Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons 1/31
Purdue -15
The 10th-ranked Boilermakers try to keep rolling Sunday afternoon when they welcome in Penn State, which is looking to avoid falling to 0-9 in the Big Ten; for a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on Purdue in this situation:
Penn State is 10th in the conference in scoring at 66.3 points per game despite the presence of the Big Ten’s top scorer, Talor Battle (19.1 ppg).
Battle had 20 Wednesday against Illinois, but his teammates made 38.0 percent of their shots as the Nittany Lions lost 77-67 and fell to 0-8 in the Big Ten for the first time since opening 0-10 in 2002-03.
The Nittany Lions have lost six of seven to Purdue, and Battle would prefer to forget his last trip to West Lafayette. He missed all seven shots and went scoreless Feb. 11 in a 61-47 loss.
Not only is Penn State 0-5 SU its last five on the road, it's also just 2-5 ATS its last seven overall.
On the other side of the court: Purdue (17-3, 5-3) looked like a Final Four contender in winning 14 straight to open the season, but shot 41.4 percent and was badly outrebounded in losing three straight games Jan. 9-16.
The Boilermakers have corrected both of those problems in reeling off three consecutive wins. Purdue has shot 49.0 percent in its past three victories, and after getting edged on the boards by an average of 11.3 per game during its skid, has outrebounded its last three opponents by 5.3 per contest.
Dating back to last season Purdue is 17-1 ATS its last 18 at Mackey arena and always plays well against Penn State; 5-1 ATS its last six vs. the Nittany Lions.
Bottom line: Despite having one of the nation’s top-scoring trios, coach Matt Painter prefers to see his team win with defense - which it’s done in holding its past two opponents under 60 points; I look for a similar effort on the defensive end, but to see the Boilermakers finally put some significant points on the board this evening; look for PURDUE to improve to 5-3 ATS after allowing 60 points or less in its previous contest and for Penn State to fall to 3-6 ATS vs. conference opponents!
10* PURDUE
AS ALWAYS POINTS WOULD BE GREAT.
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Originally Posted by lucky888gunz
