Weather getting colder, all teams on short rest..could be a bit gassed playing a few days ago, reserves with less quality might get more minutes, means less goal opportunity's.
Plus the EPL draw % is about 23%..Very low by past years overall standards..I would figure when it is this low and the situations I spoke of above come into play the Draw % would go up?
With 8 games today you could possibly go 2-6 and squeak out a small profit..