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Old 03-04-2008, 01:43 PM   #36 (permalink)
armyoflovers
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soccer without a doubt. 1.20 quotes win 80% of the time. If you bet a dime on 1.20, youll accumulate 1.6 dimes per loss of one dime.
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Old 03-04-2008, 03:00 PM   #37 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by armyoflovers View Post
soccer without a doubt. 1.20 quotes win 80% of the time. If you bet a dime on 1.20, youll accumulate 1.6 dimes per loss of one dime.
The edge on a a bet with an 80% win probability at would be 80%* - 1 = -4%.

Wagering at odds you'd stand to win $200 per $1,000 risked.

Were you to win 80% of these such bets then you'd on average accumulate 80%/20%*$200 = $800 for every $1,000 lost.
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Old 03-04-2008, 03:10 PM   #38 (permalink)
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I dont know!!!
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Old 03-05-2008, 06:15 AM   #39 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ganchrow View Post
The edge on a a bet with an 80% win probability at would be 80%* - 1 = -4%.

Wagering at odds you'd stand to win $200 per $1,000 risked.

Were you to win 80% of these such bets then you'd on average accumulate 80%/20%*$200 = $800 for every $1,000 lost.
Yea I mucked that up bro, maybe I shouldve said 90% of the time, but nonetheless I am profitable, for the most part, at chasing low soccer quotes. I dont possess or opt to use any of the statistical rigmarole you do, I am rather crude about my betting. I guess that explains why I am broke
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Old 03-05-2008, 02:00 PM   #40 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
RickySteve,

I'm very surprised you have CBB so low? For me:
To paraphrase Billy Beane: "My sh*t doesn't work in basketball!"
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Old 03-31-2008, 04:54 PM   #41 (permalink)
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Since it hasn't been mentioned yet I thought I would chime in with the sport that has been kindest to me....

Mixed Martial Arts

With the growth of the sport over the past few years the number of big events taking place has increased dramatically and with so many new uneducated fans combined with the solid job that the UFC does in hyping up fighters there is a lot of great value bets to be found on a regular basis.
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Old 03-31-2008, 04:55 PM   #42 (permalink)
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I thought football a couple months ago but seems like the NBA is pretty good to me now.
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Old 04-01-2008, 07:51 AM   #43 (permalink)
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I suspect many answers will vary.

Please explain your rationale.
I like betting the 2nd halfs of NBA basketball games. When a good team is losing, I usually take them in the 2nd half.
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Old 04-01-2008, 07:53 AM   #44 (permalink)
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College football.

The favorite and the over.

I don't really think that needs explaining.
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Old 04-07-2008, 10:10 AM   #45 (permalink)
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I would think it would be MLB but for some reason I seem to do well on NBA games. Ive done very well with home team favorites and I rode the Celtics train from the get go this year until it cooled off.

MLB has a lot of info available though. I like going with an MLB team the night after a tough loss (Captain Obvious).
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Old 04-07-2008, 07:17 PM   #46 (permalink)
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No one else will come up with this one!
Horse Racing at the Humbolt county fair in Northern California. They run for 9 racing days in mid August. This a half mile race track and a trip handicapper's paradise. Betting pools are very small. Lots of overlays. I love it!
I've shown profits seven out of the eight racing seasons.
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Old 04-09-2008, 02:56 AM   #47 (permalink)
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Hockey for phucking sure
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Old 04-09-2008, 03:38 AM   #48 (permalink)
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My answer to this question changes like the weather. Even though I lost last season I still think NFL is the easiest, lifetime I'm well ahead and been betting it since I was a pre teen.

Guess I'd have to make it a three way tie between
NFL-College FB-College BB. Really excited about ML parlays in CBB.
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Old 04-09-2008, 04:07 AM   #49 (permalink)
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-

Last edited by Dark Horse : 04-09-2008 at 04:12 AM.
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Old 04-09-2008, 04:18 AM   #50 (permalink)
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DH,

What did you post I'm curious?
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Old 04-09-2008, 05:05 AM   #51 (permalink)
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It was a sports distribution, but I decided it wasn't low profile enough.

I'll pm you the link.