao:Reminds me of Rocky 3.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DJnKm6ftPu0

:cheers: Nice. I actually threw this one together as well this morning for something small.

Sure looked like it. Really like my Schafer play now.

I was looking at this one too. :cheers:

Blasphemy! How could you?

I'm actually going to go very large on Henderson against your boy Frankie. Totally thought I'd be going against you.

Best comeback in UFC history, IMO.

You don't think Tito dry humps Nog for 3 rounds?

I knew someone had bet Alves by sub, but I couldn't remember where I saw it. Nice Vaughany.

That was a great call on Bartimus. He looked sharp.

It's like you're printing money in here. Nice work.

I think it probably goes the distance too. But I can also see something like a 10-8 third round for Condit which might make judging interesting. BJ will fight to the death for 1.5 rounds and then...

You bastards. I'm actually pretty confident the other way.

I think Paul Harris will be my only bet for this card, and a significant one at that. I just can't see any way that Dan Miller wins.

I was kind of thinking the same thing. I see two outcomes: it goes to a close decision or Sandro catches him with a lucky submission.

Any thoughts on Sandro vs Curran?

Please let me know if this is lock of the day, week, month, year, decade, century, or millennium. Thanks.

Just a shame that he got cut from the UFC.

He actually handled Brock Larson and Jake Ellenberger. He subbed Larson quickly and was able to defend/reverse takedowns against Ellenberger in the 2nd and 3rd round of their fight. I don't think Kim...

If you're hedging Stun Gun by DEC, I would maybe look at Condit wins in Round 3 +1425. Kim fades horribly and Condit only gets stronger.

I played Ferguson too. :cheers: I'm just keeping my plays a little bit smaller on the TUF fights because they are so unpredictable.

I love that Grispi/Jorgensen double. I actually was looking at the TUF card last night looking for future bets and thought about that exact same play. Hopefully we know which TUF fighters besides the...

Very well done again. I thought you might have been in trouble when Struve locked up that Anaconda choke.

I think that Boetsch KO of the night is a real darkhorse. I put half a unit on it for fun yesterday, but only got +1200. Most of the board likes Browne tonight, but if I had to bet, I like Struve. I...

I think any bets on Couture should be Couture wins by DEC. I don't think he has any way to finish Machida and I could see a 3 round cage hump.

Every one has a bad night. You've had what 3 or 4 EVER? You'll make it back double at 129. Speaking of UFC, there are only 2 events in the next 2 and half months. WTF?

Love it. I played Chandler myself. Glad to see others on it.

Is this right? I mean not a typo. I'm reading this as Machida Wins/Not By SUB -150. Where did you find that? Ridiculous odds on that.

This is possibly the bet of the year. If I had this at any book I would max it.

Wish I could get that Nog Submission of the night bet. I'm large on Davis but did get Nog by Sub at +1045. I think the only way Nog can win is to catch Davis in something.

A good chin doesn't matter when elbows and cuts come into play though.

Best of luck. Barboza ITD is my biggest bet, so a sub would be fine by me.