[GoldRush7]

that match pissed me off... I had a nice parlay that he would have capped off and won me about $500 but he decides to take a shit in both tie breaks... fml

[yisman]

Talk about a clutch winner with Cirstea. Makes me wish I had utilized live betting. The line must've been enormous after the first set.

[EaglesPhan36]

look what happens when I take chalk!
Tsonga somehow loses to ISNER. ISNER. WTF?

I bet chalk occasionally just to remind myself (and anyone following this thread) why tennis chalk is such a spectacularly bad idea.

It was a decent set-up to take Isner. He'd been playing on hard courts for a couple weeks with moderate success and already played on the court. Tsonga hadn't been on the court in at least a month, so seeing that blistering serve right out of the box had to be tough. If they met again next week in the same situation, I would expect Tsonga to win seeing as he narrowly lost last night.

[yisman]

Chakvetadze over A.Radwanska +260, risk 1 unit

[yisman]

Ferrero over Haas +156, risk .75 units

A.Bondarenko over Sharapova +350, risk 1 unit
U.Radwanska over Na Li +285, risk .5 units

[yisman]

^ Li was so terrified after hearing I picked Radwanska that she retired pre-match.

[yisman]

It was a decent set-up to take Isner. He'd been playing on hard courts for a couple weeks with moderate success and already played on the court. Tsonga hadn't been on the court in at least a month, so seeing that blistering serve right out of the box had to be tough. If they met again next week in the same situation, I would expect Tsonga to win seeing as he narrowly lost last night.

Isner is not a complete player and he has no business beating Tsonga, no matter which events they've played in recently.

I think I'm going to take De Chaunac over him today, even though he's no great shakes either.

[yisman]

A lot of nice underdogs today, but all small plays. For example, I'm taking De Chaunac just to fade Isner. De Chaunac is no great shakes himself.


Dev Varman over Karlovic +255, risk .5 units
De Chaunac over Isner +295, risk .5 units
Sorana Money Cirstea over Lisicki +200, risk 1 unit

[Bakerdew]

damn you really must have power first someone retires and now I just tried to place a bet on De Chaunac and it went from +225 to -350. Scary

[yisman]

what book? Betfair still has the +295 line. Hasn't budged for hours.

[Bakerdew]

betus.com, i think it is some kind of screw up, it shows it at +225 but when i go to betit says it has changed to -350

[yisman]

Bad day for me because Li and Lisicki stole two big +wins from me by retiring.

add:

De Chaunac +320, risk 1 unit

it has to be a mistake at betus, baker.

[Bakerdew]

Yes I'm sure. Darn Lisicki, thankfullt I was too late for the Dev Varman bet. I'm gonna keep following you.

[yisman]

sorry, meant to take Gonzalez before the match started.

In-play:

Gonzalez -101 over Haas, risk 3.03 units

[yisman]

was in the middle of posting this at about 3 PM. Not sure what happened.

Berdych over Isner -131.5, risk 5 units

Cirstea over A.Radwanska +300, risk 1 unit
Zvonareva over Pennetta +136, risk 2 units


too late now, but including as part of my record because either something crashed or I somehow forgot to post it. I even had it in notepad.

[yisman]

del potro/roddick over 24.5 games (-108), risk 2.16 units

line from pinnacle

[yisman]

monfils -137 over Safin, risk 2.74 units
zverev over mayer +108, risk 1 unit
Simon -128, risk 8 units


schnyder -102, risk 2.04 units
rybarikova +138, risk 1.5 units
Chakvetadze -104, risk 2.08 units
bartoli -149, risk 1.49 units
vinci -109, risk 2.18 units

[yisman]

Mathieu over Davydenko +245, risk 1.5 units (Pinnacle, no line from Betfair)

Szavay over U.Radwanska +112, risk 1 unit

[yisman]

ferrer 310, risk 1 unit
hanescu 192, risk 1 unit
youzhny 134, risk 3 units
hernynch over del potro 1300, risk .5 units
monfils 126, risk 2 units
schnyder 285, risk 1 unit

[Engine]

I'm with you on hanescu and monflis, but on isner instead of youzhny.

BOL!!

[yisman]

Youzhny hit, so a good day.

[yisman]

wawrinka +880 (Bodog oddsmaker's error), risk 2 units
Hanescu +1100, risk .5 units

Zvonareva -166.666..., risk 5 units
jankovic +166, risk 1.5 units

[Bakerdew]

What's your record here yis? Haven't been on in a while.

[yisman]

I know. The trouble is I can't find four hours consecutively to grade this.

I'm up a staggering amount of units recently, but I know it doesn't mean much without a record. You'll have to take my word for it (or you can review some of my big hits recently) until I can find a good chunk of time to grade.

Good hit with Youzhny yesterday. Got Jankovic today as a nice dog, but unfortunately Zvonareva lost a match she should've won.

6-7 6-0 6-7

She outplayed Hantuchova and lost.

Meanwhile, my Hanescu +1100 just missed. 6-3 3-6 4-6

[Bakerdew]

no I meant I haven't been on much lately. I won one lost one with you today ... still won a little though, and thanks.

[Nickelicious]

Good hit with Youzhny yesterday. Got Jankovic today as a nice dog, but unfortunately Zvonareva lost a match she should've won.

6-7 6-0 6-7

She outplayed Hantuchova and lost.

Don't you think Hantuchova is a very predictable player? She always seems to play up to her level but rarely breaks through to beat superior opponents. I have won plenty when she faces top 10 players from the middle to late rounds of tourneys.

[yisman]

I do.

And yet she lucked into a win against a superior player yesterday.

I think she'll lose today to Pennetta, but the chalk is too onerous.

[yisman]

You really think both williams sisters brothers are gonna get knocked out in same round??

Not really that rare.

Yesterday:

Pennetta 7-6 6-4 over V
Bammer 7-5 6-4 over S

two straight sets losers, and I can't say I'm surprised. It's profitable to fade them.

[yisman]

my picks:

Tsonga over Federer
Nadal over Del Potro
Djokovic over Roddick
Davydenko over Murray

Clijsters over Safina

lines and units later

[yisman]

ATP

Tsonga over Federer +560, risk 1 unit
Nadal over Del Potro -145, risk 4.35 units to win 3
Djokovic over Roddick +118, risk 1 unit
Davydenko over Murray +285, risk 2 units

WTA

Clijsters over Safina -102, risk 2.04 units

[yisman]

I hope people have been following.

[shhhhh22]

Excellence man!!

Great job!!

[dennisback]

damn i only followed on davydenko and clijsters not tsonga

[yisman]

there's a lot of good stuff today.

Sorry I can't help. I'm far too sleep-deprived and I lack the patience to go through it all. I'll try for tomorrow.