At 3 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over the Jets. This play is largely technical in nature, as the Jets fall into several negative situation based on their performances over the past few weeks. First of all, this will be New York's 3rd straight road game (after playing at Cincinnati and San Diego the past two weeks), and NFL teams have always struggled with this kind of schedule, going 12-30 ATS in the Playoffs over the past 30 seasons, if not an underdog of +10 or more points. Further, New York comes into this game off an upset win over the Chargers (as an 8-point underdog), but NFL single-digit underdogs are a poor 31% ATS in the Playoffs off an upset Playoff win (if they were a dog of +6.5 or more points in that previous game). Indianapolis has been a terrific team all season long and, if you discount its two games vs. the Jets and Buffalo to end the season (when head coach Jim Caldwell rested many of his players), then Indy was 15-0 straight up, and covered 11 of those 15 games. I won't buck those numbers. Take the Colts. Good luck, as always...Big Al McMordie. And don't miss my Winner in the NFC game between the Vikes and the Saints.

COLTS