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  1. #1

    Default Best HANDICAP BET OF US OPEN 2009????

    Djoker -4600
    Ball +2200



    I'm curious as to where they'll set this cap. My guess is 9.5 considering the price.... altho a price that extensive should dictate an even greater cap.


    Djoker is soft, he has a vagina, and has the will of an NBA player for the most part. This match smells like Djoker in 4... w/ 2 sets being a 7-5 or a 7-6.

    A non 3-0 win bet likely will pay min +250???? ... but the HC might be an absolute walk in the park. Ball has proven he can go toe-to-toe w/ players like Isner and Querry... and, altho Djoker is a step up in class, I feel he can easily cover this cap.


    Last year Djoker was 1.04 vs. Kendrick in the 2nd Rd and he won 7-6, 6-4, 6-4.


    I have a strong gut feeling that the big boy Ball will get 4 games in at least 2 of his sets..... so even he gets blasted 6-1 in another set, you still get 6-4, 6-4, 6-1.... or 9 games.

  2. #2

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    really, tho, w/ a price that large.... it'd have to be -10.0 games.... -9.5 minimum


    +10.0 games.... have to take that in a heartbeat...

  3. #3
    yisman's Avatar SBR PRO
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    don't sleep on Djokovic. I'm feeling a breakthrough one of these days.

    Maybe Ball covers, but I see Djoker advancing deep.
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  4. #4

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    Djoker has very winnable matches all the way to the quarters... but there he would face Arod among others... and that's likely where he falls. Waiting on this cap.

  5. #5

    Default

    HC is -9.0. early was -105 on +9.0 ... now at -145


    Really, Lubejob played like shit the day before. And w/ a terrible performance he went 3-1-3. A mediocre display of 3-3-3 by Ball generates a push.

    Still think this is a winner, but enthusiasm is low w/o the half on the nine and the jacked up price to almost -150.

    Btw, Ball not to lose 3-0 sets.... it's a whopping +291


    Make a prediction: Djoker 7-5, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 ... and maybe flip the result of the 1st 2 sets

  6. #6
    yisman's Avatar SBR PRO
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    You should be on the +291.

    I'll pass.
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  7. #7

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    Value standpoint I like the +291... but I've lost too many 7-6, 7-6, 7-5 matches in the past.

    Lightyears of difference between a non 3-0 bet and a fat HC

  8. #8

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    This was a fvcking gimme... and I fvcking backed off and bet on gorilla ball.

    Fvcking stupid on my part. 6-3, 6-4, 0-0 in 3rd

  9. #9
    yisman's Avatar SBR PRO
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    2-2 in the third. Djokovic won't cover.

    He'll probably take it in straight sets, though.
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  10. #10

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    And, you know, to top it all off... I didn't fade Blake... which was another easy HC at +6.5.

    wtf am I doing?

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