[OffshoreInsiders]

Friday, December 01, 2006

A 3-0 SWEEP THURSDAY: BENGALS, CENTRAL MICHIGAN, NEW ORLEANS (CBB), 8-3 LAST 2 DAYS, 3-1 WISE GUYS

America ’s Greatest unloads big time on the Friday night card. We have two Wise Guy plays each in college basketball and the NBA—a total of four. We also have yet another Major play winner in college football, the Southern Miss-Houston side selection.

We have an eye popping 628-197 stat tonight and we tell you EXACTLY what it is. Get one of our long-term pick packs as we have a huge weekend in store and it looks like moneyline dog winners in college and pro football—the biggest combined weekend yet for such. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips $17 at the new home: OffshoreInsiders.com. Check out our new five day pass for $67, requested by many.

NBA
ATLANTA +3 Cleveland
It falls a bit short of our sky high premium pick threshold for two of our most profitable weapons, sharp versus square and dichotomous SU and ATS game. However, it has strong elements of both going towards our preponderance of evidence.

Sharp versus square means most of the sharp money is going one way and most of the sucker money the other way according to our offshore, Vegas and “outlaw” contacts. We go with the sharp money.

How about dichotomous ATS and SU game? We discount 98 percent of trends, but this has proven to be the exception to the rule. Explained in our articles around the Net, basically if a team has a great SU record but horrid ATS record or visa versa, you ride for that to continue as it is the sign of which teams are most under or overvalued.

Cleveland is 9-6 SU but 6-9 ATS. Atlanta is under .500 SU, but 8-5 where it counts. In fact, they’ve covered 4-of-5 even though they’ve lost 6-of-8 ATS.

With Atlanta being 4-3 SU at home but a home underdog to a 2-4 SU road team, we will take the home dog. The home team in fact is 11-4 in the Cavs games, a team that has a bulls eye on the road with King James getting all the (deserved) pub.