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03-04-2008, 01:43 PM
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#36 (permalink)
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SBR Wise Guy
Join Date: 07-26-07
Posts: 525
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soccer without a doubt. 1.20 quotes win 80% of the time. If you bet a dime on 1.20, youll accumulate 1.6 dimes per loss of one dime.
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03-04-2008, 03:00 PM
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#37 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: 08-28-05
Location: Forest Hills, NY, Home of the Blitzkrieg Bop
Posts: 4,587
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Quote:
Originally Posted by armyoflovers
soccer without a doubt. 1.20 quotes win 80% of the time. If you bet a dime on 1.20, youll accumulate 1.6 dimes per loss of one dime.
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The edge on a a bet with an 80% win probability at would be 80%* - 1 = -4%.
Wagering at odds you'd stand to win $200 per $1,000 risked.
Were you to win 80% of these such bets then you'd on average accumulate 80%/ 20%*$200 = $800 for every $1,000 lost.
__________________
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03-04-2008, 03:10 PM
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#38 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 09-24-07
Location: Just north of Hell just south of Heaven
Posts: 1,151
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I dont know!!!
__________________
Liquor is a slow poison so who's in a hurry!!
People who live in glass houses should not throw stones!!
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03-05-2008, 06:15 AM
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#39 (permalink)
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SBR Wise Guy
Join Date: 07-26-07
Posts: 525
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ganchrow
The edge on a a bet with an 80% win probability at would be 80%* - 1 = -4%.
Wagering at odds you'd stand to win $200 per $1,000 risked.
Were you to win 80% of these such bets then you'd on average accumulate 80%/20%*$200 = $800 for every $1,000 lost.
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Yea I mucked that up bro, maybe I shouldve said 90% of the time, but nonetheless I am profitable, for the most part, at chasing low soccer quotes. I dont possess or opt to use any of the statistical rigmarole you do, I am rather crude about my betting. I guess that explains why I am broke 
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03-05-2008, 02:00 PM
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#40 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 01-31-06
Posts: 1,872
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LT Profits
RickySteve,
I'm very surprised you have CBB so low? For me:
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To paraphrase Billy Beane: "My sh*t doesn't work in basketball!"
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03-31-2008, 04:54 PM
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#41 (permalink)
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SBR Hustler
Join Date: 03-31-08
Posts: 57
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Since it hasn't been mentioned yet I thought I would chime in with the sport that has been kindest to me....
Mixed Martial Arts
With the growth of the sport over the past few years the number of big events taking place has increased dramatically and with so many new uneducated fans combined with the solid job that the UFC does in hyping up fighters there is a lot of great value bets to be found on a regular basis.
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03-31-2008, 04:55 PM
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#42 (permalink)
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SBR Hall of Famer
Join Date: 01-11-08
Location: Wyoming
Posts: 11,916
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I thought football a couple months ago but seems like the NBA is pretty good to me now.
__________________
NBA picks tracked since Feb 29th (regular season)
Sides: 68-54 [55.3%] (+12.72 Units)
Totals: 71-45 [61.2%] (+24.26 Units)
Combined: 139-99 [58.4%] (+37.08 Units)
MLB Rollercoaster:529-481 [52.4%] +87.90
Today is just one day among many.
On to Tomorrow.
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04-01-2008, 07:51 AM
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#43 (permalink)
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SBR Hustler
Join Date: 03-31-08
Posts: 92
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Nba
Quote:
Originally Posted by rake922
I suspect many answers will vary.
Please explain your rationale.
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I like betting the 2nd halfs of NBA basketball games. When a good team is losing, I usually take them in the 2nd half.
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04-01-2008, 07:53 AM
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#44 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 02-05-08
Location: Tampa, FL
Posts: 3,254
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College football.
The favorite and the over.
I don't really think that needs explaining.
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04-07-2008, 10:10 AM
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#45 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 04-06-08
Posts: 1,131
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I would think it would be MLB but for some reason I seem to do well on NBA games. Ive done very well with home team favorites and I rode the Celtics train from the get go this year until it cooled off.
MLB has a lot of info available though. I like going with an MLB team the night after a tough loss (Captain Obvious).
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04-07-2008, 07:17 PM
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#46 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 08-29-06
Location: highland
Posts: 1,784
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No one else will come up with this one!
Horse Racing at the Humbolt county fair in Northern California. They run for 9 racing days in mid August. This a half mile race track and a trip handicapper's paradise. Betting pools are very small. Lots of overlays. I love it!
I've shown profits seven out of the eight racing seasons.
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04-09-2008, 02:56 AM
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#47 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 03-07-08
Location: Southern Cal
Posts: 3,785
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Hockey for phucking sure
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04-09-2008, 03:38 AM
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#48 (permalink)
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Banned
Join Date: 11-16-05
Location:
Posts: 18,146
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My answer to this question changes like the weather. Even though I lost last season I still think NFL is the easiest, lifetime I'm well ahead and been betting it since I was a pre teen.
Guess I'd have to make it a three way tie between
NFL-College FB-College BB. Really excited about ML parlays in CBB.
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04-09-2008, 04:07 AM
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#49 (permalink)
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SBR Hall of Famer
Join Date: 12-14-05
Posts: 6,799
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-
Last edited by Dark Horse : 04-09-2008 at 04:12 AM.
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04-09-2008, 04:18 AM
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#50 (permalink)
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Banned
Join Date: 11-16-05
Location:
Posts: 18,146
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DH,
What did you post I'm curious?
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04-09-2008, 05:05 AM
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#51 (permalink)
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SBR Hall of Famer
Join Date: 12-14-05
Posts: 6,799
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It was a sports distribution, but I decided it wasn't low profile enough.
I'll pm you the link.
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