11-04-09, 08:13 PM
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#1
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Europa Thursday
Hey guys, let's get some capping for tomorrow's Europa league games going on in here. At first glance, here's what I like:
Anderlecht -1
Anderlecht at home against a struggling Timisoara team should be an easy win. The problem may be motivational though, as although Anderlecht is atop their group table, they've drawn Timisoara already and Ajax at home. This is an important game though, and they should come out firing.
Valencia
They're on good form (even road form), and Slavia Prague has pretty much nothing to play for in this competition anymore.
Benfica PK, +1/2
Aside from their loss to Braga this weekend, Benfica has looked great recently. Everton also really should be focusing on Premier League play, and likely won't bring their best side tomorrow.
What do you all like?
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11-04-09, 09:11 PM
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#2
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Agree with you on Valencia. As good as Valencia is in club competition, Slavia is that bad. Valencia -1/2.
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11-04-09, 10:10 PM
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#3
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Hamburger -1
Heerenveen -1/2
Villareal -1/2
Fenerbahce -1
Werder Bremen -1-1/2
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11-04-09, 11:31 PM
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#4
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http://tenniselbowblog1.blogspot.com/
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I think Fulham +1 if you can find that flat without having to split it with +0.5 could be solid. Roma won't have Totti again plus will be missing the Burdissos as defenders. On top of that, they are still struggling badly. I would think Fulham would play not to lose so that they wouldn't have the pressure to win their last two Europa League matches to continue on. They were unlucky to draw 1-1 letting in that late equalizer at home to Roma. Can't see Roma winning by more than one if this one doesn't end up a draw which I think might be the most likely outcome.
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175 pts
3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/10/2012
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11-05-09, 01:56 AM
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#5
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Hamburg/Celtic draw +265
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11-05-09, 01:58 AM
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#6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wilforth
Hamburg/Celtic draw +265
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Heerenveen/Hertha draw +220
AEK/Bate Borisov draw +250
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11-05-09, 06:17 AM
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#7
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My strong bets today are: Shakhtar Donetsk & Ajax.
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11-05-09, 06:25 AM
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#8
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Ajax ML @2.00, +100.
Ajax on the road against Dinamo Zagreb who got -3points from UEFA and will play without supporters in the arena today. Ajax have been hot lately and a win here on the road will be very sweet for the dutch. I will play them to win @2.00.
Wish you guys BOL.
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11-05-09, 08:00 AM
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#9
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520 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -3
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i like tweetes tips
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SBR Founder
Join Date:
11/13/2005
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11-05-09, 08:37 AM
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#10
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I'll roll w/ CSKA Sofia +1.5 vs. Basel. Public is hammering Basel because of a ton of missings for CSKA, well, thanks public...keep hammering Basel.
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11-05-09, 08:45 AM
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#11
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Are you looking at sbr odds to find these public betting percentages? |
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11-05-09, 08:58 AM
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#12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by teecee
Are you looking at sbr odds to find these public betting percentages? |
No, I have a personal source.
BTW, Ajax is also a VERY HEAVY PUBLIC BET today because of several reasons:
-Ajax wants to win today
-Dinamo is awful in European competitions (their record/history proves it)
-They have lost against some pretty bad/mediocre teams lately in domestic league
-They are also missing Mandzukic and some other important players for this game
-They were deducted -3 points from Europa league (I'm guesing because they suck so bad)
-Absolutely NOTHING to play for today with ZERO supporters, and ZERO points.
Ajax clear AW here but wait, what happens in these kind of games when public is on one side?
Be careful with your stakes and dont be suprised if a suprise happens.
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11-05-09, 09:00 AM
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#13
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FC Basel -1.5 @1.92
CSKA Sofia is apparently missing 9 players because they went clubbing, don't know which ones but when they played in Sofia Basel won with 2-0.
Ajax @ Evens
Good form for Ajax who are like 11-3 their last three domestic games, Dinamo has Mandžukić injured and Badelj is suspended, having problems in the league.
FC Köpenhamn/PSV Eindhoven Draw @ 3.20
AS Roma Under 2.5 @ Evens
SK Rapid Wien Over 2.5 @ 1.76
Toulouse Over 2.5 @ Evens
Red Bull Salzburg @ 2.32
Benfica PK, +.5 @ 1.82
Gonna put some parlays together.
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11-05-09, 09:01 AM
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#14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SRBI
No, I have a personal source.
BTW, Ajax is also a VERY HEAVY PUBLIC BET today because of several reasons, Ajax wants to win today, Dinamo is awful in European competition, they are also missing Mandzukic and some other important players, were deducted -3 points from Europa league and have absolutely NOTHING to play for today with ZERO supporters!
Ajax clear AW here but wait, what happens in these kind of games when public is on one side?
Be careful with your stakes and dont be suprised if a suprise happens.
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I´m worried about a draw but thats the risk you take when you bet ML.
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11-05-09, 09:17 AM
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#15
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This is kind of like the Sevilla play yesterday, they own German teams and Stuttgart has been in awful form lately, but guess what? Stuttgart still covered the +1AH with the game ending 1-1. I see similar things happening today.
So please, keep hammering the public teams so I can get more value for my bet with the other side ;P
Although I really do like Ajax's chances of getting a W in Zagreb, I'll just stay away.
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11-05-09, 09:30 AM
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#16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SRBI
I'll roll w/ CSKA Sofia +1.5 vs. Basel. Public is hammering Basel because of a ton of missings for CSKA, well, thanks public...keep hammering Basel.
