[LT Profits]

Jurgen Melzer +145 (ATP - Vienna)

YTD: 47-72, -0.59

[andrewaxia]

Best of luck. I'm on Stepanek here.

[Regul8er]

LT......the Melzer line looks like great value and I've been debating whether or not to jump on board. Radek has a tremendous track record on these indoor hard courts. It seems like a surface of comfort, and it's definately within Stepanek's comfort zone.

Probably a no play for me either way. GoodLuck

[Dank_Fire]

Finally one that has not gone off after i woke up, GL LT

[pat venditto]

Good luck LT.

[gman2114]

Do you think you could make money with a martingale system and your longshot tennis bets?

[pat venditto]

Gman yes you can make money martingaling. Problem is it won't last. Everyone eventually loses 9-10 bets in a row.

[Regul8er]

I pulled the trigger and jumped on board with Melzer. He's beaten Radek in only head to head matchup on same surface and playing in his home country. Let's go Jurgen!

[Fthenorm]

Gotta question Radek's motivation in this one VS. Melzer and his home crowd. Tough call indeed.

[andrewaxia]

Take away the head to head meeting. It was a challenger event.

[Regul8er]

Take away the head to head meeting. It was a challenger event.

Good point, I missed that. Either way, tough match to call, and I expected this one to be closer to even odds. Whether Melzer wins or not, I see value at +145

[pavyracer]

Meltzer played a ton of games in his last 4 matches. Opponents took him to tie breaks or 7 games in every match. Stepanek hardly broke a sweat to win his matches. I think Stepanek is undepriced here and he is a great value.

[cav1x]

Everything can happen on a challenger event....looking good

[Regul8er]

Has this match not started yet?

[Regul8er]

http://liveticker.laola1.at/tennis/M...nistrophy.html

Alternate site because ATP live scoreboard isn't working properly for the Vienna tourny. It still has Cilic/Lopez at 2-2 in the 2nd set. That match ended over an hour ago.

Anyways, Melzer up a break in the 1st, 2-1.

[LT Profits]

Do you think you could make money with a martingale system and your longshot tennis bets?

I would think not considering I am 25 games under .500 on a W/L basis. That said, I don't remember a really long losing streak of the top of my head.

Regardless, unbounded martingales are NEVER good.

[yisman]

looking good! Melzer up 6-2 4-2

[yisman]

What a beating. This one ended quickly. Melzer wins.

[LT Profits]

Atta boy. That's a nice doggie, yes he is.

[onthewhat]

Holy crap...38-72 and plus money now.

How many +500's have you hit?

[Regul8er]

Money in the Bank.....Shawty what you drank!!

[LT Profits]

Sorry guys, I made a typo in my record, it was actually 47-72 coming in, not 37-72.

[LT Profits]

Holy crap...38-72 and plus money now.

How many +500's have you hit?

Corrected my typo, I am 48-72 now.

[Regul8er]

The value was certainly with Melzer at +145....no question about it.