[Bluedragon]

I just thought that bookies are our enemies, why should we wish something bad to each other? It's inspiring what you said, thank you. It's not childish what I said earlier. The thing is, you need to be objective as much as it is humanly possible when picking your bets. But all this negativity messing with your brain, you just can't ignore it. And I don't want my thought process to be affected by someone. I am very careful about it, that's why I'm on the winning side.
And my fourth pick is a win too.
A: 3-1, +2.97 today
A: 18-7-2 (+16.14U) overall

One more thing. I just don't understand this negativity. I never promised anything to anyone, I never told anyone to tail my picks, I don't ask for your money to see 'all of my picks' like many guys do. Phuk it.

this is fickle work and the smallest mind alteration can change thought processes and outcomes easily, i hear you there. just know that for every 1 hater, there are 10 people who support and appreciate your thoughts and work, both in the forum and just in life in general. imagine being an artist of any sort? music, visual, film etc...for every 1 supporter there are 1,000 fukkin haters. man i couldn't take that shit. YOU are doing YOU, fukk what people think man. these environments breed scum, but it has nothing to do with you. they just form their single-celled, worthless selves that way, regardless of how much lysol people spray on them, the scum will always have the inherent, genetic make-up of scum. you, nor anybody else here, are to blame for that. i have never even seen this fukkin shaft-shiner post anything other than negativity so just take a steamin' dump on his face in your mind and move on lol. he's angry that the 3 units you won are bigger than the 3 units on the ruler that his pecker measures out to.

[TonyDimy]

Bluedragon
Pweter
Thank you, guys. I'll try to keep it up. And there won't be 'Y' picks anymore, it seems like some people confusing them with my main picks.

*A
Real Sociedad - Sevilla/TO 2.25 @ 1.96/1.5U

the only pick for today

[Bbobbi]

hey sorry new to soccer betting and the euro system .. Is your pick total over 2.5?

[Zahpeter]

Over 2.25 is over 2,2.5. You bet half your stake on over 2, and half your stake on over 2.5

[Bbobbi]

Over 2.25 is over 2,2.5. You bet half your stake on over 2, and half your stake on over 2.5

ahh thanks ive just been doing totals and MLs.. I always wondered what it was when it was 2,2.5 i thought it was totals at the Half and then Final. So if the total is 2 you push half your stake and if its over 3 you win the bet right?

[Zahpeter]

Right

[TonyDimy]

So if the total is 2 you push half your stake and if its over 3 you win the bet right?

Yep. It's called Asian Handicap.

Bookies scared me this time with their 2.4 on TO2.5. I had a chance to watch Sevilla's previous game against Villareal and the final score was supposed to be like 4-5, not 1-2. Their defense is not so great, I'm pretty sure Sociedad will score at least a goal. The only question is, how successful Sevilla will be when it'll come to turning their chances into goals. TO2.5 is a good bet too, I just couldn't press the trigger.

I also have a lean on Napoli against Chievo, not so sure though. -1 looks like a good bet, Napoli in desperate need for a win, especially now, after Udinise and Inter's losses. I'll decide when the line-ups will be announced.

[TonyDimy]

I also have a lean on Napoli against Chievo, not so sure though. -1 looks like a good bet, Napoli in desperate need for a win, especially now, after Udinise and Inter's losses. I'll decide when the line-ups will be announced.

'No play' for me. I can't see Napoli winning by 2 goals or more. Chievo is a solid team with a good h2h history against Napoli. And Napoli is too inconsistent. I'd rather bet on them against Chelsea @ 2.65 next week than against Chievo.

[TonyDimy]

About that Napoli game--I was thinking over 2.5. What do you think about that? I also don't feel comfortable about a side bet, but this total seems like it has a good shot of hitting, given the poor defenses of the teams of late.

Both of those teams tend to score and concede A LOT of late goals. Chievo conceded 35% of goals in the final fifteen minutes and Napoli scored 28% of their goals in the same time range. IF I'll bet something here, it will be a 'Live' bet for the second half (o1.5 @ 2.08 looks good). The reason why I don't like TO2.5 here is that Napoli is not an easy team to predict. I want to see the first half before I make my choice.

But I agree, 'over' is more likely than 'under'

[TonyDimy]

*A
Real Sociedad - Sevilla/TO 2.25 @ 1.96/1.5U/2-0, -0.75U

Not a bad game, both teams had their moments even after 2-0, but the score held up.
A: 18-8-2 (+15.39U) overall

Im taking the over anyways lol

That's why I don't like to bet on Serie A's 'big teams'. 2-0 at HT and still under 2.5. BS, right?