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I'm trusting you with this one, big play for me on CSKA Sofia +1.5
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11-05-09, 09:36 AM
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#17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stringer Bell
I'm trusting you with this one, big play for me on CSKA Sofia +1.5
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BOL, my source was right on yesterday with Stuttgart, Liverpool and Arsenal.
CSKA is the play, though I would suggest finding a +1.5/ 2 line just to be safe.
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11-05-09, 10:05 AM
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#18
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Hi SRBI!
I like your posts... I would love to hear your wining rate or ROI rate for this season or even longer. Just approxmately...
kaminalove
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11-05-09, 10:28 AM
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#19
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For today I am rolling with a nice parlay:
Anderlecht & Valencia +180
Normally we have to roll with Werder -1,5 but with Bremen missing Pizarro AND Frings it could end in a 2-1 win for Bremen as well. I do not see any value in betting Austria or the draw so I will stay away
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11-05-09, 10:32 AM
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#20
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Stringer Bell, CSKA Sofia have internal problems, 9 players have suspended due to their late night drinking binges and going clubbing instead of turning up to training, in addition to that they are missing other players due to injury, they will field the reserve team today. Many books have removed the AH for Basel, this isn't a huge public play because most the public don't have a clue who Basel or CSKA Sofia are, those that are on it know this info.
Last week Everton turned up in Benfica with a reserve team, the line got pounded and lost 5-0, there is a reason that some lines gets the action and its not wise to fade it just because of the action in this case.
Today I like Galatasaray on the AH, Twente vs Sheriff Under2.5, Kopenhagen vs PSV Under2.5, Shakhtar on the AH against Toulouse, Fenerbahce.
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11-05-09, 11:01 AM
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#21
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World Champion Green Bay Packers
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I can't believe how under used the O/U are on the Europa league...I'm making my picks for my thread as we speak...guys, do yourselves a favor and start looking O/Us here my friends!! Check out my thread in 15 minutes...I should have my picks rounded up by then. BOL today!!
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11-05-09, 11:12 AM
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#22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by infamousbacardi
I can't believe how under used the O/U are on the Europa league...I'm making my picks for my thread as we speak...guys, do yourselves a favor and start looking O/Us here my friends!! Check out my thread in 15 minutes...I should have my picks rounded up by then. BOL today!!
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I agree, over/unders are your best bet for Europa league, anything can happen with sides.
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11-05-09, 11:20 AM
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#23
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Copenhagen - psv under 2.5 for sure...
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11-05-09, 11:38 AM
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#24
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World Champion Green Bay Packers
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I've got mine up in my thread. GL today everyone.
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11-05-09, 11:57 AM
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#25
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I have one O/U play for today U2.5 Levski Sofia at home vs. SV Salzburg. Sofia have yet to score in this competition and Salzburg have boasted three wins against Levski, Villareal, and Lazio. Two of those wins were at home and the one against Lazio on the road. In those three wins Salzburg have not scored over two goals in a game and I look for much the same today. Look for a 1-0 result here.
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11-05-09, 12:01 PM
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#26
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World Champion Green Bay Packers
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Quote:
Originally Posted by squintz4
I have one O/U play for today U2.5 Levski Sofia at home vs. SV Salzburg. Sofia have yet to score in this competition and Salzburg have boasted three wins against Levski, Villareal, and Lazio. Two of those wins were at home and the one against Lazio on the road. In those three wins Salzburg have not scored over two goals in a game and I look for much the same today. Look for a 1-0 result here.
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That's one of my picks in my thread too. GL to us!
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11-05-09, 12:51 PM
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#27
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Wow 5Dimes just realized something and took down the Valencia and Herenveen lines and the AH on the Basel/Sofia game. Looks like they're noticing the same things that we are
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11-05-09, 12:55 PM
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#28
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id stay away from sofia
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11-05-09, 01:05 PM
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#29
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I'ma tell you all something right now.
CSKA Sofia WILL cover the +1.5AH.
My book just screwed me by taking the game off the board 5 mins before gametime, and they wouldn't put it back this time. Guess what, same thing happened yesterday w/ Stuttgart game but I got them to put it back on the board, and what happened. Stuttgart COVERED +1AH!
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11-05-09, 01:05 PM
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#30
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TurkzZ
id stay away from sofia
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That's what people said yesterday about Stuttgart.
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11-05-09, 01:09 PM
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#31
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SRBI
No, I have a personal source.
BTW, Ajax is also a VERY HEAVY PUBLIC BET today because of several reasons:
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Actually, their fans acted like barbarians on the streets of Timisoara (timisoara is very close to serbia, u do the math) and also in the stadium
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11-05-09, 01:29 PM
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#32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mihaita666
Actually, their fans acted like barbarians on the streets of Timisoara (timisoara is very close to serbia, u do the math) and also in the stadium
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Yes they have many idiotic fans who just can't accept the fact that their team is a failure, along with the league...can't say anything better about the Serbs either. They are all the same, stuck in Balkan mentality will get them nowhere!
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11-05-09, 01:31 PM
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#33
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Oh this isn't going to end well...
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11-05-09, 01:44 PM
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#34
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Lookin' good...
Basel is up 2-0, Ajax 1-0 with a Zagreb player sent off.
Ajax 2-0...
Last edited by Ayn; 11-05-09 at 01:49 PM.
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11-05-09, 02:03 PM
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#35
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Aiii Dinamo and Sofia are a catastrophe!
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