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Old 10-31-09, 09:30 PM   #1
demize21
 
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Exclamation Advice regarding parlays ??

i actually have only 2 pending now thought it was more in any event wondering if i should leave it alone or hedge in some way since my buddy wilforth asked why i would put Roma in a parlay (afterward Ive been asking the same question)LOL

fisrt one isnt for a big profit but a profit none the less cause mind you i probably lost around 300 today in losing parlays here they are and any input advice would be appreciated


Parlay (5 Teams) 10/31/09 12:01 ET
bet 50.00 to win 273.50 Result: Pending
BlackburnRovers 0
ManchesterUnited 2 10/31/09(13:30 ET)
ManchesterUnited -500
Parma(SerieA)(LIVEInRunning) 0
ACMilan(SerieA) 2 10/31/09(15:45 ET)
ACMilan(SerieA) -200
Bologna(SerieA)
ASRoma(SerieA) 11/01/09(09:00 ET)
ASRoma(SerieA) -166
Getafe(LigaBBVA)(LIVEInRunning) 0
RealMadrid(LigaBBVA) 2 10/31/09(13:00 ET)
RealMadrid(LigaBBVA) -222
FCSevilla(LigaBBVA) 2
Xerez(LigaBBVA) 0 10/31/09(15:00 ET)
FCSevilla(LigaBBVA) -181



Parlay (6 Teams) 10/31/09 12:03 ET
bet 50.00 to win 1406.50 Result: Pending
BlackburnRovers 0
ManchesterUnited 2 10/31/09(13:30 ET)
ManchesterUnited -500
Parma(SerieA)(LIVEInRunning) 0
ACMilan(SerieA) 2 10/31/09(15:45 ET)
ACMilan(SerieA) -200
Bologna(SerieA)
ASRoma(SerieA) 11/01/09(09:00 ET)
ASRoma(SerieA) -166
FCBarcelona(LigaBBVA) 1
Osasuna(LigaBBVA) 1 10/31/09(15:00 ET)
Tie +350
Getafe(LigaBBVA)(LIVEInRunning) 0
RealMadrid(LigaBBVA) 2 10/31/09(13:00 ET)
RealMadrid(LigaBBVA) -222
FCSevilla(LigaBBVA) 2
Xerez(LigaBBVA) 0 10/31/09(15:00 ET)
FCSevilla(LigaBBVA) -181


to win these 2 i would just need AS Roma to beat bologna
thanks again
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Old 10-31-09, 09:48 PM   #2
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hedge it with bologna +1 (-137)
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Old 10-31-09, 09:57 PM   #3
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makes sence i guess but my book doesnt have +1 just ML PK and +.5 i just cashed out my other accounts
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Old 10-31-09, 10:00 PM   #4
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that is a fackin sweet parlay ya got there!!
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Old 10-31-09, 10:03 PM   #5
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Hedge with +.5 in case of the draw
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Old 10-31-09, 10:08 PM   #6
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roma has a uefa game in 4 days against fulham.
roma have won 2 of there last 5 home games by more than one goal.

bologna -have lost only 1 of their last 5 away games by more than one goal.
- have lost 3 of last 5 away games

h2h-
Roma has won only 1 of 5 by more than 1
Roma has won 2 of last 5

Its up to you......

Last edited by pitman; 10-31-09 at 10:20 PM.
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Old 10-31-09, 10:19 PM   #7
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Dont be foolish here man. you have the perfect hegde position. If roma wins you will win 1680. if you hedge say 400 on bologna +.5 +130 and they win you will win 420. its a win win situation. You can adjust the hedge as you wish. personally i would hedge about 600. LOCK IN THE PROFITS!
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Old 10-31-09, 10:19 PM   #8
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Bologna DNB+275 +0.5 (+115) theses are the lines im getting i appreciate all input thanks for your advice guys but last showing against udinese away roma did fair well im confused LOL
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Old 10-31-09, 10:20 PM   #9
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i agree with the rest of the people here, definatly hedge it is possible, always best to be safe then sorry , gota keep a tight diciplined ship, as Philth said, lock in the profits, no need to sweat over it,

i mean i do think Roma will win but saftey first
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Old 10-31-09, 10:22 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Phillth View Post
Dont be foolish here man. you have the perfect hegde position. If roma wins you will win 1680. if you hedge say 400 on bologna +.5 +130 and they win you will win 420. its a win win situation. You can adjust the hedge as you wish. personally i would hedge about 600. LOCK IN THE PROFITS!
good point
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Old 10-31-09, 10:25 PM   #11
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Notes:

1) Next week's Europa game against Fulham doesn't matter to Roma. Roma's heart is in the league. So that's a no-issue.

2) One consolation (but only a consolation) is that Bologna hasn't scored more than one goal in a road game. That means if Roma can scored 2, then you should cash your parlays.

3) If you'd like to hedge your parlay, do so with a draw. Roma won't lose to Bologna.

4) Next time you're including a team in 2 parlays, don't use a team with a vulnerable defense. Keeping a clean sheet has become a taboo for Roma!
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Old 10-31-09, 10:28 PM   #12
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thats why i should of consulted you first but i play like 10 parlays a day sometimes and they are last minute i hit 7 today and lost 3 so im well above for theparlay but your right so just play bologna dnb for 100 of 500
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Old 10-31-09, 10:31 PM   #13
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will apologize on that under call at that moment my adrenaline was fired up from flamengo but hope you got montreal and pred are looking good did you get in on that???
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Old 10-31-09, 10:34 PM   #14
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No need for any apologies. Under was analytically a good call. Yes, I was also on Predators (regulation time).
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Old 10-31-09, 10:35 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by demize21 View Post
thats why i should of consulted you first but i play like 10 parlays a day sometimes and they are last minute i hit 7 today and lost 3 so im well above for theparlay but your right so just play bologna dnb for 100 of 500
if you play bologna DNB and the match ends in a draw you win nothing on any bets.
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Old 10-31-09, 10:39 PM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
No need for any apologies. Under was analytically a good call. Yes, I was also on Predators (regulation time).
nice cashed nicely need the yoted to complete a 3 teamer with leafs+1.5 and preds
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Old 10-31-09, 10:41 PM   #17
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Roma should beat Bologna tomorrow, they arn't a good road side but its best to eliminate risk, you've got $100 on the line, flip a 100 on Bologna +0.5 @ +120/140 and you've won before anything has started.
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Old 10-31-09, 10:43 PM   #18
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yea maybe ill just do that win win anyways draw i win my 100 back and alittle extra and if roma wins well pizza is on me
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Old 10-31-09, 10:45 PM   #19
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That's the smart call, no need to sweat anything, put your legs up and watch the game knowing you won't loose a penny whatever happens, there is nothing better than locking in profit.

Forza Roma
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Old 10-31-09, 10:52 PM   #20
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well said anyone like man city tomorrow????
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Old 10-31-09, 11:51 PM   #21
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i think city, but i think its a risky game
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Old 11-01-09, 10:54 AM   #22
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nice win bud.
This is exactly what i thought would happen.
Too bad your book didnt have the +1 for bologna. good win either way
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