[Juret]

What sportsbook(s) usually has the sharpest NHL playoff sides and totals?

Thanks

[mathdotcom]

Nicky Santauro Sports aka NSS

[wrongturn]

What sportsbook(s) usually has the sharpest NHL playoff sides and totals?

Thanks

Most likely Pinnacle, BetFair and Matchbook, depending on time of the day and liquidity amount.

[Thremp]

Market size and overround are the best heuristics for determining efficiency.

I would also hesitate to think that Matchbook is a unique market rather than one that is based off other lines.

[strixee]

I don't know if this information will be helpful for you, but I took Pinnacle ML odds for regular season games since the beginning of 2008-09 season until Dec 2010 (2611 games) and made a following thing:
I summed up all probabilities of home and away teams wins based on the ML odds.
For example if the H-A odds were 1.91-2.03, I added .515 to H and .485 to A.

The results I got were extraordinary.
The actual record was 1463-1148, Pinny openers gave 1462.71-1148.29 and closers 1458.12-1152.88. So as you can see, Pinnacle is extremely sharp and I doubt any other sportsbook can be sharper. What is a bit surprising for me is that openers are so close to the actual record.

Is such a sharpness test method valid? IMHO it is.

[strixee]

I repeated the test with a larger sample- 2009/10, 2010/11, 2011/12 regular season data of 3600 games.
Here is the result:
Actual: 1968-1632
Open: 1999.74-1600.26
Close: 1993.95-1606.05