CrazyLou's pick for the US Open
Prelude to the Big Dance
After winning my second Grand Slam futures pick in a row at the Gentlemen’s singles draw, I won’t delude myself into thinking it will be easy to go for number three. Nothing worthwhile in life is easy, unless you count seducing drunken women to play doctor with you a relatively simple task.
The SBR posting forum is finally recognizing the genius of my futures picks, this added weight on my shoulders would distract me from finding value if I let it. The fact is, though, I will not be sidetracked. I will not falter because of the pressure or expectations others have bestowed on me. A few days before it all begins, I feel the same calm as I did many years ago while in my mother’s womb, I feel ready, I feel alive, and I feel like if anyone can spot the value in this year’s US Open tournament, it’s me.
Where’s the Value? Where’s the Flippin’ Value?
I’m feeling a bit cranky. There are some members of SBR forum that, despite my Grand Slam futures success, question my ability as a tennis handicapper merely because of the fact that some of my selections were of the shorter odds variety.
Here’s the fact- - it is never easy for anybody to win a championship in individual sports, and it is equally hard for a tennis handicapping evaluator to pick one future and nail it. There are some pretend, want-to-be tennis handicapping evaluators that make 7 futures picks, which is no better than a monkey throwing darts, hoping one of the picks has success.
What I do is different, and my futures results speak for themselves. If you think it’s as simple as listening to ESPN, picking a short odds player, and cashing a ticket, you’re sorely mistaken, jack.
We’ll see if my tennis model once again results in making some more dead presidents.
Roger Federer at 1.09/1
Without a doubt, Roger Federer is the man to back here. I understand that the squares are buying into the ESPN hype of Rafael Nadal back from injury, how he is going to reclaim his #1 ranking, how he only lost at Rolland Garros because he was really injured. I want to take this moment to thank each and every one of you. Thank you for giving us a better price on Roger Federer. People that have bought up all the stock and drank all the Kool-Aid in the Nadal bandwagon remind me of the kids that always play with the Patriots on Madden PS3. Often these people have no sense of history of the game, overvalue whoever is performing well in the moment, and do not understand the core fundamentals of the game.
Rafael Nadal is not even in the same vicinity as Roger Federer as a tennis player, yet he is ahead 13-7 in their heads up history. That is something I cannot explain, I consider it merely an anomaly. What makes it special is the fact that 4 of those losses were Grand Slam championship matches.
If you ever doubted Roger Federer, which I never did, even you would have to concede that the man must have a new lease on life, or his career. He has reclaimed his #1 ranking that he held for years, he has gotten married and had his first child, and has won the last 2 Grand Slams which has catapulted him past Pete Sampras as the winningest player in Grand Slam history. He has won 15. Folks, this is the greatest tennis player that has ever lived. He recently turned 29 years old, is in incredible shape, and has all of the (unnecessary) momentum headed into this event. I say unnecessary because a player of Federer’s class does not need to go into a Slam on a roll. He understands the mindset he must have, he understands his opponents, they do not call this man the ‘maestro’ for no reason. He’s the best of the best, the best in the world, and he’s going to once again show you why.
I am placing my two consecutive Grand Slam ATP future wins on the line and going with Roger Federer at 1.09/1 (the line courtesy of Pinnacle Sports), let the chips fall where they may.
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Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36
daggerkobe gave lakerboy 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
