View New Posts
123
  1. #1

    Default A-League Handicapping 2011/12

    I've had a couple of good seasons in the past in the ALeague(mostly on over/unders) so I'm going to post my plays in this thread. There won't be an overload of plays or outrageous units thrown around but when I do play them I believe they should be valuable

    Anyway good luck let's get busy

  2. #2

    Default

    For Today

    Gold coast vs Wellington over 2.5 +106 (1UNIT)

    Perth Glory PK -114 (1.5 UNITS)

  3. #3

    Default

    PK also known as draw no bet.

    I get my odds mostly off pinnacle

    GL

  4. #4

    Default

    Good luck mate, where in Australia are you from? I'm from Melbourne myself, was at the Victory/Sydney game last night.

    PS Emmanuelle Chriqui is fine

  5. #5

    Default

    I'm from Perth, I can't wait to see kewell play here I'm hoping Travis Dodd is on fire this arvo

  6. #6

    Default

    I think the reds will be quality this year...just how the lose of marco floris will effect them.

  7. #7

    Default

    They will miss him big I reckon, I do beleive they'll be strong but the glory usually start the season well and their new signings are linking up well

  8. #8

    Default

    lol. the phoenix are up. interesting, glad I didn't lay an bets down first week.

  9. #9

    Default

    I hope they find something so I can treat myself to some of this over 2.5

  10. #10

    Default

    For Today

    Gold coast vs Wellington over 2.5 +106 (1UNIT)

    Perth Glory PK -114 (1.5 UNITS)

    Not a bad day, especially as so many were drinking the Adelaide reds kool-aid nice and early in the season whilst the perth glory scored the winner!!
    Current record 1-1 +0.54 UNITS

    Be back mid week

  11. #11

  12. #12

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by BigBurk View Post
    Good luck on the season!
    Thanks mate I'm looking forward to next week already!

  13. #13

    Default

    EARLY PLAYS FOR 14/10

    Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide Over 2.5 -104 (2 UNITS) pinnacle
    Central Coast Mariners -0.5 -102 (0.5 UNITS) pinnacle

    Early thinking for the Sydney FC game is that I'd love to get -120 for pk and +0.5!! We'll have to see

  14. #14

  15. #15

    Default

    Thx mate should have a few this week, looking for value tho

  16. #16

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Aussiecapper101 View Post
    EARLY PLAYS FOR 14/10

    Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide Over 2.5 -104 (2 UNITS) pinnacle
    Central Coast Mariners -0.5 -102 (0.5 UNITS) pinnacle

    Early thinking for the Sydney FC game is that I'd love to get -120 for pk and +0.5!! We'll have to see

    Like the over also in the melb v adelaide game i think the victory will struggle a bit in defence this season which will results in a few goals.Against syd 1st half their should of been a few goals scoring if it wasnt for both keepers pulling off great saves and some poor finishing

  17. #17

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by ultrasouth View Post
    Like the over also in the melb v adelaide game i think the victory will struggle a bit in defence this season which will results in a few goals.Against syd 1st half their should of been a few goals scoring if it wasnt for both keepers pulling off great saves and some poor finishing
    Yeah for sure, and if Adelaide find the net early then it's total game on, only thing I'm worried about is melb victory being one of those "show pony" clubs that get alot of " oooh ahhhhs" cos their build up is good but can't finish.. (kind of like Liverpool or athletico Madrid off the top of my head). But for now I stand confident that thompson, allsop kewell etc should be able to find the net a few times and hopefully we can take advantage of this 2.5 value. ( I think it should really be over 2.5 and 3)

  18. #18

    Default

    Is it just me or is this week dragging on forever!!! We need some of that mid week Aleague action!

  19. #19

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Aussiecapper101 View Post
    Is it just me or is this week dragging on forever!!! We need some of that mid week Aleague action!
    That's why I started tailing in the Soccer forum

  20. #20

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Lookingtostart View Post
    That's why I started tailing in the Soccer forum
    Lol I been doing the same thing, there is a dude called gucci_sbr that has been killing it with live betting in another thread, I've picked up 5 units or so tailing him

  21. #21

    Default

    anyway heres the updates on my record thus far:

    CURRENT RECORD: 1-1 +0.54 UNITS

    2 PLAYS FOR FRIDAY ALREADY SUBMITTED: MELB VICTORY VS ADELAIDE OVER 2.5 -104 ( 2 UNITS ) pinnacle
    CENTRAL COAST MARINERS -0.5 -102 ( 0.5 UNITS ) pinnacle

    I'll be adding some more plays real soon. BRB. oh and just FYI I bet to win 2 units or 1 unit etc. So for eg if it was +200 I will adjust my wager size smaller so that I am playing to win the units as posted and if I lose I will adjust accordingly. Thanks

    Sorry guys real tired will post the others tomorrow. Cheers
    Last edited by Aussiecapper101; 10-12-11 at 12:55 PM. Reason: change of plan..

