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  1. #1

    Default Smogs Premier League Picks Wednesday

    We have some interesting matchups tonight and with the advice of some of the members on and some solid stats i am going to make a couple of half unit plays. Nothing major tonight, i was lucky last night and i don't want to get silly tonight.

    Blackburn Vs Wigan - Blackburn win and Over 2.5

    I think we will see both outcomes come through here and i am confident that Blackburn can win this convincingly.

    Despite being sh*t, Blackburn are actually very solid at home. They recently beat Fulham 2-0 at home and that was sandwiched in between 2 big losses to Villa in the cup. I think they had given up in this and now can set themselves straight with this league game.
    Head to head form alone favours both outcomes tonight: Blackburn have won their last 3 at Ewood against Wigan and 2 of the 3 went over 2.5 goals.

    With Wigan poor on the road, especially defensively, i believe Blackburn will score at least 2. They have lost just 1 of their last 6 home games and only 2 all season. They have drawn a fair few but Wigan on the road read just 3 wins and 7 defeats from 11. They also have lost 4 of their last 6 and that win was against Wolves, who cannot score themselves.

    With this being a local derby also, i expect a high tempo and with odds at evens for the Blackburn win, and +105 for over 2.5 goals, i think we see at the very worst one hit, and to make my night a lot better, both
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/31/2012


  2. #2

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    Everton Vs Sunderland - Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.925

    I'm steering clear of the home win, even though i do like it, but i'll follow Wilforth's lead and go with the over, which i liked myself.
    What i noticed from the stats is that Sunderland have actually scored in 7 of their 11 away games and their last 4 in all competitions.
    Everton are on a big revival that has had too many draws and i think they will come out tonight looking for plenty of goals.
    Donovan has made a good impact and Everton have actually scored in their last 5 home games in all comps, adding to this they have scored 11 in their last 6.

    Don't put it past Sunderland to score, as Bent is still in good form despite the Mackems not, so i would not be surprised at a 2-1 home win even more goals
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/31/2012


  3. #3

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    Well, this is what my card looks like

    Birmingham +1.75 -120
    Sunderland +1 -120
    Arsenal -.25 -115
    Blackburn -.5 -110
    Arsenal under 2.5, EV



    leans
    over birmingham/chelsea, over sunderland/everton

  4. #4

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    I like them Plagy, especially Birmingham and arsenal under.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/31/2012


  5. #5

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    I had a bad day yesterday and I am trying to make it up today. Here are my plays/leans for today:

    · Newcastle vs C. Palace Over 2.5 LOSS
    · Chelsea vs Birmingham Birmingham +2 LOSS
    · Everton vs Sunderland Over 2.5 LOSS
    · Blackburn vs Wigan Under 2.5 LOSS
    · Aston Villa vs Arsenal Over 2.5 LOSS

    Terrible day...0-5

  6. #6

    Default

    hope u don't mind me posting on your thread. esp, w/o any analysis.

    im just way too lazy :P

  7. #7

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    Quote Originally Posted by theplagy View Post
    hope u don't mind me posting on your thread. esp, w/o any analysis.

    im just way too lazy :P

    Not a prob plagy, good to get other insight. Bad start for the Brum
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/31/2012


  8. #8

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    haha, im not too worried. got over 2.5 as insurance

  9. #9

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    Smogs...riding Blackburn with ya today...hopefully a few more goals so you can also hit the total. Cheers
    9,000

    SBR POKER TOP 100

    40th Place 11/1/2011


  10. #10

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    Here are my picks for today:

    Aston Villa/Arsenal Over +2.5 - 1 unit
    Chelsea/Birmingham Over +2.5 - 1.5 units
    Chelsea/Birmingham Chelsea -1.5 - 1.5 units
    Everton/Sunderland Everton -1 - 1 units
    Man City/Man Unites Over +2.5 - 4 units

    Definitely losing the Villa game, Chelsea will pull it out by 2, but they may not score anymore so I may lose that as well. Everton is golden.

    My last big play in the United/City game is going to be close, I expect Man U to score at least one more goal, so it really comes down to City putting one in or not. If City scores and it goes to ET then no matter what I win? Curious, whether or not a PK win would constitute a goal or not...

  11. #11

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    blackburn's late goal revived me

  12. #12

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    good call on Blackburn bro. Appreciated. 15 pts for you

  13. #13

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    well done, seeing alot of perfect days today.

  14. #14

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    Quote Originally Posted by MykeTison View Post
    well done, seeing alot of perfect days today.
    Not mine...

    · Newcastle vs C. Palace Over 2.5 LOSS
    · Chelsea vs Birmingham Birmingham +2 LOSS
    · Everton vs Sunderland Over 2.5 LOSS
    · Blackburn vs Wigan Under 2.5 LOSS
    · Aston Villa vs Arsenal Over 2.5 LOSS

    Terrible day...0-5

  15. #15

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    Thank you rixsaw, i appreciate it

    Another good day for me, up 7.2 units ytd. Can't believe only last week i was 7-11-3 and now i'm 24-18-4
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/31/2012


  16. #16

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    What are y'all feeling on the Copa Del Rey games tomorrow ? Atletico has been putting up a lot of goals as of late, kinda feeling the over, but first lets talk about their first leg.

  17. #17

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