I think if you can get her @ +500 or better, why not against Sharapova. And +5.5 for the conservative playa. I haven't played any singles matches in WTA in quite some time and really did not cap a preview to the WTA side, but I have been paying attention to how the women's draw has developed and there is something that points to Sharapova losing before the semis in my mind. She has challenged by Pironkova before eventually rolling, but she was flirting with disaster in the first two sets. She had no competition in round three, but was a little shakier on serve - not consistently getting her 1st serve in as much.
I don't know what that thing is, but it is sitting in my gut that Lisicki or maybe Clijsters/Kerber can take it to her - especially Clijsters being in her farewell tour at a Slam she has always been good at, but never won. Lisicki will have to avoid her own recurring service issues - but she has the game and this will be her third meeting with Masha at a Slam. She improved in the Australian, taking a set before falling apart over her demolition loss to her @ Wimbledon last year.
Just my two cents for Monday. So whatcha wanna do.