10-30-09, 09:19 AM
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#1
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1 Tennis Dog Friday at 10:30 AM ET
Jurgen Melzer +145 (ATP - Vienna)
YTD: 47-72, -0.59
Last edited by LT Profits; 10-30-09 at 01:03 PM.
Reason: Record Ttpo
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10-30-09, 09:24 AM
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#2
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Best of luck. I'm on Stepanek here.
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10-30-09, 09:36 AM
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#3
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LT......the Melzer line looks like great value and I've been debating whether or not to jump on board. Radek has a tremendous track record on these indoor hard courts. It seems like a surface of comfort, and it's definately within Stepanek's comfort zone.
Probably a no play for me either way. GoodLuck
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10-30-09, 09:37 AM
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#4
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Finally one that has not gone off after i woke up, GL LT
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10-30-09, 09:40 AM
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#5
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Good luck...I sure hope Melzer beat Platapus face!  |
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10-30-09, 09:42 AM
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#6
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Good luck LT.
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10-30-09, 09:54 AM
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#7
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This should be a very good match
Both these guys are top tier players and I hope jurgen brings his A game and takes down the Czech  |
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10-30-09, 10:32 AM
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#8
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Do you think you could make money with a martingale system and your longshot tennis bets?
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10-30-09, 10:34 AM
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#9
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Gman yes you can make money martingaling. Problem is it won't last. Everyone eventually loses 9-10 bets in a row.
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10-30-09, 10:37 AM
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#10
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I pulled the trigger and jumped on board with Melzer. He's beaten Radek in only head to head matchup on same surface and playing in his home country. Let's go Jurgen!
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10-30-09, 10:49 AM
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#11
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Gotta question Radek's motivation in this one VS. Melzer and his home crowd. Tough call indeed.
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10-30-09, 10:51 AM
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#12
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Take away the head to head meeting. It was a challenger event.
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10-30-09, 10:52 AM
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#13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by andrewaxia
Take away the head to head meeting. It was a challenger event.
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Good point, I missed that. Either way, tough match to call, and I expected this one to be closer to even odds. Whether Melzer wins or not, I see value at +145
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10-30-09, 11:24 AM
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#14
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My Cougar Wears Two Pearl Necklaces
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Meltzer played a ton of games in his last 4 matches. Opponents took him to tie breaks or 7 games in every match. Stepanek hardly broke a sweat to win his matches. I think Stepanek is undepriced here and he is a great value.
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10-30-09, 11:31 AM
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#15
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Everything can happen on a challenger event....looking good
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10-30-09, 11:32 AM
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#16
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Has this match not started yet?
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10-30-09, 11:53 AM
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#17
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http://liveticker.laola1.at/tennis/M...nistrophy.html
Alternate site because ATP live scoreboard isn't working properly for the Vienna tourny. It still has Cilic/Lopez at 2-2 in the 2nd set. That match ended over an hour ago.
Anyways, Melzer up a break in the 1st, 2-1.
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10-30-09, 12:27 PM
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#18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gman2114
Do you think you could make money with a martingale system and your longshot tennis bets?
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I would think not considering I am 25 games under .500 on a W/L basis. That said, I don't remember a really long losing streak of the top of my head.
Regardless, unbounded martingales are NEVER good.
Last edited by LT Profits; 10-30-09 at 01:04 PM.
Reason: 25 under, niot 35
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10-30-09, 12:35 PM
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#19
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Seattle +183 9/14 at Heritage
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looking good! Melzer up 6-2 4-2
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10-30-09, 12:41 PM
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#20
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Seattle +183 9/14 at Heritage
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What a beating. This one ended quickly. Melzer wins.
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200pts
SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 2/6/2012
2762pts
TOP SPORTSBOOK
WINNER
01/21/2011
175 pts
3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/10/2012
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SBR POKER TOP 100 96th Place 11/1/2011
600pts
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10-30-09, 01:02 PM
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#21
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Atta boy. That's a nice doggie, yes he is.  |
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10-30-09, 01:03 PM
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#22
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Holy crap...38-72 and plus money now.
How many +500's have you hit?
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10-30-09, 01:03 PM
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#23
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Money in the Bank.....Shawty what you drank!! |
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10-30-09, 01:03 PM
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#24
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Sorry guys, I made a typo in my record, it was actually 47-72 coming in, not 37-72.
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10-30-09, 01:04 PM
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#25
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nice call!  |
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10-30-09, 01:05 PM
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#26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by onthewhat
Holy crap...38-72 and plus money now.
How many +500's have you hit?
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Corrected my typo, I am 48-72 now.
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10-30-09, 01:06 PM
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#27
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The value was certainly with Melzer at +145....no question about it.
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