[tailmypicks]

Now i did this thing last year in wimbledon final and came out with a huge +500 win when federer beat roddick 3-2 in that epic match. It wiped out all my prior stupid losses and for the first time i ended a slam with a profit. In this australian open semi-final same kind of odds are available and Tsonga has the potential to make this combination work. This is how i am doing it. I am putting one third of a unit on tsonga to win @ +415. One third on federer to win 3-1 @ +215 and one-third on federer to win 3-2 @ +650. That makes 3 bets risking 1 unit combined. All i need is Tsonga to win a set and the loss on 2 loosing bets will be covered.
This combination is for those who believe that Tsonga will surely win atleast a set which is not that difficult considering Tsonga’s serve and Federer’s rusty starts in matches of late. Also i think in his last match it was more of Davy collapsing rather than Federer turning the match around. And Tsonga isn’t mentally weak like davy so he will put in a lot of effort for the whole match. So if Tsonga wins atleast a set in this match i am safe and if he does more than that than either a +215 win or +450 for me. This has a lot of chance to hit and i am very confident on this one. Let me know what you think

[michalis]

good idea, i too think tsonga is good for at least a set, but i dont think i;ll be touching this match, anything could happen

maybe after i study it a bit more

[nulldah]

nice combi there.. same thought that tsonga most likely to steal n i almost take the over.. but this one has greater value with same risk, after all if it is 3-0 federer, it wont reach 35.5 games lol

[Glitch]

and if he loses in straight sets, you'll probably dislike him for a long time- that'll occupy your mind and give you something to do with your time and a place to focus all your pent-up hate.
so really you cant lose

great idea tho by the way.....

[Glitch]

nice combi there.. same thought that tsonga most likely to steal n i almost take the over.. but this one has greater value with same risk, after all if it is 3-0 federer, it wont reach 35.5 games lol

unless it goes 3 straight fed tiebreaks....but what are the odds of that right

[tailmypicks]

I'm risking one unit collectively so i'll be okay with it. I think it is better to do this than lay chalk on federer. We should not forget Mike tyson was knocked out by buster douglas, raphael nadal was beaten in FO so this tsonga beating fed won't be the strangest thing that has ever happened. Plus it worked for me once that alone is enough for me

[nulldah]

yea , unless 2 tiebreak set n 10games set , but what r the odds of tsonga losing 2 tiebreak with those fanatic french crowds on his side..

n same here, one thing i never want to do is back federer, unless he is already a set or a break down

[nulldah]

the only thing concern me is night match.. the reason federer's switch off against davy is because of the sun.. let's just hope he underestimate tsonga n switch off again

[Glitch]

*tsonga in 3 straight tiebreaks...

[tailmypicks]

this ****ing guy just won't retire