[Ulver86]

Going to take the reigns of the smaller tourney tennis picks. All plays are assumed to be/to win 1unit each unless dictated otherwise.

For this night/morning

Safin -160

Seems like a last hurrah for Safin, who actually hasn't' been playing poorly lately just getting beat by better players.

Gasquet -175

I think people are still a bit skeptical of Gasquet since his return. Richard has Top 10 talent and there is some good value here even at -175 against former top 10'er Johansson. Johansson recently beat Lleyton Hewitt, but I can't help but think that Llyeton might have been distracted by the fact Johansson dated his sister for 5 years (kidding about the distraction, serious about the dating his sister). He had a bunch of shoulder injuries which have kept him sidelined. A bit of a wildcard but I believe Gasquet is on the road to a comeback.

Iveta Benesova +550 (.5u)

Purely a value play. Benesova is a formidable opponent and no way Sharapova should be getting -950 odds against her.

Azarenka -175

I see Azarenka as a top 5 player. She has done incredibly well this year, amassing over 40 wins and has proven to be a fearsome opponent.

BOL to you.

[Ulver86]

also adding

Isner -165

Isner is the new Ivo Karlovic, get out of the way when he serves

[RobbReport]

might play Isner spread with you Ulver.

[GoldRush7]

which one are you most confident about?

[Ulver86]

Robb - the only thing about Isner is he doesn't break serve much, but then again his serve hardly ever gets broken, i think he mentally can wear people down though because it is so futile to try and break his serve

GoldRush -- all plays are 1 unit, although I'm kind of riding Safin here. He's about to retire and I think he is extremely motivated to go out a winner. He just beat PP and he usually beats himself most of the time, but I think you will see him very motivated the rest of the way.

[GoldRush7]

I really like isner especially at that price.. you feel good about it?

[Ulver86]

Isner has gone down to -150 at my other book, I'd take it.

zverev is 5-11 on hard courts this year, perfect fodder for isner

[GoldRush7]

alright man you talked me into it! BOL to us

[makoed]

Isner - Zverev
I think it's better to play OVER 23 here -147 Pinnacle
Radwanska - Rybarikova
I'll take Rybarikova spread (+3) +110 Pinnacle

[Ulver86]

Isner takes first set in the tiebreak

your over is looking good too makoed

[GoldRush7]

he just broke zverev early in the 2nd set too!

[GoldRush7]

[RobbReport]

[Ulver86]

benesova fighting hard, getting my money's worth out of +550

[Ulver86]

bleh, safin only gets broken once but thats enough, and Azarenka completely falls apart in the 1st set after being up 2 breaks and has lost 9 of the last 10 games,

[RobbReport]

never ever taking Tsonga again, **** that guy.

[RobbReport]

not another shootout God kill me now!

[RobbReport]

never ever taking Tsonga again, **** that guy.

take that back hit a nice parlay thanks to him.



gotta give it to Gulbis though, he had that match in the bag.

[GoldRush7]

tsonga has killed me a few times in parlays... i am one that will never bet on that man again

[Ulver86]

will post some plays later tonight

and yea, i imagine anyone who took Tsonga was having heart spasms

[Ulver86]

Gilles Simon -300 (3u)

Simon has the pedigree, if he loses this its because of retirement (he has had knee problems) but he rested for a month after the US open. Should be an easy contest

Berdych +220

Can't ignore Berdych at these odds. Soderling has had a great year, but lets not get ahead of ourselves. This is a no play or take the upset with Berdych..

Gasquet +210

Another guy I can't stay away from. With his talent he should only be +200 against top tier players. Verdasco is solid but I don't see him staying in the top 10 for very long.

no women's tennis, bad odds for now, plus i'm tired of little girls who can't hold serve, lol

edit: taking Gonzo off the board, head to head history concerns me, adding units to Simon

[RobbReport]

Men's tennis has been more scary for me. Gonzo was cutting it close, although I knew he would win. Tsonga self-explanatory and Gasquet had a hard time yesterday with Johannsen's serve.


thank God they all won but damn it was stressful.

[Ulver86]

edits made to tonights pick

also taking Na Li @ +160 for .5u

[Ulver86]

well simon wins by the skin of his teeth, but a wins a win

[GoldRush7]

im going with verdasco and isner this morning BOL Ulver

[Ulver86]

Simon -170

I'm riding him the rest of the way, it's his tournament to lose - I think he beats Tsonga in the finals

Soderling -220

He's beat Davydenko the last 4 times they've played each other, and seems to have the guy's number. Not to mention he's been playing lights out tennis recently.

---
Not playing the others, bol to you all.

[RobbReport]

Simon -170

I'm riding him the rest of the way, it's his tournament to lose - I think he beats Tsonga in the finals

Soderling -220

He's beat Davydenko the last 4 times they've played each other, and seems to have the guy's number. Not to mention he's been playing lights out tennis recently.

---
Not playing the others, bol to you all.

parlay?

[Ulver86]

sure, playing them separate though, but a small wager on a parlay of them isn't a bad idea

[Ulver86]

adding

Sharapova -105 (.5u)

small play hear but a gut feeling that this is Maria's tourney

[Ulver86]

Simon takes first set, Soderling up a break

[RobbReport]

bullshit...

[Ulver86]

Soderling up 4-3 in second set and up a break, proceeds to take a shit the rest of the match

[RobbReport]

I made a grip this week off tennis ,then gave it all back with soderling. I have to think shit thru.

[Ulver86]

he just fell apart after being up that break at 4-3, seemed to be cruising to victory..... bleh

will take Simon in the finals tonight, surprised that its Troicki but i would have taken him over tsonga anyway

[Ulver86]

Gilles Simon -210 (3 units)

like i said, Simon wins the tourney here, and you can always feel confident that Simon will not fade mentally or not fight, hes a scrappy player a la Michael Chang of the 90's

bol to all