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DJOKOVIC v MONFILS 11/15
Thoughts on a set bet of 2-1 for Djokovic? It's +285 at BM. Looking at their head-to-head records, Djokovic has won all their meetings with at least three sets being played... Any reason to think it will be different this time around and either Monfils wins or get swept?
Absolutely, check my blog i have a write up on this bet.
CHARITY DONOR
12/03/2011
$25 donation
Originally Posted by Boner_18
spot on dude, couldn't agree more. I actually believe Monfils may just take this, but as you said, Djokers match to lose.
Djoker in straights. You are making a negative EV play at that price.
liking Djokovic to take his second straight in 3 sets.
You are making a negative EV play at that price.
How do you calculate a negative EV at the match going three sets with Djokovic winning?
I cant see how theres any value betting on the Djoker.
I've put a very large sum ~$500 on Monfils (+4 games) at 1.9 as I'm predicting a 3 setter, if not then hopefully a tiebreaker which still gives me a good shot at covering the line.
BOL everyone.
SBR POKER TOP 100
67th Place 11/1/2011
Tiebreak. GL all.
CHARITY DONOR
12/03/2011
$25 donation
Cash em boys.
CHARITY DONOR
12/03/2011
$25 donation
Nice!
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