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  1. #1

    Thumbs up German Bundesliga

    Hey, I'm from Germany.. gonna post my Bundesliga picks in this thread

    First pick will be:

    Nürnberg - Dortmund 2 @ -149 pinnacle 6u

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  5. #5

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    what confidence level do u have for this match?

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    Line has already gone from -150 to-185 at bet islands.

  7. #7

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    Quote Originally Posted by tommygun View Post
    what confidence level do u have for this match?
    I'm quite sure that dortmund will win this match... they played their last matches overwhelming good even without their superstar mario götze (still missing today). dortmund appears to be a team with a great spirt.. in my opinion they are the top favorite to win the german championship again.
    nürnberg in contrast struggeled a lot in their last games.. the team wasn't able to show their best.. and the teams, they had to fight were a lot weaker then dortmund. indeed they won 2-0 against berlin.. but that doesn't matter, 'cause berlin has been among the weakest teams since they fired their former coach.
    in summary nürnberg just doesn't has the quality to mess with an outstanding dortmund.

    i'm thinking of a 3-0 (in favor of dortmund ofc)

    btw dortmund won the last 3 games against nürnberg (each with 2-0)


    EDIT: but i would definately disadvise to go all-in or anything similiar
    Last edited by blink; 02-03-12 at 10:45 AM.

  8. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by southpaw74 View Post
    Line has already gone from -150 to-185 at bet islands.
    pinnacle is down to -170

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    ref called off the second goal. lewandowski was onside.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Phillth View Post
    ref called off the second goal. lewandowski was onside.
    do think so, too. but nevermind

    dortmund won 2-0

    +4.02u

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  12. #12

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    thank you very much

    gonna post my pick for tomorrow at around 5am EST

  13. #13

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    Bayer Leverkusen - VfB Stuttgart 1 @ -129 pinnacle 4u

    gonna play it with only 4u due to the fact that derdiyok will be missing

    if anyone wants me to reason my pick, just let me know, i would do this later, don't have much time now

  14. #14

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    Good pick. GL
    Last edited by jmf; 02-04-12 at 05:00 AM.

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    what do you think about Hamburger - Bayern Munchen AH -1

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    Quote Originally Posted by corgon View Post
    what do you think about Hamburger - Bayern Munchen AH -1
    well honestly i would take hamburg ahc +1.
    the 2-0 win against wolfsburg last week wasn't as superior as it seems. munich actually played quite bad, just as the week before against gladbach.
    furthermore munich hasn't been able to win in hamburg since 25 nov 2006..
    and it could be important that dortmund won yesterday against nürnberg.. so munich is under considerable strain to regain the top of the league

    i'm expecting a draw.. so in my opion the hamburg ahc +1 should be a good choice..

  17. #17

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    Quote Originally Posted by blink View Post
    Bayer Leverkusen - VfB Stuttgart 1 @ -129 pinnacle 4u

    ...
    2-2
    -4u


    nothing left to say

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    Quote Originally Posted by corgon View Post
    what do you think about Hamburger - Bayern Munchen AH -1

    hope you took the ahc +1

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    To much draws today. Sunday will be profitable

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    Quote Originally Posted by t0mson View Post
    To much draws today. Sunday will be profitable
    ye, u say it.. 5 draws a day is quite rare

  21. #21

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    Bayern lines are very inflated, they are not as good as Dortumund...and still usually a bigger favorite.
    Next week i guess they are at least -2 against Kaiserslautern, if the weather is still freezing i'll surely grab some +2 (or hopeully 2.25).

  22. #22

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    Quote Originally Posted by Monte View Post
    Bayern lines are very inflated, they are not as good as Dortumund...and still usually a bigger favorite.
    Next week i guess they are at least -2 against Kaiserslautern, if the weather is still freezing i'll surely grab some +2 (or hopeully 2.25).
    this might be true, but i would be careful. munich is playing at home.. 3-0 is possible for sure.
    wait for the tomorrow's game between kaiserslautern - köln. then decide..
    but your pick is indeed interesting, because munich has to play on wednesday against stuttgart in the dfb pokal..

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    Odd on Bayern against Stuttgart is one big Joke. Bookmakers think that we are stupid and will play on Bayer who is in very bad condition. Sorry for all Bayern fans, but when I'm watching their performance I feel little tried.

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    bet for today:

    freiburg - bremen 2 ahc -0.5 and -1.0 @ +188 pinnacle 3u

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    What do you think about Kaiserslautern - Köln? I think that home team should win that without problems. Koln is without Podolski.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gonliSs View Post
    What do you think about Kaiserslautern - Köln? I think that home team should win that without problems. Koln is without Podolski.
    it's difficult for me to rate that game.. one the one side podolski is missing but on the other side it's not a shame losing against teams like dortmund, munich, bremen and wolfsburg as away team.
    i would say no bet, but if i would have to choose.. i would choose the köln ahc +0.5.
    but as is said, this game is like a lucky bag (hope u understand this expression, not sure if it's right ).. anything is possible... i would give this game a wide berth

  27. #27

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    Kaiserslautern has new players like Swierczok and Borysiuk. They are good players but I don't know if they will play today. I think that it's time to win for Kaiserslautern. Koln = Podolski. Koln without Podolski = 2. Bundesliga.

  28. #28

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    Quote Originally Posted by gonliSs View Post
    Kaiserslautern has new players like Swierczok and Borysiuk. They are good players but I don't know if they will play today. I think that it's time to win for Kaiserslautern. Koln = Podolski. Koln without Podolski = 2. Bundesliga.
    mh you might be right.. maybe kaiserslautern will win today. but i dont like to odds to take that risk..
    köln bought chong tese from bochum.. if he can reach his last years shape, he will strengthen the team.. but there are lot of ifs..
    how i said, i wont bet on this game, because in my opionion, anything is possible here.
    but wish you the best of luck

  29. #29

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    Quote Originally Posted by blink View Post
    bet for today:

    freiburg - bremen 2 ahc -0.5 and -1.0 @ +188 pinnacle 3u
    2-2
    draw again -3u

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    I played safe option -0,25 and half stake returned. Man be calm and play safer option . Don't worry we will have good bets on next round. It's accident only ^^

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    Quote Originally Posted by blink View Post
    next pick on tuesday
    Probably , Dortmund with handi I have some idea on Wednesday. See you and GL in DFB

  33. #33

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    Quote Originally Posted by blink View Post
    hope you took the ahc +1
    I did thank you

  34. #34

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    Quote Originally Posted by t0mson View Post
    Probably , Dortmund with handi I have some idea on Wednesday. See you and GL in DFB
    yes, me too. wont play any bet on dortmund. just saw that the interesting games are on wednesday

  35. #35

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    two picks for tomorrow:
    hoffenheim - fürth 2 ahc +0.5 @ 1.88 4/10
    berlin - gladbach 2 @ 2.31 3/10

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