View New Posts
  1. #1
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default Contrarian analysis soccer O/U system

    I'm going to try a new soccer system out where I bet the under when two high scoring sides face off.

    Will be back with today's potential plays for eredivisie, eerste divisie, ligue 2 and more.

    I will not be betting real money to start with but rather track this and see how it does.

    Comments welcome.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


  2. #2

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Jaug View Post
    I'm going to try a new soccer system out where I bet the under when two high scoring sides face off.

    It also applies in games between teams that have scored over their heads in the L2.

  3. #3
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default

    Two plays today, all bets are one unit flat as I expect the odds to be around 1.7-2.3.

    Union Berlin-Cottbus U2.5 Expekt 1,95 Albinoleffe-Lecce U2.25 Pinny 1,98
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


  4. #4

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Jaug View Post

    Union Berlin-Cottbus U2.5 Expekt 1,95

  5. #5
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default

    1-1 day for a small loss. On to today's plays. I think the line on Hyeres - Paris FC is really really low. No clue what they were thinking when they put that line but I guess we will find out today.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


  6. #6
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default

    Hyeres-Paris FC U2.25 Pinnacle 1,83

    Wolfsburg-Freiburg U3 188bet 2,075

    Juventus-Inter U2.25 Pinnacle 2

    Cheltenham-Northampton U2.5 Pinnacle 2,1
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


  7. #7

    Default

    Juventus - Inter.

    Difficult to predict, seems to me it's close to 50/50 that it goes over or under 2.5 goals.

  8. #8
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default

    2-4 YTD -2.2 units

    The only play that hit was the one with the really fishy low line in french national, go figure.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


  9. #9
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default

    Two plays for today. One of them with a very fishy line (the greek game).Fade on?

    Panthrakikos-Asteras T. U2 188bet 2,176

    Mallorca-Zaragoza U2.5 188bet 2,1
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


  10. #10
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default

    1-1 on the day for a profit.

    YTD: 3-5 -2.04 units
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


  11. #11

    Default

    good thing youre not betting real money with this. you would lose big time.

  12. #12
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Phillth View Post
    good thing youre not betting real money with this. you would lose big time.
    Based on what? The statistical material is not huge you know . Fade if you want.

    On to today's plays:
    Watford-QPR U2.5 Pinnacle 2
    Nantes-Arles U2.25 188bet 1,87
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


  13. #13
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default

    YTD: 4-6 -2.17

    Fridays plays:

    Hertha-Leverkusen U2.5 Pinnacle 1,971
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


  14. #14
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default

    YTD: 4-7

    Well a moose in the german game and the over hits. As for now I would recommend fading my system, alot of the losses have been games with 4 and sometimes even 5 goals.

    On to Saturdays plays:

    Southampton-Tranmere U2.75 SBObet 1,94

    Marseille-Boulogne U2.5 188bet 2,086

    Lecce-Ascoli U2.5 Pinnacle 1,92

    Salernitana-Albinoleffe U2.25 Pinnacle 1,952

    PSV-Alkmaar U2.75 188bet 2,052
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


  15. #15
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default

    Finally a good day. Will update record soon but I think I went 4-1.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


  16. #16
    Jaug's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 2,344
    SBR Points: 3411
    Message Me

    Default

    YTD: 8-8 -0,14 u

    Because of saturdays success and the fact that I like sundays card I will now play real money on these picks. Let's do this

    Sundays plays:

    Liverpool-Arsenal U2.5 Pinnacle 2

    St. Pauli-Furth U2.75 SBObet 2,12

    Sampdoria-AS Roma U2.5 Pinnacle 2,06

    Willem II-Roda U2.5 188bet 2,123

    Volendam-Haarlem U3 188bet 2,03

    Bursaspor-Ankaraspor
    NO LINE YET
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012


Top