[tevari]

he's playing Lu tomorrow morning, who had an impressive run last week beating Tipsarevic, etc, but given the amount of tennis he played and the fact that he had to retire against Cilic in the second set, I was expecting to see Benny @ around -250 or so, he's at -185 right now. TI is tipping Benneteau 16-2. Anything I should be aware of before using him for parlay fodder?

[EaglesPhan36]

Uncertainty. No leaked info about Lu. Not sure why it would be higher because if Lu was just gassed last week and not injured, it's more of a 50-50 match. TI's majority tips were garbage today, keep that in mind. At least the ones I recall.

[tevari]

They were. Something ilke 24-2 on Dodig who clearly was tired from the last tourney and lost to Lorenzi in straights of all people, as a -500 fave. Erakovic too, 20-0 or something and got trounced by an out of form Paszek.

[tevari]

Believe me, I'm all about fading TI when the time is right. But more often than not, they get it right. I guess I'll pass on this match.

[EaglesPhan36]

I think the 13-5 on Llodra is a joke too. Guy has been trash for months. Even the price is set a bit to reflect that. Llodra -155. If he was in good form on Grass, he'd be closer to -200 I think. I still think Istomin has a shot for the upset.

[tevari]

I'd probably play the over in that match. Ebden 8-3 vs Sela is kinda meh too. Guy is wildly inconsistent.

[EaglesPhan36]

One I don't get at all is their love for Zakapalova over Zheng. Zheng was solid in Birmingham and she's +100? This is probably why I don't bet WTA, that seems like a no brainer to try Zheng.

[tevari]

don't understand that either. i thought zheng would take the whole thing, actually. probably some love for her showing at the french, taking a set off 'pova.

[tevari]

Fukk it. Benneteau/Safarova/Cibulkova locked in @+119.

[BrianLaverty]

Believe me, I'm all about fading TI when the time is right. But more often than not, they get it right. I guess I'll pass on this match.

I really beg to differ there..... If you faded all the plays that were 90% or higher on there, you would be + Units.

[tevari]

90% or higher, yea. Woke up hoping to see something like 20-8 Benny-Lu but saw 25-2 and knew I'd be in trouble. Lu taking it to him.

[tevari]

Looks like they are possibly going 3. Hopefully Lu's injury starts nagging him.

[tevari]

Nvm. Lu saves 5 break points in that game and breaks Benneteau.

[tevari]

nothing but frustration watching the benneteau/lu scoreboard. benny breaks in the 3rd for a 2-0 lead, gets broken back. 2-1 benny. Lu on serve, 15-40, dodges 2 break points and holds. wouldn't be surprised if lu wins 3 straight games as I expect benneteau to get broken here

[tevari]

here comes the benneteau choke job. 5-3 serving for the match about to get broken

[GoldRush7]

How many match points can you blow? unreal.

[tevari]

turning this shit off. lu saves 2 match points and breaks.

[tevari]

the score stopped updating. stuck on adv. lu. wouldn't surprise me if benneteau broke his leg or something and retires.

[tevari]

pretty sick shit. finish the choke job by losing 5-7 in the third, please.

[GoldRush7]

Such is my fukin luck lately

[tevari]

Shit on in the breaker. Ugh.

[rumple]

Great heart by the asian LU.

[tevari]

3 match points saved. Derp

[JNic]

Wow amazing how strong Lu is on grass... Lu/Harrison seems almost to be a pick'em?

[beefcake]

Yes its a pick.Early action on Harrison.Dont know why, I would back Lu..

[tevari]

IMO Lu really should've lost today. Benny up 5-2 40-30 and a couple advantages ...