Crazy to most if not everyone, also hold much hatred for Man City being a Man U supporter but I still think there is value in this play. I'm probably wasting my time writing this and Man City will roll 4-0, but f*** it.
City looked pressured and sloppy on defense vs QPR last week, with the chances QPR had a side of more quality would have probably put Man City away if not achieved a draw. QPR dominated many key stats.
City are undefeated at home boasting a 5-0 record, however this isn't something to brag about as they have had wins over Swansea, Wigan, Everton, Aston Villa and Wolverhampton. All of whom have allowed more than at least 8 more goals than Newcastle who are ranked first in goals conceded.
Newcastle have also only conceded 3 goals whilst traveling, and although they are vsing the scoring machine of City I think this is a great statistic. Newcastle is also sporting a win streak of three games, their best form of this season. They are also looking for a significant win against a quality side and I think they will play hard.
The beginning minutes are crucial for Newcastle, if they can hold some quality possession in City's half and push as the aggressor there could be some nice opportunities. Newcastle is ranked first in the premier league at winning the game if they are ahead at half time, 4-0. Alternatively Newcastle are also ranked first in the premier league when losing at halftime, managing to draw all their games when they are behind at the half.
Overall I think Newcastle have a great chance at pushing a draw here, Man City who must be under some pressure to maintain their amazing form as well as defending home territory. The only scary thing about taking any option favouring Newcastle in this game is Man Citys scoring prowess that could be turned on at any minute. I'm hoping Newcastle can get up early and stay alert and sharp for 90 minutes.
I would love to hear everyone's opinions so please post!
Newcastle ML +900 (0.5x)
Newcastle +2 -130 (4x)
Draw +375 (1.5x)
Under 2.5 Goals +133 (1x)
Anytime Goal Scorer D. Ba (0.5x) +350