  22. #22

    Default

    Good luck to Aussie against NZ! Glad to see someone from a different league is here!

  23. #23

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by PickApprentice View Post
    Good luck to Aussie against NZ! Glad to see someone from a different league is here!

  24. #24

    Default

    I need adelaide to suprise themselves on Friday and score early, then turn the game into a shootout.. Confident thats how it will pan out neither team is notoriously known as being slow offense or heavy defensive teams

  25. #25

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Aussiecapper101 View Post
    anyway heres the updates on my record thus far:

    CURRENT RECORD: 1-1 +0.54 UNITS

    2 PLAYS FOR FRIDAY ALREADY SUBMITTED: MELB VICTORY VS ADELAIDE OVER 2.5 -104 ( 2 UNITS ) pinnacle
    CENTRAL COAST MARINERS -0.5 -102 ( 0.5 UNITS ) pinnacle

    I'll be adding some more plays real soon. BRB. oh and just FYI I bet to win 2 units or 1 unit etc. So for eg if it was +200 I will adjust my wager size smaller so that I am playing to win the units as posted and if I lose I will adjust accordingly. Thanks

    Sorry guys real tired will post the others tomorrow. Cheers


    ADDING PLAYS:


    SYDNEY FC PK AND +0.5 -139 ( 1.5 UNITS ) pinnacle (bought the line down as I believe there is a lot of value buying it a little past the draw in A-league as there is so many draws usually)

    WELLINGTON PHOENIX PK AND -0.5 -126 ( 1.5 UNITS ) pinnacle (bought it down)

    PERTH GLORY +0.5 OR AKA DOUBLE CHANCE -127 ( 2 UNITS ) pinnacle (also bought down) ~ I'm sticking to my guns that Perth glory start seasons well and are actually able to score goals but I do know there is a lot of value in fading them throughout the second half of the season when they find that usual scoring slump. But right now Melbourne heart dont scare me and the glory goalkeeper is standing very solid

    Ok so I've paid a bit of juice on all of these added plays but my updated power rankings are giving me a big edge in all of these games so as its the A-league I have covered a few draws just for value as I should at least go 2-1 IMO

    Lets get it!! BOL

  26. #26

    Default

    Live Betting 2011 - It's all about timing

    This is the link to the dudes thread that is live betting on BET365 every night and making a fortune. Check it out if you BET365 account or similar. Winners are grinners

  27. #27
    sportfan's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-22-09
    Posts: 7,764
    SBR Points: 306
    Message Me

    Default

    Made some good coins on A league last year , but my book does not offer it anymore, bummer
    325pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/17/2012

    200pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/31/2012

    200pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/29/2012

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/28/2012


  28. #28

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by sportfan View Post
    Made some good coins on A league last year , but my book does not offer it anymore, bummer

  29. #29

    Default

    I will post final card soon. Plays already booked in. Starts in 5 hours or so

  30. #30

    Default

    Lets cash the overs tonight Aussiecapper101

  31. #31

    Default

    final card

    Quote Originally Posted by aussiecapper101 View Post
    early plays for 14/10 melbourne victory vs adelaide over 2.5 -104 (2 units) pinnacle central coast mariners -0.5 -102 (0.5 units) pinnacle early thinking for the sydney fc game is that i'd love to get -120 for pk and +0.5!! We'll have to see
    Quote Originally Posted by aussiecapper101 View Post
    adding plays: sydney fc pk and +0.5 -139 ( 1.5 units ) pinnacle (bought the line down as i believe there is a lot of value buying it a little past the draw in a-league as there is so many draws usually) wellington phoenix pk and -0.5 -126 ( 1.5 units ) pinnacle (bought it down) perth glory +0.5 or aka double chance -127 ( 2 units ) pinnacle (also bought down) ~ i'm sticking to my guns that perth glory start seasons well and are actually able to score goals but i do know there is a lot of value in fading them throughout the second half of the season when they find that usual scoring slump. But right now melbourne heart dont scare me and the glory goalkeeper is standing very solid ok so i've paid a bit of juice on all of these added plays but my updated power rankings are giving me a big edge in all of these games so as its the a-league i have covered a few draws just for value as i should at least go 2-1 imo lets get it!! :d bol

  32. #32

    Default

    FINAL CARD:

    FRIDAY: ADELAIDE VS MELBOURNE OVER 2.5 -104 ( 2 UNITS )
    CENTRAL COAST MARINERS -0.5 -102 ( 0.5 UNITS )

    THE REST: SYDNEY FC PK AND +0.5 -139 ( 1.5 UNITS )
    WELLINGTON PHOENIX PK AND -0.5 -126 ( 1.5 UNITS )
    PERTH GLORY +0.5 -127 ( 2 UNITS )

    good luck all was in a bit of a rush posting uo the final list

  33. #33

    Default

    fukkk victory are show ponys and melb victorys keeper got lucky in the first half. Anyway still in the game just get busy

  34. #34

  35. #35

1234 ... Last
Top