[Jrod124]

Getting the thread up now. Qualifying starts tomorrow and ATP 1000 qualifying draws like a ATP 250 tournament. Should be some nice spots tomorrow

[Boner_18]

Im pumped to get back to some tennis capping.

[bluefish]

I'll watch

[Fthenorm]

Anyone else feeling a surprise winner or a surprise finalist here? I think Djoker has a great shot against a surprise finalist...have not heard much from any of the other top players...Cilic may be worth a futures look...Querrey perhaps?

[Marginalis]

Gonna be a interesting tourney.

[Boner_18]

Haven't seen the lines but there are some exciting players in qualies. Istomin, Devvarman, some Americans.

[Boner_18]

Actually on capping I am picking against Istomin but with Devvarman:

Reynolds (+195)
Devvarman (-225)

Both at 5dimes. GL all.

[michalis]

guys what do you think about this parlay at -110

stephane koubek
thiago alves

I think its a winner

[michalis]

Actually on capping I am picking against Istomin but with Devvarman:

Reynolds (+195)
Devvarman (-225)

Both at 5dimes. GL all.

i dont think reynolds can win, he sucks

he is not even playing professionally any more

the only advantage he has going into this match is that he is on home ground, but he is outplayed in all other areas

[Boner_18]

i dont think reynolds can win, he sucks

he is not even playing professionally any more

He's coming back from a wrist injury and previously was ranked 66. Just b/c he is ranked 400+ doesn't mean he cant play. Look at his numbers against Lacko in Memphis. He won in many stats categories, including a healthy return game, though he lost the match.

I'm not saying he's a lock just that it is worth a shot in the quallies.

[michalis]

He's coming back from a wrist injury and previously was ranked 66. Just b/c he is ranked 400+ doesn't mean he cant play. Look at his numbers against Lacko in Memphis. He won in many stats categories, including a healthy return game, though he lost the match.

I'm not saying he's a lock just that it is worth a shot in the quallies.

i do think he has a chance of winning, that is why i am staying away, but his chance is so slim that i wouldnt bother with him, odds should have been way higher

dude is in the worst form of his career while istomin is the opposite

and istomin is a much better player than lacko

[michalis]

i actually think kuznetsov has a better chance of beating devvarman than reynolds beating istomin

[Boner_18]

That's cool. That's why betting markets are made, disagreement.

Istomin had some seriously high profile wins against Haas and Kholschreiber... But shortly thereafter he did also lose to Lacko, albeit in retirement.

I'm a big Devvarman supporter, will be the first to admit it, he has taken some steps forward winning early rounds in 250 events. Only time will tell... GL to you Michalis.

[michalis]

That's cool. That's why betting markets are made, disagreement.

Istomin had some seriously high profile wins against Haas and Kholschreiber... But shortly thereafter he did also lose to Lacko, albeit in retirement.

I'm a big Devvarman supporter, will be the first to admit it, he has taken some steps forward winning early rounds in 250 events. Only time will tell... GL to you Michalis.

no gl to you boner, Im not taking those games so i hope they win for you

[Jrod124]

4:15 Window Parlay
Krajinovic/Brown +115
1/1.15
I will fade Gaudio on a hard court all day at this stage of his career. And Dustin Brown has played really well on the challenger tour up to this point. Smyczek is decent American player, saw him at the Dallas event earlier this year, but I will take the Jamaican in this one. Good Luck everyone. Will have more later

[michalis]

Actually on capping I am picking against Istomin but with Devvarman:

Reynolds (+195)
Devvarman (-225)

Both at 5dimes. GL all.

+195 dog

congrats, i really do hope the indian wins it for you

[Boner_18]

Thanks. I hope so too, the line has moved to -290. Hopefully they complete at least one set if Kuznetsov is injured...

[Jrod124]

Yeah I am jumping on this Devvarman train as well
7:00 Window Qualie Parlay

Donald Young/Somdev Devvarman/Illya Marchenko +132
1/1.32

[Jrod124]

reasoning for DY and Marchenko is in my blog, tailing Boner on the Indian. Good luck everyone

[ringemup]

on devaarman here

[Jrod124]

Brown beaten easily, nice pick Boner

Indian Wells
0-1 (-1 unit)

Hope to spike that next parlay to end the night in the green

[Boner_18]

Nah, didn't think Brown would lose, just had it as a no play. Lets hope Devvarman can win one for me though. GL on the second play.

[Boner_18]

Got Devvarman. Gotta get to work early if you are gonna catch these matches as they hang the lines really late. Will keep ya'll posted here of any plays i pick, reasoning will be in the blog as always.

[Boner_18]

Some early plays:

Reynolds (-195)
Dabul (+135)
Lu (-300) wish I could find a straight sets to reduce this juice.

Getting stuck wanting to take a lot of the faves... Might take more today, some of them are really over accomplished against the competition they face. As always reasoning in my blog and I will post more there if I post more picks. GL today.

[Boner_18]

Correction, I had to take Lu at -375. I know that is rich for many but I blogged it and I'm gonna play it, that is my style. For what it is worth I think he wins this match 8/10 times anyway...

[Boner_18]

Adding Phau (-185). Laid off Mello @ -260 though it was tempting. Like I said, like lotsa faves here unfortunately... or fortunately... we shall see.

[Boner_18]

If Sweeting goes even or +$ at 5dimes I might snap it up.

[Boner_18]

Sweeting line didn't move at 5dimes.

Adding Krajinovic (+140)... I can't stop myself.

[Jrod124]

Lost a 3rd set tiebreak to blow up a parlay. Not a great start, but a long tournament
Indian Wells
0-2 (-2 units)

Looking at the board currently

[Jrod124]

Filip Krajinovic +157
1/1.57
I said I would be fading Smycek in the next round and I will here. Guy served out his mind against Dustin Brown. Won't happen again

Rainer Schuettler -190
1.90/1
Chalky but, Gio hasn't faired well on the hard courts in his career or lately

Somdev Devvarman -105
1.05/1
Koubek favored again? Was hoping to get plus money, but I will grab this price now

Parlay
B.Mattek-Sands/Z.Yan-Donald Young -116
1.16/1

4 plays today, hopefully I can go 3 and one and get out of the red before the main draw starts. Good luck!

[Jrod124]

Also I am hoping Rainer will move before match time, I wanna get more on it. But dimes has limited my qualies

[Jrod124]

Rainer Schuettler -220
2.20/1
Didn't move the way I wanted, but I am very confident in this pick. One of my best of the young season

Parlay
Schuettler/Young -101
1.01/1

[Jrod124]

Boner nice call on Lu, up 6-2, 5-1. Pissed I woke up late. I could of parlayed that with something. Wouldn't have played it str8, but I am glad u spiked it!

[Boner_18]

Yeah. Wish I could have found it at straight sets or as an under but thats the way Qualifiers roll I guess. I like the Shuettler pick, should win and Young looks good too, they both seem priced about right for me though, so not playing.

We are both on Krajinovic but you got a really good price. I bet it comes down from that +157.

As for Devvarman, unless he goes +$ i aint gonna play him, in fact at these levels i might Koubek... GL Jrod.

[Boner_18]

Dabul up a set and a break. Serving for the win (one of my few dogs for the day).