nadal losing to verdasco up 2 breaks
sererna losing in the french in rd 1
nadal losing to some bum who will prolly get smoked in the next round
this is pretty nuts
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06-28-12 04:14 PM #36
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06-28-12 04:14 PM #37
Brutal! I probably would have included Nadal but he was -20000 at Pinnacle in a parlay, stupid odds - thankfully as it turns out
All other plays hit pretty easy, I didn't include Roddick or Tsonga either because I can't trust them
BOL if you decide to get back on the parlay horse
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06-28-12 04:15 PM #38
...
400ptsSBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013
40ptsSBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013
250ptsSBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013
600ptsSBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013
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06-28-12 05:06 PM #39
Originally Posted by jsmithj88
exactly!! time to load up and pull the trigger!
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06-28-12 10:26 PM #40
Oh, Nadal gave it to you hard in the ying-yang. I only had him in one wager in a parlay, and he's the only one who lost. Could have been alot worse but $900 is a bad boo-boo. Originally Posted by jsmithj88
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06-28-12 10:35 PM #41
Not that it wasn't a total out of the ordinary performance, but what is the point in including -9750 into a parlay? I think if your project is going to be successful - you have to have a cutoff point on the price. Adding super high chalk like that just doesn't seem like it is worth it.
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06-28-12 10:53 PM #42
Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36
I'm a heavy chalk guy during grand slams, but EP is absolutely right. You have to have some cutoff point.
For me, it's typically -2500. Sometimes I'll go to -5000, but only if it's Djokovic and Federer on grass/hard and only Nadal on clay. Once you get past -5000, you're really not adding any value ... just a few bucks on a risk amount of hundreds of dollars.
Today, for example, I took Ferrer, Del Potro, Nishikori and Kohlschreiber. Del Potro was -2500, and he didn't add much value, but he added enough weighed against the risk of him losing to Soeda for me to throw him in there.
That's the key, really. Associating the risk of a player like Nadal losing against the price of the moneyline. Typically, -2500 is about as far as I can go ... and that's if you're talking about a lopsided matchup like Del Po had.
Sure, you were probably thinking, "There's no way Nadal goes out before the semis." Next time, think, "Is it worth going through the stress of one additional match when it's only going to add $5 to my payout?"
If you really want that extra $5 or $10, just bet on a line like -150 or -120. Even if you lose the bet, you're not buried.
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06-28-12 11:07 PM #43
My thoughts as well, -2000 or above is only reserved for the elite players, and only when they are injury free and you know they will give 100% and it's a favoured surface for them.
Any parlays you like for R3?
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06-29-12 12:44 AM #44
yea, thats exactly what happened
i didnt even think twice, it was automatic when i saw nadal and his opponent
in hindsight, -9000 is a waste of time in a parlay, added nothing at all
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06-29-12 02:45 AM #45
any thoughts??????
- 6/29/2012 10:30 AM WTA Tennis 314 Kim Clijsters* -435 vs Vera Zvonareva
- 6/29/2012 9:30 AM WTA Tennis 325 Agnieszka Radwanska* -650 vs Heather Watson
- 6/29/2012 8:00 AM Props Tennis 105 N.Djokovic Wins 1st Set* -850 vs R.Stepanek Wins 1st Set
- 6/29/2012 11:00 AM Props Tennis 129 R.Federer Wins 1st Set* -1200 vs J.Benneteau Wins 1st Set
Risking $500.00 To Win $359.11
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06-29-12 03:44 AM #46
I think Heather Watson has a shot. Other than that, and unless Clijsters falls apart I think you're fine.
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06-29-12 04:34 AM #47
$275.00 to win $311.96
5 Team Parlay
Kim Clijsters -400* vs Vera Zvonareva
Angelique Kerber -450* vs Christina McHale
Agnieszka Radwanska -650* vs Heather Watson
N.Djokovic Wins 1st Set -850* vs R.Stepanek Wins 1st Set
R.Federer Wins 1st Set -1200* vs J.Benneteau Wins 1st Set
$275.00 to win $159.54
5 Team Parlay
Novak Djokovic -3810* vs Radek Stepanek
Roger Federer -4710* vs Julien Benneteau
Maria Sharapova -2205* vs Su-Wei Hsieh
Kim Clijsters -400* vs Vera Zvonareva
Agnieszka Radwanska -650* vs Heather Watson
crap i didnt mean to put kerber in there .................
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06-29-12 01:43 PM #48
Please bro save your money watch the game a little more and actually make a pick don't let the odds makes basically make your bets because it seems like whatever the biggest favorite you bet it.. Not trying to hate but don't burn your money
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06-29-12 01:55 PM #49
doesnt matter.. you lost both djoko/federer first set options.. Originally Posted by jsmithj88
you need to chill out bro.. do you know tennis very well? How much have you lost so far in this thread?
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06-29-12 07:35 PM #50
If you're looking for other high chalk plays that can be solid, don't play the 1st setters - way too unpredictable and almost any player in the top 50 can take a set of another player if they play their A-game.
Much better to play the +2.5 set options.
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06-30-12 04:05 AM #51
$50.00 $60.10
4 Team Parlay
David Ferrer -260* vs Andy Roddick
Juan Martin del Potro -320* vs Kei Nishikori
Andy Murray -900* vs Marcos Baghdatis
Serena Williams -1105* vs Jie Zheng
$380.00 $258.88
6 Team Parlay
Andy Murray -900* vs Marcos Baghdatis
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -1200* vs Lukas Lacko
B.Bryan/M.Bryan -840* vs J.Delgado/K.Skupski
Serena Williams -1105* vs Jie Zheng
Petra Kvitova -1050* vs Varvara Lepchenko
Victoria Azarenka -2220* vs Jana Cepelova
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07-02-12 06:00 AM #52
$600.00 to win $349.02
Open 7 Team Parlay
N.Djokovic Sets Won -1½ -950* vs V.Troicki Sets Won
R.Federer Sets Won -1½ -650* vs X.Malisse Sets Won
Not D.Ferrer In 3 Sets -700* vs D.Ferrer Wins 3-0
Not M.Cilic In 3 Sets -2500* vs M.Cilic Wins 3-0
Not M.Fish In 3 Sets -2300* vs M.Fish Wins 3-0
$100.00 $152.63
Open 6 Team Parlay
N.Djokovic Sets Won -1½ -950* vs V.Troicki Sets Won
R.Federer Sets Won -1½ -650* vs X.Malisse Sets Won
Not D.Ferrer In 3 Sets -700* vs D.Ferrer Wins 3-0
Not M.Cilic In 3 Sets -2500* vs M.Cilic Wins 3-0
J-W.Tsonga Sets Won/M.Fish Sets Won Over 3½ -150*
$19.00 to win $40.53
Open 3 Team Parlay
Juan Martin del Potro -135* vs David Ferrer
Kim Clijsters -125* vs Angelique Kerber
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07-02-12 06:17 AM #53
$19.00 to win $40.53
Open 3 Team Parlay
Juan Martin del Potro -135* vs David Ferrer
Kim Clijsters -125* vs Angelique Kerber
D.Istomin Sets Won/M.Youzhny Sets Won Under 5 -380*
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