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Go Back   Sports Handicapping, Betting & Picks - SBR Forum > Sports Handicapping, Picks and Game Discussion > Soccer Handicapping

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Old 06-25-2006, 03:35 AM   #1 (permalink)
McBa1n
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Default World Cup Best Bets Sunday 6/25

England -200 to win in 90 mins 2 units.
Scary bet - but I think England has something to prove... Even if Ecuador beat Argentina AND Brazil in Quito in qualifying. Ecuador got destroyed by Germany and will come out and try to win, but England is way too physical and big... And fast enough to win. Plus, Englands D is more physical than any team they've seen so far. I don't see Ecuador holding up to Ferdinand - or Campbell (if the guy plays - sheesh he should). South American teams with moderate to good talent up front, generally, get dominated by big defense... But that is my brain thinking, no stats to back it up. Poland was Ecuador's big upset, and they are smallish and slow at the back by comparison. I really see no upset here. Ecuador is a team I've supported the whole way - they play complete team ball... I just think they don't have enough 'pop' to create chances in the midfield. Speed and being undersized, IMO, plays into England's hands. I hope I'm wrong as a fan, they've been a ton of fun to watch, but as a bettor, I'd be crazy to take their juicy odds, I hope:>.

I'm waiting on better odds for Holland to beat Portugal... I will get better than +141 if I wait (crap, if I waited on ALL the games I bet to 5 mins in I'd have made a bundle). I hope, anyway:> Ruud is destined to put one in today... They'll likely get my support, but I think I have to in-game bet this one to get solid odds. I screwed the pooch by being an inexperienced bettor with a few games so far. My record is nice (almost tripled my stake thus far), but I'm inexperienced - I make money, but not as much as a sharp would. 1 year of betting sports and winning doesn't make me an expert... I am learning more during this cup than anything I've ever done. I thank everyone that has made any note that is plausible to the game. No, I appreciate it VERY much. I hope I have helped others... except today:> GREAT day to fade me, my only losing day so far... DOH DOH.

I also thank Adriano... When in doubt - bet what he bets:> You don't fade a winner. He's a winner when it comes to any sport. I havn't talked up much, aside from American Football, but he's probably the guy I respect most when he posts.
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Old 06-25-2006, 03:45 AM   #2 (permalink)
Dark Horse
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England 1H OVER 0.5 and 1 goal -135
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