Very good. I've closed my first week here on SBR soccer with a loss of
$325. :/
Stated that I've finally finished my spreadsheet which I hope could help me in capping games.
Since I'm pretty confident about this new way I'd like to keep a separate record, BUT I'm not the kind of guy who starts new threads for every way of betting he finds or who refuses to have had losing streaks.
So, the -$325 will be kept forever as a reminder on how bad I am.
But, just for tracking, I'll keep a fresh soccer record.
I've worked at this spreadsheet for almost a year, several hours a day and testing it on recent games gave me nice results but, as ever, I don't know if I'll be lucky also in the future.
For tracking purpose I start with a fully dedicated bankroll of $1000.
In terms of money management I decided to assign a 2.5% of my starting bankroll for every bet. I was really thinking about the possibility to lower it at 2.0% but since I start with $1000 a 2.5% means $25 which it seems a fair amount for me.
So basically I have 40 units in my pocket: if I'll go under 40 units I'll stop my capping thread.
All the picks are value selections, so you'll never see me taking Real Madrid or Barcelona @1.10 just to improve my record.
80/85% are ML picks, 15/20% are O/U. No AH or other picks for me.
Absolutely no parlays, just single bets.
Odds (based on my trial tracking) should be around 2.00 (probably 1.95).
My target is to hit around 55% of my bets in order to 1. keep the balance untouched and 2. make some profit.
I'll try as possible to post the picks about 2/3 hours before the game, in order to get a good value before the up&down of the line immediately before the match.
I'll also try to explain my selections to give the (few) readers of this thread another (hopefully useful) point of view on matches of the day.
Cheers. TSA.
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The Sports Analyst' 2012 Soccer Thread
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Originally Posted by southpaw74
MartR gave TheSportsAnalyst 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
