1. #1
    jjgold
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    You're better off following about five players

    Know everything about them and just their matches their involved then I do think you will have a little Edge instead of trying to handicap match after match day after day

  2. #2
    rankslash
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    Great conversation starter.

  3. #3
    Punchy
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    Serena Williams
    Novak Djokovic
    Rafael Nadal
    Stanislas Wawrinka
    Roger Federer

  4. #4
    kenz
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    Horrible 5, Top players are hard to make money from

    Not 5 names but I would say these ones, because of better odds,

    Fognini (Usually back ML and over games)
    US Players ( Fade material)
    Janowicz ( Fade on outdoor hard)
    French male players (Fade material)
    Berdych( Fade nowadays)

  5. #5
    pazim
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    Quote Originally Posted by kenz View Post
    Horrible 5, Top players are hard to make money from

    Not 5 names but I would say these ones, because of better odds,

    Fognini (Usually back ML and over games)
    US Players ( Fade material)
    Janowicz ( Fade on outdoor hard)
    French male players (Fade material)
    Berdych( Fade nowadays)

    Fognini is not good at the moment. Isner is profitable if you pick your spots. Berdych is usually money outside of top 5.

  6. #6
    jjgold
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    The top players are the best bets because most of time you get max effort and they are very consistent

    Suckers bet challengers and early round matches that have very low seeds/rankings

  7. #7
    pazim
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    Quote Originally Posted by Punchy View Post
    Serena Williams
    Novak Djokovic
    Rafael Nadal
    Stanislas Wawrinka
    Roger Federer
    Serena doesn't feel that safe anymore. I think she has been to the final round once this year. Federer actually is the most consistent one this year.

  8. #8
    cryptocap
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    i love playing ivo karlovic...hes always good for a round or 2 when hes playing well and his odds are very good

  9. #9
    cryptocap
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    ...also its very easy to predict who is going to crush him and take the spread

  10. #10
    tipsadontlikehim
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    Fade :
    Youzhny this year
    Paire
    Fognini when favourite
    Dustin Brown of course!
    Lately Simon is good to fade as well but i never dare to for some reason...

  11. #11
    beefcake
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    Quote Originally Posted by tipsadontlikehim View Post
    Fade :
    Youzhny this year
    Paire
    Fognini when favourite
    Dustin Brown of course!
    Lately Simon is good to fade as well but i never dare to for some reason...
    Most intelligent post this year!!

  12. #12
    face
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    good parlay stuffers that win a lot
    suarez navarro
    yen hsun lu
    ivanovic
    bogomolov junior
    nishikori


    in challengers i only bet on matt reid and hiroki moriya sometimes bc i don't know what i'm doing, both are fighters though and win a lot

  13. #13
    pazim
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    Quote Originally Posted by face View Post
    good parlay stuffers that win a lot
    suarez navarro
    yen hsun lu
    ivanovic
    bogomolov junior
    nishikori


    in challengers i only bet on matt reid and hiroki moriya sometimes bc i don't know what i'm doing, both are fighters though and win a lot
    Navarro and nishikori, I like. Rest aren't consistent at all.

  14. #14
    Marillion
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    Haha, I also like to bet for (and sometimes against) Hiroki Moriya, one of my first bets ever was on him to defeat Jenkins, he won, of course.

    OK, so my favourite players to bet on now are:

    1. Katarzyna Piter (fade material now; she had a good season last year so books give decent odds against her, she may win if her opponent is very, very weak, if not, you can bet her to lose in straights)
    2. Jelena Jankovic (good to back her opponents to cover the spread, she is often a huge favourite against weaker players but opponents cover the +5.5 games spread)
    3. Caroline Garcia (had a mug start of the year but is now on fire, books keep making her an underdog)
    4. Jarkko Nieminen (a nice guy with solid experience and tennis knowledge and a good blogger... but a pretty good fade material against strong players nowadays)
    5. Albano Olivetti (the ultimate challenger level serving bot... if he's playing on indoor hard, either back him to win and/or bet on the over... if he plays on clay, fade him!)

    ed: you can also add lovely Alize Cornet, always bet OVER on her matches lol.

  15. #15
    jtoler
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    That wont work to make money cuz you need to know about their opponent.

  16. #16
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by face View Post
    good parlay stuffers that win a lot
    suarez navarro
    yen hsun lu
    ivanovic
    bogomolov junior
    nishikori


    in challengers i only bet on matt reid and hiroki moriya sometimes bc i don't know what i'm doing, both are fighters though and win a lot
    Bogo jr??? Wtf is wrong with u

  17. #17
    matt1216
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    If you guys havnt figured out yet....

    Over on Volandri.. Almost always hits

  18. #18
    tipsadontlikehim
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    lol Bogomolov

    Nishikori i kinda disagree, he's being more consistent lately but not a long time ago he was tanking, i remember last year lost to Baghdatis 6/1 6/2 and the year before something like 6/1 6/3 against Soeda, same tournament Washington

    I agree about Lu, pretty reliable

    Dolgopolov was good fade material, maybe he'll become again soon

    Ferrer when he is ON, always take the game spread -5 or even -6 when big favourite
    Also you'll notice Ferrer often starts his matches poorly, very often will get broken at the start of the match and then win 6/4 6/1 or something like that

    Take the handicap game spread +++ when Hanescu/Volandri/Rosol/Monfils/Verdasco and many others are big favourite

    Also i noticed, its very dangerous to take the handicap games + against Berdych when he is on, many times i lost in the past (example +9 games De schapper at the Australian open, big server, lost)
    Last edited by tipsadontlikehim; 04-25-14 at 09:42 PM.

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