Sweep category for sunday / rubber games

chipski · 05-11-2008, 02:22 AM

sun may 11th
easy breakdown

teams trying to avoid the sweep :
NL
braves> 3rd game of 4 game series > ppd
dbacks > lost
dodgers > lost
nats > lost

AL
angels > lost
a's > won
mariners > won
royals > 4th game of 4 game series > royals were swept 3 in a row but won on sun avoiding the 4 game sweep
bjays > 3rd game of 4 game series > ppd

rubber games :
NL
reds at mets > split dh on sat > mets won
rockies at padres > padres won
phils at giants > giants won

AL:
yanks at tigers > ppd

extended action > 4 game series that end on monday :
cards at brew > brew won
braves at pirates > ppd
rsox at twins > twins won
bjays at indians > ppd

4 OF THE 6 TEAMS WERE SWEPT . (royals game 4 was sun and they won so #s would adjust accordingly , actually 5 of 7 were swept in the 3 game series , but only 4 of 7 if we look at royals avoiding the 4 game sweep on sunday )
home teams dominated the categories as well as the day .
9 - 3 home teams ruled !
6 - 6 fav/dog count for sun may 11th , 3 games rained out .

don logan · 05-11-2008, 02:33 AM

How bout them Marlins? Have they actually faced a real pitcher all year other than the Dodgers staff? They're scoring half a dozen by just flashing the opposing pitcher a dirty look. I read the Nats' Hill has been pitching through arm soreness last few starts, so tomorrow could be just another stat-padding day for Olsen.

chipski · 05-11-2008, 02:37 AM

niceee ! yes they are doin great . not sure who i like in that one sunday .
i would never take the nats in that situation though . i do know that for sure .

Hellerud · 05-11-2008, 02:43 AM

go marlins.. on them tomorrow its my 2 unit.

ShowMeDaMoney · 05-11-2008, 03:02 AM

Does anyone have information on teams winning %'s attempting to avoid a sweep over the last 3-4 years in baseball?

Would love to read some data. I know myself I play streak angles playing teams who have lost 3+ in a row especially when playing against a team who has won 3+ in a row.

I'm not sure how I could work this into my current "system" but I'd love to read some data on the amount of sweeps in baseball in the past few years.

chipski · 05-11-2008, 08:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ShowMeDaMoney

Does anyone have information on teams winning %'s attempting to avoid a sweep over the last 3-4 years in baseball?

Would love to read some data. I know myself I play streak angles playing teams who have lost 3+ in a row especially when playing against a team who has won 3+ in a row.

I'm not sure how I could work this into my current "system" but I'd love to read some data on the amount of sweeps in baseball in the past few years.

yes , i have it all in notebooks tracked going wayyy back but dont want to know the overall #s really . i like it better just knowing by feel what has occured and goin by the present season we are living in and through .... kinda like it is all embedded in my heart how it works , believe it or not .

overall teams get swept more than they dont is what i believe without actually adding it all up from each year . because that is what i feel is true does not mean anything . this year they could avoid the sweep at an alarming rate . previous years mean little . is all about the 08 , matchups , luck ups , game of inches , blown saves , bad calls , previous years are not a TRUE gauge .
to me teams get swept more than they avoid the sweep simply because there are valid reasons why the team lost the first 2 in the series and odds are greater that that will carry over again in who wins game 3 . hot vs cold ... is my take

ShowMeDaMoney · 05-11-2008, 04:00 PM

would love to see some hard data

pimike · 05-11-2008, 04:03 PM

get away day seems to be no good. More sweeps than not

chipski · 05-15-2008, 02:11 AM

SWEEP CATEGORY FOR THURS MAY 15TH :

trying to avoid the sweep
Marlins 4th game > ppd
Rockies > lost

A's > lost
Tigers > lost
Twins > lost

my projections :
marlins ____ no clue / add : lean fla in another high scoring affair / ppd
rockies win > wrong they lost
a's lose > right they lost
tigers win > wrong they lost
twins lose > right they lost

dont feel great about any of those really , except tigers winning and indians winning .
playing webbs perfect #s to hit the L category . team is 8 -0 when he starts and he got the W in each of those wins (wow) .
realistic look ? how long will that hold up in the perfection sense ? will crash quicker than the blink of an eye and the stomp of your feet . honestly before you know it , the # s will be somewhat balanced for ariz when he starts ... like what ? if we went to sleep and woke up a month later the #s will read team wins when webb starts = 10 - 4 . haha not unbalanced to say the least but a big shot to the head 4 times if you back webb in that 30 day timeframe .
yes , he could go undefeated forever and be the greatest ever in mlb , but is rare for anyone to keep up any amazing #s because starting pitching is just 1 spoke in the wheel ... we will see .

add: EXCEPTION TO THE RULE > but dont get me wrong i was and have been all over ariz to be a great team this year and they have been so far .
maybe webb wins 20 games and loses 3 or 4 , leaving 9 or 10 starts left he gets a no decision in . so , a realistic team record when webb starts could be 24 - 10 / 24 - 9 . feel me ? the postive people would say nah he wins 23 games . lol

note : any inj and these #s and brainstorms are torn to bits . guys that play with nagging injs are why alot of our conspiracy theorys originate , they are not 100% so how can they overahieve or not f up when we need them to come up big .....