[TonyDimy]

Picks for tomorrow's Europa League and Champions League games right after line-ups are announced. The first game is Rubin - Olympiakos. The game was moved because of the weather conditions and starts early (11:00GMT, 15:00MSK). It's cold as phug in Moscow these days

[TonyDimy]

We can't say anything about Rubin at this point, and it doesn't matter how good Olympiakos is playing in Greece, because every greek team is worse than Rubin. The problem is, even in friendlies there's isn't a player in Rubin who have played for more than 60 minutes per game. Olympiakos is better physically, that's a fact. The first goal for Rubin today will be not to concede, and they are good at it. At least they should be good at it until, roughly speaking, 60th minute. That's when Olympiakos should 'turn ON' their offense.

I don't want to pick a side today, it would be blind luck if I would hit something. I don't like O/U too. I came up with a solution, but I must warn you - I didn't bet anything like this before. So the pick is:

Rubin - Olympiakos/Half With Most Goals - 2nd Half @ 2.15/1.25U

I expect it to be 0-0 at HT.

[TonyDimy]

#1/Rubin - Olympiakos/Half With Most Goals - 2nd Half @ 2.15/1.25U

#2/Braga - Besiktas/Braga -0.5 @ 1.72/2U

[karajohn13]

I expect it to be 0-0 at HT.

Well "read" play, I hope you made a pick there z

[TonyDimy]

I bet money on everything I post in this thread I didn't bet on '0-0' though, if that's what you mean.

[karajohn13]

I bet money on everything I post in this thread I didn't bet on '0-0' though, if that's what you mean.

I hope you bet on "Draw on HT"

[TonyDimy]

Rubin - Olympiakos/Half With Most Goals - 2nd Half @ 2.15/1.25U

I expect it to be 0-0 at HT.

Nailed it 0-0 at HT and a very interesting second half, 0-1 at 70'
+1.44U

[Zahpeter]

Thanks for the yesterday's pick. Sorry it didn't hit for you, but i layed @ Betfair the U1.5 and it hit, although i had to sweat it a little. Skiped Rubin's game, didn't like it at all. Will probably lay the draw in Braga-Besiktas @3.9. Best of luck

[TonyDimy]

Thanks for the yesterday's pick. Sorry it didn't hit for you, but i layed @ Betfair the U1.5 and it hit, although i had to sweat it a little. Skiped Rubin's game, didn't like it at all. Will probably lay the draw in Braga-Besiktas @3.9. Best of luck

I can't be right all the time. The odds were good, I took a risk. It's part of the process, nothing to be sorry for. When I was watching the superbowl, there was a special guest on NTV+Sport (russian sports network), some defensive coordinator from US, I don't remember his name. But he said this: this sport is all about streaks, you just need the winning streak to happen at the end of the season. I'd say it applies to betting too. You can't control if your bet is a winner or a loser, it just happens. What you need is manage your money according to the odds. That's how I roll.

Good luck to you too.

[Zahpeter]

I can't be right all the time. The odds were good, I took a risk. It's part of the process, nothing to be sorry for.

Yeah, it just felt wierd that i used your pick and it cashed for me, but not for you

[TonyDimy]

Braga...

That's why I don't like to bet using team stats as the only source. There's not enough information in numbers. You need to feel the game. Braga didn't even want to score until Besiktas scored a goal. If you have 0-0 in your mind before the game, you will lose. And tonight's game is another example of it.

[Zahpeter]

How do you feel about Braga getting back and getting a draw ? Hope those greeks won't ruin my lay

[TonyDimy]

How do you feel about Braga getting back and getting a draw ? Hope those greeks won't ruin my lay

with 10 minutes left to play and 0-2 on the scoreboard, I'd say your chances are not that great

[TonyDimy]

#3/Bayer - Barca/Barca HT-FT @ 2.00/1.25U
#4/Lyon - APOEL/TO2.25 @ 1.84/1.5U

Bayer will play 6 defenders, that's what Barca likes the most. Iniesta, Fabregas and Alexis Sanchez are playing tonight.
Lyon can cover without APOEL's help, APOEL can score one of their famous counter attacks. Shouldn't be a problem.

