[Smogs]

I've been looking at this for a while and have to make a play on it.

Draw @ 9/4 Bet365 1 Unit

Everton come into this game having had a bad season by their standards. They struggle to win at home, with a 3-5-2 home record, and they don't score that many with just 14 goals. They have conceded 15 but when you consider 6 came against Arsenal, they have proven quite resolute at the back.
Form wise they are getting back on track. They haven't lost in their last 6 but that only includes one win, and they have drawn 5 of their last 7 at home.
Injuries who have cost Everton before christmas are coming back and will make this very hard for Man City, who have their own injury headaches.

Man City also like the draw, with it happening 8 times in 20 league games and 5 times on the road.
They have a lot of injury problems, highlighted by the fact Benjani is playing first team football and even with Tevez in fine form, may struggle to show the gap in quality at everton.

Head to head, these games are always tight and decided by the odd goal, and even though Everton have the better record, Man City now have a bg jump in quality, but i think ultimately both teams are going to cancel themselves out.

This fits a purely value perspective rather than an odds on banker, the price is very good given the two teams scenarios.

Good luck guys

[mihaita666]

smogs, u're a good capper, and an active member of the football forum...why dont you mke your thread here?

[Smogs]

I had a thread but after a massive downturn in form, i decided just making picks would be better. I think it's easier for people to see the picks, and my record is on my spreadsheet. I might make another one though

[spartangreen]

yeah smogs. at first i liked Man City, but Everton has been playing pretty decent and a draw could happen. Thats why i played the over 2.5 with the decent odds.

[Smogs]

Hopefully it will be 2-2 then lol. This is more a value pick at great odds rather than a more consistent pick, if that makes sense

I was thinking of Chesterfield this weekend, but poor form steered me away.

Sunday will see two picks from me, eyeing up Villa -1 and Blackburn PK.

[demize21]

BOL smogs

[Toronto-boy]

good luck on ur tommrow game and i taked Man City in my pro-line.

[Smogs]

wtf is pro-line

[Toronto-boy]

u don't like it proline??

[Smogs]

I don't know what it is

[Toronto-boy]

this is wat im talking abut http://proline.olg.ca/prolineEvents.do