ADD RESULTS : ALL 4 TEAMS LOST AND WERE SWEPT !
marlins ppd which might have snuck an avoid 4 game sweep winner in there , we will never know .

chipski · 05-15-2008, 10:40 AM

sweep and avoid sweep parlay + cushion/umbrella :
marlins +1.5 > ppd
rockies +1.5 > no good
indians > good
tigers > notta !
bjays > good
$20 profits $257
$25 profits $321

yesterday this same combo would have been a 1 miss with tigers .

chipski · 05-17-2008, 06:47 AM

here we are on sat may 17th 2008 , God bless all and may we be so very thankful and grateful for our lives . may we make the most of it and live our life like it is a gift . because it is .

let's look at the teams that lost last night in game 1 of the series :
nl game > pirates
nl parks > bjays , indians , marlins , a's , cards , rockies , tigers , giants .
al parks > nats , astros , dodgers , mariners .

WHICH OF THESE TEAMS IS MOST LIKELY GOING TO BE TRYING TO AVOID THE SWEEP ON SUNDAY ? had to be 2 games ppd to throw me off a little bit . getting past that , here i go .

teams to win sat putting the opposing team into the trying to avoid the sweep category sun :
nl parks > royals win , drays win , twins win , wsox win .
al parks > o's win , angels win . that equals 6 teams trying to avoid the sweep sunday , throw in rsox sweep of the dh and a cubs win and we hit the normal 8 TEAMS TRYIN TO AVOID THE SWEEP SUNDAY .

rubber games prediction is simply resulting events because of the above being true , want to type it to see it and feel it more .
RUBBER GAMES ON SUNDAY :
bjays at phils > true
indians at reds > wrong
a's at braves > true
tigers at dbacks > true
astros at rangers > wrong
pads at mariners > true

left mets at yanks games out altogether .

as always this could be good or not good at all .

chipski · 05-17-2008, 08:04 AM

breakdown of above post #11 :
showing every winner on the board for sat may 17th according to the strategy in above post :

nl parks :
drays > lost
indians > lost
bjays > won
a's > won
royals > lost
twins > lost
tigers > won
wsox > won

al parks :
rsox x 2 > swept dh
angels > lost
o's > won
astros > lost
mariners > won

nl game :
cubs > lost
add : my take results go 8 - 7 , nothing special to say the least .

left the mets at yanks game out . team turmoil/media jive lately for mets should spark something good for them . mets spank yanks sat and sun . wang falls sunday .
leaving it alone and will just watch as a fan .

note : projection is for AL domination with 12 AL teams getthing the W . is a little unbalanced yes . if this is no good sat , i will go right back with AL domination for SUNDAY .

note : mets would be one of the few nl teams to get a win sat .

chipski · 05-18-2008, 05:54 AM

trying to avoid the 3 game sweep on sunday :

FIRST ROUND OF INTERLEAUGE PLAY 08 <>
nl parks:
indians > lost
giants > lost

al parks:
astros > won
nats > won
brew > lost

only 5 teams made the sweep category .
american leauge 9 wins to the national leauges 6 on sat . was al 7 - 5 on friday .
11 favs won of the 16 games on sat
4 favs won by a run .
home away was pretty even at 9 - 7 home teams edged .
mets game 1 being ppd altered the sweep #s by 1 maybe .

chipski · 05-18-2008, 06:49 PM

results were 3 of the 5 teams were swept on sunday .
both the nats and astros winning to avoid the sweep made no sense and was backwards to me . what can you do though , nothing .
the fact only 2 nl teams were swept playing the almighty al is not a true reflection of what will occur next go round .

the al/nl win count for sunday going into tonights game is nl leads 7 - 6 . nl won 5 of the 8 on sun playing in their home park .
al won 3 of the 5 in their home park with 1 left tonight .

tonights game to me is a #1 starter vs a # 4 starter , whatever that is worth . maybe nothing .
perez was good against the yanks and braves last year and 9 - 9 vs everyone else . the lefty was a combined 6 - 1 last year vs yanks and braves .

chipski · 05-18-2008, 10:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chipski

team turmoil/media jive lately for mets should spark something good for them . mets spank yanks sat and sun . wang falls sunday .

note : mets would be one of the few nl teams to get a win sat .

stop the freakin presses ! this is what i really thought . haha
i look too good to do a youtube . would be too much jealousy .