[Zahpeter]

with 10 minutes left to play and 0-2 on the scoreboard, I'd say your chances are not that great

Yeah, managed to get another win (lay = outcome won't happen). I'll continue to spam your thread, it's been proven lucky for me so far

[TonyDimy]

Yeah, managed to get another win (lay = outcome won't happen). I'll continue to spam your thread, it's been proven lucky for me so far

You're welcome to do so my friend Let's turn on some music for karma.

[TonyDimy]

#1/Rubin - Olympiakos/Half With Most Goals - 2nd Half @ 2.15/1.25U/yep, +1.44
#2/Braga - Besiktas/Braga -0.5 @ 1.72/2U/0-2, -2U
#3/Bayer - Barca/Barca HT-FT @ 2.00/1.25U/yep, +1.25U
#4/Lyon - APOEL/TO2.25 @ 1.84/1.5U/1-0, -1.5U

It's hard to tell which game is easier in european cups But 2U on Braga was too much, especially with me not knowing anything about both teams. I need to work on it, it's not the first time it happens.

Today: 2-2-0 (-0.81U)
Overall: 20-10-2 (+14.58U)

[allin1]

Just looked at the thread and it looks interesting. I will be watching from now on.

[TonyDimy]

02.15.2012
#1/Milan - Arsenal/Arsenal +0.5 @ 1.80/1.5U
There's a lot of injuries for Milan, they have problems in every line. And even with Robinho and Ibrahimovich as forwards I can't see Milan scoring more than one goal. TU2.5 also very likely. As we can see, every home team's first goal is not to concede, and Milan don't have enough strength these days to play otherwise.

#2/Zenit - Benfica/TO2.5 @ 2.48/1.25U
Zenit never was a defensive team. They will try to win today. It will be difficult without Danny, Criscito and Lazovich, but they have enough players to cover their bases. And of course Benfica need at least a goal on the road. I remember them as offensive team, I hope they haven't changed in the last three months. I'm concerned about pitch quality but @ 2.48 I'm willing to give it a go. Such a great value.

#3/Parma - Juventus/Juve -0.5 @ 1.8/1.5U
Juve is a better team. Simone Pepe is back. Parma is too unstable this season. Should be easy (but it never is ).

[karajohn13]

02.15.2012
#1/Milan - Arsenal/Arsenal +0.5 @ 1.80/1.5U
There's a lot of injuries for Milan, they have problems in every line. And even with Robinho and Ibrahimovich as forwards I can't see Milan scoring more than one goal. TU2.5 also very likely. As we can see, every home team's first goal is not to concede, and Milan don't have enough strength these days to play otherwise.

I would absolutely agree if it wasn't for Milan's great come back at Saturday's match against Udinese. I'm also a little bit concerned of Arsenal's not so great performance in away matches in Ch.L. But I feel Arsenal will play tonight to keep the 0-0

#2/Zenit - Benfica/TO2.5 @ 2.48/1.25U
Zenit never was a defensive team. They will try to win today. It will be difficult without Danny, Criscito and Lazovich, but they have enough players to cover their bases. And of course Benfica need at least a goal on the road. I remember them as offensive team, I hope they haven't changed in the last three months. I'm concerned about pitch quality but @ 2.48 I'm willing to give it a go. Such a great value.

Surprisingly high value for the over here

#3/Parma - Juventus/Juve -0.5 @ 1.8/1.5U
Juve is a better team. Simone Pepe is back. Parma is too unstable this season. Should be easy (but it never is ).

I avoid betting on unbeaten teams but this is only a personal whim

[allin1]

I am taking your tip for Arsenal and I think I am going to take over 2 on benfica game just to be sure. Those matches in Russia can be tricky especially in February. Regarding Juventus I haven't decided yet but GL and lets cash this in

[TonyDimy]

I would absolutely agree if it wasn't for Milan's great come back at Saturday's match against Udinese.

Nah, there was nothing great about it. I watched this game, Milan couldn't do anything but somehow managed to score two late goals out of nowhere. It happens.

I'm also a little bit concerned of Arsenal's not so great performance in away matches in Ch.L.

Arsenal played like crap in EPL too back than. They are a better team now. At least I hope so. I agree about '0-0', I think both teams would be happy with it.

I avoid betting on unbeaten teams but this is only a personal whim

Yeah, it's my 'whim' too. But this is the best I could think of. I'm better when there's more games to choose from.

GL and lets cash this in

Thank you, GL