[lordmohs]

2.5-Unit Play. Take #779 Utah (-3.5) over Wyoming (9 p.m.)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #762 Bradley (-2.5) over Creighton (8 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. Take #740 Wichita State (-6.5) over Illinois State (7 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. Take #768 Marshall (+2.5) over Memphis (8 p.m.)
0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 144.0 Memphis at Marshall (8 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #727 Connecticut (-5) over Providence (7 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #729 William & Mary (-2) over James Madison (7 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #746 Charlotte (+1) over Temple (7 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #787 BYU (+1.5) over New Mexico (10 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #790 Colorado (-3) over Nebraska (10 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #743 Akron (-1.5) over Western Michigan (7 p.m.)


These are 5-point teasers:
0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #736 George Mason (-6.5) over Delaware (7 p.m.) AND Take #726 Villanova (-5.5) over Notre Dame (7 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #740 Wichita State (-1.5) over Illinois State (7 p.m.) AND Take #726 Villanova (-5.5) over Notre Dame (7 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #752 Tennessee (-0.5) over Vanderbilt (7 p.m.) AND Take #768 Marshall (+7.5) over Memphis (8 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #778 UTEP (-12) over Tulane (9 p.m.) AND Take #740 Wichita State (-1.5) over Illinois State (7 p.m.)

[ratnerjl]

RF, just wondering your thoughts on the BYU/NM game. I was kind of leaning toward NM at home. Thanks

[LTCOL27]

I really like the Charlotte pick. This is a huge game for them, and Bobby Lutz will have those guys ready to play tonight.

[RodneyJones]

interesting.. any thoughts on Utah play RF?

[RodneyJones]

yikes

[admadtown]

agreed

[1st and Ten]

[admadtown]

3 days of losses in a row

[bodio]

What is up with RF? shake it off man!

[Smallstar]

[badweiser]

Poop poop poop

[av3206]

Rf it's gettig time to fade? Can't take the loses. I am going to vegas in 5 days need to turn this around

[hindu]

-425 betting 50 a unit but those 5 pt. teasers prob more juice i cant get them

[LTCOL27]

Dial it in Ferringo, and break out of this funk.

You know what you are doing, like that great call on Charlotte. I liked that pick when I saw it, but a lot of guys were on Temple and didn't see the value in Charlotte at home. Forget about 10 to 15 games and 5 to 10 teasers, if you can continue to find 5 to 10 value games like that, then you will roll!

[Hoopman]

His style isn't to find +EV plays. He prefers to put out more games. A few weeks ago, I mentioned this approach will not work from a money standpoint. It's not made for clients to profit. It's made with the hope that you can come close to 50% and have the TOP PLAYS HIT. You won't profit fading the card either b/c he's probably going to win half of the games. Half isn't good enough though b/c if you decide to play evenly the vig will eat your roll up.

Look at the plays above as an example. If the top play in Utah loses (as it did), then it now takes 6 of the .5 unit games to win to make up that 1 loss. Keep in mind the vig. So how would it feel to go 6-1 and profit only .25 units? It would suck. If you flip it around and Utah wins, then you have more of a cushion on the smaller games. Can you now see it? The profit is either made or loss on that top play. All the rest are simply add-on guesses.

I have nothing against RF. Like I said before, his style is his style. I don't agree with it b/c the math is not in his favor on playing multiple games at different levels and teasers. If you're a follower of this, you must understand that your profit all comes down to the top plays winning.