sports book breakers 4.5 * 4.5-STAR Miami and Indiana over 205 - Each of these teams comes into this one with two days rest and should be ready to put up points tonight. Prior to their last games, each team had been on a scoring binge and we expect that to continue tonight.
Miami played in more of a slowdown game last game, and it lead to a 98-80 loss to Oklahoma City. In their two wins prior, they scored 115 points in each. The Heat are 10-0 OU (8.9 ppg) since February 12, 2006 at home when they scored at least 25 fewer points in their previous game than in the game before.
They had 15 steals in that game but it did not matter. The Heat are 8-0 OU (19.0 ppg) since April 24, 2005 after a game on the road in which they had at least 12 steals.
Coming off the bench, Udonis Haslem scored only four points in 19 minutes. The Heat are 11-0 OU (10.4 ppg) since January 18, 2009 after a loss on the road in which Udonis Haslem scored fewer than 10 points.
Indiana both scored and allowed less than they had in the past five games and it led to a 101-96 loss to New Orleans. Troy Murphy struggled in the game, going 2-of-9 in 27 minutes. The Pacers are 10-0 OU (10.7 ppg) since November 27, 2007 with at least a day of rest after a loss at home in which Troy Murphy played fewer than 30 minutes.
Indiana was only able to manage 17 assists on 38 baskets in that loss. The Pacers are 7-0-1 OU (9.9 ppg) since May 15, 2004 with two or more days of rest after a loss in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points lower than their season-to-date average.
Both these teams should have seen that slowing it down is not the way to go. Expect a shootout tonight.
sportsbook breakers 1/19
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