I'm passing on Aussies/Croatia match
But in the big game, I am taking:
China +32
This is just way too many points here. China playing on their home turf, in front of a packed house in what is the biggest event so far at these Olympics. The US will win, without question, but I can't see them taking this by anything other than a 30 point margin. The Chinese won't just pack it in if they are losing, Yao Ming won't let them. The US with a big lead will likely lay off the gas in the 4th quarter, ensuring that either the spread stays within 30, or allowing a China backdoor cover. China will try to control the ball and slow down the tempo, the US will have problems with Yao, their defence has been shaky in the exhibitions running up to the Olympics. And this isn't the NBA, where the stars get treated differently than the others. Kobe or Lebron driving to the hoop won't automatically draw a foul here. And another problem is that China will play as a TEAM while the USA may play more individual basketball. All these factors lead me to believe that China covers the 32 points.
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