Bilbao (-5,-1) -138 risk 2.76
Off a pretty average day, a little in the black today with a small profit, but these are rough days for La Liga teams so maybe taking a punt on Bilbao isnt a good idea. Bilbao have been alot more impressive at home than on the road and Lisbons numbers on the road are very poor. Bilbao picked up a pretty impressive win over Manchester United here in San Mames back in March and have not lost in Europa league competition at home.
They are just outside the top 4 in La Liga play but judging from what I have read tonight they are primarily concentrated on Europa play and the Copa del rey final with Barcelona. They beat Manchester at home and away, they have beat an impressive Malaga team, won on the road in Germany against Schalke and held Schalke to a draw at home and advanced in europa play , held Barcelona to a draw at home, and they have beat top La liga teams like Levante and Atletico Madrid at home.
Lisbon has pretty poor numbers in Spain and they are only 2-8-4 in their last 16 away matches. They have only 1 victory in 7 Europa away league matches and are 1-3-3 overall away from Portugal. Losing to teams like Vaslul and Lazio on the road, but Lisbon have been phenomenal at home and won enough legs to get here.
Basque country is not an easy place to play and Sporting has dismal numbers overall on the road in Spain and all over Europe. Looking at the huge difference between the impressive Lisbon record on the road at home and their poor record on the road and in Spain, and then looking at the Bilbao home record, it is definitely worth a punt on Bilbao at this price.