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  1. #1

    Default Tracking this only....New system..

    Seeing Davydenko win Doha last week gave me an idea.You have to forgive me,Im a alternative think outside the box kind of gambler,so Im always tinkering looking for an edge on anything.Just so happens Im doing it in tennis right now.

    How about seeing how all Ranked players do in an underdog system?
    Meaning..... play on all ranked players in each tourney that are +100 or better.Also Im sure there are ranked players that play other players that are UNRANKED that also are + money.

    Im sure yes the reason they would be underdogs would be for a reason that the books know,but the books cant be always right?

    So through Brisbane,Doha,and Chennai..

    The record would be 5-10...-6.06 units YTD..assuming 1 unit per bet..
    Record of Seeded underdogs vs unseeded would 0-1..-1 unit...

  2. #2

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    Well montanes is +205 as a seeded player vs isner unseeded...+215.....hmmmm..

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  5. #5

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    well too many plays to track with seeded players underdog vs seeded..dont have the time

    But the seeded dogs vs the unseeded can be tracked casue we have maybe 1 or 2 per tourney..maybe 3-4 per major..

    Through the aussie open record of seeded dogs vs unseeded favs is ...5-5 +1 unit..

  6. #6

  7. #7

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    6-5 +1.2 units..YTD..

    Lu qualifies tommorrow...+180

  8. #8

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    winner with Lu...7-5 +3 units..
    Tommorrow we have Mr. Ram...+100...

  9. #9

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    don't like ram at all tomorrow.. good luck though beefcake!
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  10. #10

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    i usually like to go with the unseeded player that is favoured over a seed...same thing as in ncaab and ncaaf going with unranked chalk vs ranked dog

  11. #11

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    Quote Originally Posted by beefcake View Post
    winner with Lu...7-5 +3 units..
    Tommorrow we have Mr. Ram...+100...
    Also had ram good stuff

  12. #12

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    winner with ram.
    8-5 +4 units..(all seeded players that are dogs to unseeded.)

    Doubt we will have any more plays this week..usually these only happen in 1st and 2nd rounds..

    But I will keep my eyes peeled.!

  13. #13

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    2 plays so far that I can see..

    Zeballos +128
    Troicki +115..

  14. #14

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    2 retirements last week...so i wont count them...

    Today we have hanescu.. +125..

  15. #15
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    Let's get'em today Brutus the Barber.

  16. #16

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    9-5 +5.25 units..
    Points Awarded:

    Unchained gave beefcake 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Unchained gave beefcake 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  17. #17

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    here we go again...

    1 play for dubai..Giles Simon +200

  18. #18

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    Interesting as I just put down some coin on Simon as well. I think I am going to take a tiny amount and chase against Baghdatis this tournament, and Simon provides an excellent opening match. I should get underdog odds against Marcos for the first 3 rounds. If he is upset I cash in, if not I can catch up when he gets to the quarters onward, where he'll likely have to beat Davy, Djoker, and Andy Murray to win. I'm betting he doesn't he win the tournament. I just hope he loses early so I don't have to bet high amounts against him later on.

  19. #19

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    simon looks like a pretty good play, i also think bolelli might finally break his losing streak?
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  20. #20

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    yeah no repect for giles...Coming off an injury I think,cause he pulled out of the aussie hurt.
    Good luck fading Marcos!!

  21. #21

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    Quote Originally Posted by JNic View Post
    simon looks like a pretty good play, i also think bolelli might finally break his losing streak?
    Man he has been so bad...I personally wouldnt touch him with a 10 foot pole..

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  26. #26

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    10-8 +3.5 units..YTD

    Today. montanes +125..5 dimes..
    melzer +115..5 dimes
    lopez..+215..pinnacle

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  29. #29

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    2 more seeded dogs today...so far so good on the year! hopefully it keeps going
    troicki +160
    Bellucci +190..

  30. #30

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    14-9 +7.95 units...

    looks like we have montanes +160 on sat..

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  33. #33

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    beefcake - as I come from the home of Wimbledon ! I really like your concept and it is showing a good profit - strike rate - please keep it going - it could be a real gem if you have the commitment throught the season

  34. #34

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    No problem,I will follow it till the end,Im sure like any other system,it will have peaks and valleys,but getting + money on seeded players I would think will be good in the long run in theory,Lets hope it true!

  35. #35

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    what about looking at a martingale betting approach. So you bet 2 units - then if a loser 4 units, then 8 units, then 16 units. If the winners are more than even money - you should be able to cover a short losing run with a winner after 4 or 5 losers in a row. Just a thought - this is all your hard work

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